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Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

We study the relaxation of a highly collisional, ultracold but nondegenerate gas of polar molecules. Confined within a harmonic trap, the gas is subject to fluid-gaseous coupled dynamics that lead to a breakdown of first-order…

Quantum Gases · Physics 2024-06-12 Reuben R. W. Wang , Daniel Messenger

We present a random forest framework for predicting circumgalactic medium (CGM) physical conditions from quasar absorption line observables, trained on a sample of Voigt profile-fit synthetic absorbers from the Simba cosmological…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2023-07-25 Sarah Appleby , Romeel Davé , Daniele Sorini , Christopher Lovell , Kevin Lo

We apply SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis using the TreeSHAP algorithm to a Random Forest model (RANDM) designed to predict thermospheric neutral density based on solar-terrestrial data. The analysis shows that RANDM identifies…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-10-01 C. Bard , K. Murphy , A. Halford

Analyzing the validity and success of a data assimilation algorithm when some state variable observations are not available is an important problem in meteorology and engineering. We present an improved data assimilation algorithm for…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-08-18 Aseel Farhat , Evelyn Lunasin , Edriss S. Titi

We present an empirical model for nitric oxide NO in the mesosphere ($\approx$60--90 km) derived from SCIAMACHY (SCanning Imaging Absorption spectroMeter for Atmospheric CHartoghraphY) limb scan data. This work complements and extends the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-18 Stefan Bender , Miriam Sinnhuber , Patrick J. Espy , John P. Burrows

4D-variational data assimilation is applied to the Lorenz '63 model to introduce a new method for parameter estimation in chaotic climate models. The approach aims to optimise an Earth system model (ESM), for which no adjoint exists, by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-18 Philip David Kennedy , Abhirup Banerjee , Armin Köhl , Detlef Stammer

The understanding of nonlinear, high dimensional flows, e.g, atmospheric and ocean flows, is critical to address the impacts of global climate change. Data Assimilation techniques combine physical models and observational data, often in a…

Cloud is critical for planetary climate and habitability, but it is also one of the most challenging parts of studying planets in and beyond the solar system. Here we use a cloud-resolving model (CRM) with high resolution (2 km) in a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-17 Qiyu Song , Jun Yang , Hang Luo , Cheng Li , Shizuo Fu

The simulation of atmospheric flows by means of traditional discretization methods remains computationally intensive, hindering the achievement of high forecasting accuracy in short time frames. In this paper, we apply three reduced order…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-19 Arash Hajisharifi , Michele Girfoglio , Annalisa Quaini , Gianluigi Rozza

An algorithm to obtain data-driven models of oscillatory phenomena in plasma space propulsion systems is presented, based on sparse regression (SINDy) and Pareto front analysis. The algorithm can incorporate physical constraints, use data…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2024-08-27 B. Bayón-Buján , M. Merino

Understanding pedestrian dynamics is critical for mitigating crowd-related risks and improving public safety. In this work, we propose a data-driven mesoscopic modeling framework that combines the kinetic theory of active particles with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-29 Santiago Rosa , Manuel Pulido , Orlando Billoni , Juan Martín Guerrieri , Juan Pablo Agnelli

Shallow water equations are extensively considered in the domains of oceans, atmospheric modelling, and engineering research (Franca et al., 2022), which play significant roles in floods and tsunami governance. Nonetheless, the accurate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-09-22 Ruijia Yu

The knowledge of atmospheric parameters -- such as temperature, pressure, and humidity -- is very important for a proper reconstruction of air showers, especially with the fluorescence technique. The Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS)…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-13 Martin Will

Mapping near-field pollutant concentration is essential to track accidental toxic plume dispersion in urban areas. By solving a large part of the turbulence spectrum, large-eddy simulations (LES) have the potential to accurately represent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-03 Bastien X Nony , Mélanie Rochoux , Thomas Jaravel , Didier Lucor

Global data assimilation enables weather forecasting at all scales and provides valuable data for studying the Earth system. However, the computational demands of physics-based algorithms used in operational systems limits the volume and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Thomas J. Vandal , Kate Duffy , Daniel McDuff , Yoni Nachmany , Chris Hartshorn

Complex nonlinear turbulent dynamical systems are ubiquitous in many areas. Recovering unobserved state variables is an important topic for the data assimilation of turbulent systems. In this article, an efficient continuous in time data…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-03 Nan Chen , Yuchen Li , Evelyn Lunasin

Solar activity, ranging from the background solar wind to energetic coronal mass ejections (CMEs), is the main driver of the conditions in the interplanetary space and in the terrestrial space environment, known as space weather. A better…

Data assimilation of observational data into full atmospheric states is essential for weather forecast model initialization. Recently, methods for deep generative data assimilation have been proposed which allow for using new input data…

An accurate estimate of the energy budget (heating and cooling) of the ionosphere and thermosphere, especially during space weather events, has been a challenge. The abundance of Nitric Oxide (NO), a minor species in the thermosphere, is an…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-01-23 Cissi Y. Lin , Yue Deng , Karthik Venkataramani , Justin Yonker , Scott M. Bailey