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We present a new transport-based approach to efficiently perform sequential Bayesian inference of static model parameters. The strategy is based on the extraction of conditional distribution from the joint distribution of parameters and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Paul-Baptiste Rubio , Youssef Marzouk , Matthew Parno

Boundary-induced pattern formation from a spatially uniform state is investigated using one-dimensional reaction-diffusion equations. The temporal oscillation is successively transformed into a spatially periodic pattern, triggered by…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2017-02-01 Takahiro Kohsokabe , Kunihiko Kaneko

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

Inverse problems with spatiotemporal observations are ubiquitous in scientific studies and engineering applications. In these spatiotemporal inverse problems, observed multivariate time series are used to infer parameters of physical or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Shiwei Lan , Shuyi Li , Mirjeta Pasha

We develop an approach for Bayesian learning of spatiotemporal dynamical mechanistic models. Such learning consists of statistical emulation of the mechanistic system that can efficiently interpolate the output of the system from arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Sudipto Banerjee , Xiang Chen , Ian Frankenburg , Daniel Zhou

Mathematical models of cognition are often memoryless and ignore potential fluctuations of their parameters. However, human cognition is inherently dynamic. Thus, we propose to augment mechanistic cognitive models with a temporal dimension…

We present a data-driven approach to efficiently approximate nonlinear transient dynamics in solid-state systems. Our proposed machine-learning model combines a dimensionality reduction stage with a nonlinear vector autoregression scheme.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Stefan Meinecke , Felix Köster , Dominik Christiansen , Kathy Lüdge , Andreas Knorr , Malte Selig

We introduce a probabilistic generative model for disentangling spatio-temporal disease trajectories from series of high-dimensional brain images. The model is based on spatio-temporal matrix factorization, where inference on the sources is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-11 Clement Abi Nader , Nicholas Ayache , Philippe Robert , Marco Lorenzi

Wall-bounded turbulent flows are chaotic and multiscale, rendering real-time prediction at high Reynolds numbers computationally prohibitive in applications such as wind farms. Classical data assimilation methods are based on repeated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-25 Fabian Steinbrenner , Baris Turan , Hao Teng , Heng Xiao

This work develops a measurement-driven and model-based formal verification approach, applicable to systems with partly unknown dynamics. We provide a principled method, grounded on reachability analysis and on Bayesian inference, to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-14 Sofie Haesaert , Paul M. J. Van den Hof , Alessandro Abate

This paper presents a Bayesian estimation method for sequential direction finding. The proposed method estimates the number of directions of arrivals (DOAs) and their DOAs performing operations on the factor graph. The graph represents a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Yongsung Park , Florian Meyer , Peter Gerstoft

Rapid developments in streaming data technologies have enabled real-time monitoring of human activity that can deliver high-resolution data on health variables over trajectories or paths carved out by subjects as they conduct their daily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-11 Tomoya Wakayama , Sudipto Banerjee

Analyzing data from paleoclimate archives such as tree rings or lake sediments offers the opportunity of inferring information on past climate variability. Often, such data sets are univariate and a proper reconstruction of the system's…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-29 Jaqueline Lekscha , Reik V. Donner

Reconstructing astrophysical and cosmological fields from observations is challenging. It requires accounting for non-linear transformations, mixing of spatial structure, and noise. In contrast, forward simulators that map fields to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-01 Florian List , Noemi Anau Montel , Christoph Weniger

Precipitation is a complex physical process that varies in space and time. Predictions and interpolations at unobserved times and/or locations help to solve important problems in many areas. In this paper, we present a hierarchical Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

We identify a new type of pattern formation in spatially distributed active systems. We simulate one-dimensional two-component systems with predator-prey local interaction and pursuit-evasion taxis between the components. In a sufficiently…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2013-05-29 V. N. Biktashev , M. A. Tsyganov

Spatiotemporal graph represents a crucial data structure where the nodes and edges are embedded in a geometric space and can evolve dynamically over time. Nowadays, spatiotemporal graph data is becoming increasingly popular and important,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Yuanqi Du , Xiaojie Guo , Hengning Cao , Yanfang Ye , Liang Zhao

Accurately forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy with uncertainty is essential for both travelers and transit agencies/operators. However, existing approaches to forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy mainly rely…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Alexandra M. Schmidt , Lijun Sun

Given the high dimensionality and underlying complexity of many oscillatory dynamical systems, phase reduction is often an imperative first step in control applications where oscillation timing and entrainment are of interest.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Dan Wilson
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