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We investigate whether it is possible to formulate option pricing and hedging models without using probability. We present a model that is consistent with two notions of volatility: a historical volatility consistent with statistical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-10 Damiano Brigo

In this paper we derive an effective equation for derivative pricing which accounts for the presence of virtual arbitrage opportunities and their elimination by the market. We model the arbitrage return by a stochastic process and find an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kirill Ilinski , Alexander Stepanenko

We study the risk premium impact in the Perturbative Black Scholes model. The Perturbative Black Scholes model, developed by Scotti, is a subjective volatility model based on the classical Black Scholes one, where the volatility used by the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Luca Regis , Simone Scotti

The purpose of this paper is to analyze and compute the early exercise boundary for a class of nonlinear Black--Scholes equations with a nonlinear volatility which can be a function of the second derivative of the option price itself. A…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Daniel Sevcovic

Report presents analysis of empirical distribution of future returns of bitcoin (BTC) from BTUSD inverse option prices. Logistic pdf is chosen as underlying distribution to fit option prices. The result is satisfactory and suggests that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-16 Nikolai Zaitsev

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of Asian option prices in the worst case scenario under an uncertain volatility model. We give a procedure to approximate the Asian option prices with a small volatility interval. By imposing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-03 Yuecai Han , Chunyang Liu

Option contracts are a type of financial derivative that allow investors to hedge risk and speculate on the variation of an asset's future market price. In short, an option has a particular payout that is based on the market price for an…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-14 Jacob Abernethy , Rafael M. Frongillo , Andre Wibisono

We develop a numerical method for pricing multidimensional vanilla options in the Black-Scholes framework. In low dimensions, we improve an adaptive integration algorithm proposed by two of the authors by introducing a new splitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-30 Christophe De Luigi , Jérôme Lelong , Sylvain Maire

We study the Heston model for pricing European options on stocks with stochastic volatility. This is a Black\--Scholes\--type equation whose spatial domain for the logarithmic stock price $x\in \RR$ and the variance $v\in (0,\infty)$ is the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Bénédicte Alziary , Peter Takáč

This paper discusses a novel explanation for asymmetric volatility based on the anchoring behavioral pattern. Anchoring as a heuristic bias causes investors focusing on recent price changes and price levels, which two lead to a belief in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-14 Mihaly Ormos , Dusan Timotity

The vast majority of works on option pricing operate on the assumption of risk neutral valuation, and consequently focus on the expected value of option returns, and do not consider risk parameters, such as variance. We show that it is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-17 Adi Ben-Meir , Jeremy Schiff

In this paper, we present an implicit finite difference method for the numerical solution of the Black-Scholes model of American put options without dividend payments. We combine the proposed numerical method by using a front fixing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Riccardo Fazio , Alessandra Insana , Alessandra Jannelli

The volatility characterizes the amplitude of price return fluctuations. It is a central magnitude in finance closely related to the risk of holding a certain asset. Despite its popularity on trading floors, the volatility is unobservable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

We study option pricing and hedging with uncertainty about a Black-Scholes reference model which is dynamically recalibrated to the market price of a liquidly traded vanilla option. For dynamic trading in the underlying asset and this…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-18 Sebastian Herrmann , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

The incorporation of a dividend yield in the classical option pricing model of Black- Scholes results in a minor modification of the Black-Scholes formula, since the lognormal dynamic of the underlying asset is preserved. However, market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-24 Arnaud Gocsei , Fouad Sahel

Working on different aspects of algorithmic trading we empirically discovered a new market invariant. It links together the volatility of the instrument with its traded volume, the average spread and the volume in the order book. The…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-14 Oleh Danyliv , Bruce Bland

The Black-Scholes model (sometimes known as the Black-Scholes-Merton model) gives a theoretical estimate for the price of European options. The price evolution under this model is described by the Black-Scholes formula, one of the most…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-15 Rajeshwari Majumdar , Phanuel Mariano , Lowen Peng , Anthony Sisti

After a brief review of option pricing theory, we introduce various methods proposed for extracting the statistical information implicit in options prices. We discuss the advantages and drawbacks of each method, the interpretation of their…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Rama Cont

We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

Employing the Klein-Gordon equation, we propose a generalized Black-Scholes equation. In addition, we found a limit where this generalized equation is invariant under conformal transformations, in particular invariant under scale…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-07 Juan M. Romero , Ilse B. Zubieta-Martínez