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This paper introduces a new framework for quantifying predictive uncertainty for both data and models that relies on projecting the data into a Gaussian reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) and transforming the data probability density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Rishabh Singh , Jose C. Principe

In the context of regressing a response $Y$ on a predictor $X$, we consider estimating the local modes of the distribution of $Y$ given $X=x$ when $X$ is prone to measurement error. We propose two nonparametric estimation methods, with one…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-28 Haiming Zhou , Xianzheng Huang

We study Krasnoselskii-Mann style iterative algorithms for approximating fixpoints of asymptotically weakly contractive mappings, with a focus on providing generalised convergence proofs along with explicit rates of convergence. More…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Thomas Powell , Franziskus Wiesnet

This paper explores the effects of simulated moments on the performance of inference methods based on moment inequalities. Commonly used confidence sets for parameters are level sets of criterion functions whose boundary points may depend…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-04-12 Hiroaki Kaido , Jiaxuan Li , Marc Rysman

This paper is motivated by a regression analysis of electroencephalography (EEG) neuroimaging data with high-dimensional correlated responses with multi-level nested correlations. We develop a divide-and-conquer procedure implemented in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-29 Emily C. Hector , Peter X. -K. Song

Rapid advancements in data science require us to have fundamentally new frameworks to tackle prevalent but highly non-trivial "irregular" inference problems, to which the large sample central limit theorem does not apply. Typical examples…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Minge Xie , Peng Wang

The conditional moment problem is a powerful formulation for describing structural causal parameters in terms of observables, a prominent example being instrumental variable regression. A standard approach reduces the problem to a finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus

Heterogeneity is a dominant factor in the behaviour of many biological processes. Despite this, it is common for mathematical and statistical analyses to ignore biological heterogeneity as a source of variability in experimental data.…

This paper develops robust inference methods for predictive regressions that address key challenges posed by endogenously persistent or heavy-tailed regressors, as well as persistent volatility in errors. Building on the Cauchy estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Rustam Ibragimov , Jihyun Kim , Anton Skrobotov

We consider the nonparametric regression estimation problem of recovering an unknown response function f on the basis of spatially inhomogeneous data when the design points follow a known compactly supported density g with a finite number…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-29 Anestis Antoniadis , Marianna Pensky , Theofanis Sapatinas

We show how to achieve the notion of "multicalibration" from H\'ebert-Johnson et al. [2018] not just for means, but also for variances and other higher moments. Informally, it means that we can find regression functions which, given a data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Christopher Jung , Changhwa Lee , Mallesh M. Pai , Aaron Roth , Rakesh Vohra

A recent analysis [quant-ph/0104062] suggests that weak measurements can be used to give observational meaning to counterfactual reasoning in quantum physics. A weak measurement is predicted to assign a negative unit population to a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Klaus Molmer

This paper proposes confidence regions for the identified set in conditional moment inequality models using Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics with a truncated inverse variance weighting with increasing truncation points. The new weighting…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-06 Timothy B. Armstrong

The state-of-the-art methods for estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices all shrink the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix towards a data-insensitive shrinkage target. The underlying shrinkage transformation is either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Man-Chung Yue , Yves Rychener , Daniel Kuhn , Viet Anh Nguyen

Classical least squares estimators are well-known to be robust with respect to moment assumptions concerning the error distribution in a wide variety of finite-dimensional statistical problems; generally only a second moment assumption is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-08 Qiyang Han , Jon A. Wellner

In this article, we consider an imputation method to handle missing response values based on semiparametric quantile regression estimation. In the proposed method, the missing response values are generated using the estimated conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-15 Senniang Chen , Cindy L Yu

The conditional distribution of the next outcome given the infinite past of a stationary process can be inferred from finite but growing segments of the past. Several schemes are known for constructing pointwise consistent estimates, but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 G. Morvai , S. Yakowitz , P. Algoet

We propose a pointwise inference algorithm for high-dimensional linear models with time-varying coefficients. The method is based on a novel combination of the nonparametric kernel smoothing technique and a Lasso bias-corrected ridge…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Xiaohui Chen , Yifeng He

In this work, an inverse problem in the fractional diffusion equation with random source is considered. The measurements used are the statistical moments of the realizations of single point data $u(x_0,t,\omega).$ We build the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Shubin Fu , Zhidong Zhang

There is an emerging interest in generating robust counterfactual explanations that would remain valid if the model is updated or changed even slightly. Towards finding robust counterfactuals, existing literature often assumes that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Faisal Hamman , Erfaun Noorani , Saumitra Mishra , Daniele Magazzeni , Sanghamitra Dutta