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We analyze an ensemble-based approach for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in atomistic neural networks. This method generates an epistemic uncertainty signal without requiring changes to the underlying multi-headed regression neural network…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-11-21 Idan Fonea , Amir Peles , Sivan Niv , Goren Gordon , Amir Natan

The increasing use of machine-learning (ML) enabled systems in critical tasks fuels the quest for novel verification and validation techniques yet grounded in accepted system assurance principles. In traditional system development,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-11 Taejoon Byun , Sanjai Rayadurgam

Point defects in solid-state materials are now routinely simulated using large supercell structures, requiring efficient quantum mechanical solutions. Data-driven and machine learning (ML) models trained on computational data can enable…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-05-26 Arun Mannodi-Kanakkithodi , Menglin Huang , Prashun Gorai , Seán R. Kavanagh

Estimated uncertainty by approximate posteriors in Bayesian neural networks are prone to miscalibration, which leads to overconfident predictions in critical tasks that have a clear asymmetric cost or significant losses. Here, we extend the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Biraja Ghoshal , Allan Tucker

The training set of atomic configurations is key to the performance of any Machine Learning Force Field (MLFF) and, as such, the training set selection determines the applicability of the MLFF model for predictive molecular simulations.…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-03-24 Gregory Fonseca , Igor Poltavsky , Valentin Vassilev-Galindo , Alexandre Tkatchenko

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for assessing the reliability of machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) in molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, identifying extrapolation regimes and enabling uncertainty-aware workflows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Zhongyao Wang , Taoyong Cui , Jiawen Zou , Shufei Zhang , Bo Yan , Wanli Ouyang , Weimin Tan , Mao Su

Reward models (RMs) are essential for aligning large language models (LLM) with human expectations. However, existing RMs struggle to capture the stochastic and uncertain nature of human preferences and fail to assess the reliability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Xingzhou Lou , Dong Yan , Wei Shen , Yuzi Yan , Jian Xie , Junge Zhang

Traditional machine learning techniques are prone to generating inaccurate predictions when confronted with shifts in the distribution of data between the training and testing phases. This vulnerability can lead to severe consequences,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Hong Jia , Young D. Kwon , Dong Ma , Nhat Pham , Lorena Qendro , Tam Vu , Cecilia Mascolo

Precise probabilistic forecasts are fundamental for energy risk management, and there is a wide range of both statistical and machine learning models for this purpose. Inherent to these probabilistic models is some form of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Andreas Lebedev , Abhinav Das , Sven Pappert , Stephan Schlüter

Current person image retrieval methods have achieved great improvements in accuracy metrics. However, they rarely describe the reliability of the prediction. In this paper, we propose an Uncertainty-Aware Learning (UAL) method to remedy…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Zhaopeng Dou , Zhongdao Wang , Weihua Chen , Yali Li , Shengjin Wang

In system analysis and design optimization, multiple computational models are typically available to represent a given physical system. These models can be broadly classified as high-fidelity models, which provide highly accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Ruda Zhang , Negin Alemazkoor

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is important for reliability assessment and enhancement of machine learning models. In deep learning, uncertainties arise not only from data, but also from the training procedure that often injects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-13 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

The accurate calculation of phonons and vibrational spectra remains a significant challenge, requiring highly precise evaluations of interatomic forces. Traditional methods based on the quantum description of the electronic structure, while…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-03 Bowen Han , Yongqiang Cheng

Understanding the mechanical properties of solid-state materials at the atomic scale is crucial for developing novel materials. For example, amorphous LiSi alloys are attractive anode materials for solid-state Li-ion batteries but face…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-02-15 Zixiong Wei , Nongnuch Artrith

Amid growing interest in machine learning, numerous data-driven models have recently been developed for Reynolds-averaged turbulence modelling. However, their results generally show that they do not give accurate predictions for test cases…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-20 Anthony Man , Mohammad Jadidi , Amir Keshmiri , Hujun Yin , Yasser Mahmoudi

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in computational chemistry (CC) is still in its infancy. Very few CC methods are designed to provide a confidence level on their predictions, and most users still rely improperly on the mean absolute error as…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-03-21 Pascal Pernot

Mathematical models are essential tools to study how the cardiovascular system maintains homeostasis. The utility of such models is limited by the accuracy of their predictions, which can be determined by uncertainty quantification (UQ). A…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-20 Andrew D. Marquis , Andrea Arnold , Caron Dean , Brian E. Carlson , Mette S. Olufsen

Data-driven approaches such as deep learning can result in predictive models for material properties with exceptional accuracy and efficiency. However, in many applications, data is sparse, severely limiting their accuracy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Robert J Appleton , Brian C Barnes , Alejandro Strachan

Quantifying unknown quantum entanglement experimentally is a difficult task, but also becomes more and more necessary because of the fast development of quantum engineering. Machine learning provides practical solutions to this fundamental…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-21 Xiaodie Lin , Zhenyu Chen , Zhaohui Wei

Easy and effective usage of computational resources is crucial for scientific calculations. Following our recent work of machine-learning (ML) assisted scheduling optimization [Ref: J. Comput. Chem. 2023, 44, 1174], we further propose 1)…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-08-05 Kai Yuan , Shuai Zhou , Ning Li , Tianyan Li , Bowen Ding , Danhuai Guo , Yingjin Ma
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