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We undertake a precise study of the asymptotic and non-asymptotic properties of stochastic approximation procedures with Polyak-Ruppert averaging for solving a linear system $\bar{A} \theta = \bar{b}$. When the matrix $\bar{A}$ is Hurwitz,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-10 Wenlong Mou , Chris Junchi Li , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

We provide non-asymptotic convergence rates of the Polyak-Ruppert averaged stochastic gradient descent (SGD) to a normal random vector for a class of twice-differentiable test functions. A crucial intermediate step is proving a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-04 Andreas Anastasiou , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Murat A. Erdogdu

Recent theoretical works have characterized the dynamics of wide shallow neural networks trained via gradient descent in an asymptotic mean-field limit when the width tends towards infinity. At initialization, the random sampling of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Zhengdao Chen , Grant M. Rotskoff , Joan Bruna , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Statistical machine learning models trained with stochastic gradient algorithms are increasingly being deployed in critical scientific applications. However, computing the stochastic gradient in several such applications is highly expensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-16 Yanhao Jin , Tesi Xiao , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian

In this article we establish new central limit theorems for Ruppert-Polyak averaged stochastic gradient descent schemes. Compared to previous work we do not assume that convergence occurs to an isolated attractor but instead allow…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Steffen Dereich , Sebastian Kassing

Recent work in dynamic causal inference introduced a class of discrete-time stochastic processes that generalize martingale difference sequences and arrays as follows: the random variates in each sequence have expectation zero given certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Walter Dempsey , Easton Huch

We study the directed polymer model in a bounded environment with bond disorder and show that, in the interior of the weak disorder phase, weak disorder continues to hold upon perturbation by a small bias. Using this stability result, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-11 Stefan Junk

We develop a central limit theorem (CLT) for a non-parametric estimator of the transition matrices in controlled Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state-action spaces. Our results establish precise conditions on the logging policy under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Ziwei Su , Imon Banerjee , Diego Klabjan

In this article we establish central limit theorems for multilevel Polyak-Ruppert averaged stochastic approximation schemes. We work under very mild technical assumptions and consider the slow regime in wich typical errors decay like…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Steffen Dereich

To foster trust in machine learning models, explanations must be faithful and stable for consistent insights. Existing relevant works rely on the $\ell_p$ distance for stability assessment, which diverges from human perception. Besides,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Chao Chen , Chenghua Guo , Rufeng Chen , Guixiang Ma , Ming Zeng , Xiangwen Liao , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie

We develop a new method of online inference for a vector of parameters estimated by the Polyak-Ruppert averaging procedure of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithms. We leverage insights from time series regression in econometrics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-09 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

In high-dimensional learning, models remain stable until they collapse abruptly once the sample size falls below a critical level. This instability is not algorithm-specific but a geometric mechanism: when the weakest Fisher eigendirection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-26 William Hao-Cheng Huang

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a foundational algorithm for large-scale statistical learning and stochastic optimization. However, statistical inference based on SGD iterates remains challenging when stochastic gradients have infinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Wenhao Yang

We show that the variance of centred linear statistics of eigenvalues of GUE matrices remains bounded for large $n$ for some classes of test functions less regular than Lipschitz functions. This observation is suggested by the limiting form…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-07 Philippe Sosoe , Percy Wong

Recent studies have provided both empirical and theoretical evidence illustrating that heavy tails can emerge in stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in various scenarios. Such heavy tails potentially result in iterates with diverging…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Hongjian Wang , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Lingjiong Zhu , Umut Şimşekli , Murat A. Erdogdu

The paper concerns the $d$-dimensional stochastic approximation recursion, $$ \theta_{n+1}= \theta_n + \alpha_{n + 1} f(\theta_n, \Phi_{n+1}) $$ where $ \{ \Phi_n \}$ is a stochastic process on a general state space, satisfying a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-18 Vivek Borkar , Shuhang Chen , Adithya Devraj , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean Meyn

This paper establishes central limit theorems for Polyak-Ruppert averaged Q-learning under asynchronous updates. We prove a non-asymptotic central limit theorem, where the convergence rate in Wasserstein distance explicitly reflects the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Xingtu Liu

This article relaxes the integrability condition imposed in the literature for the robust $\alpha$-stable central limit theorem under sublinear expectation. Specifically, for $\alpha \in(0,1]$, we prove that the normalized sums of i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-20 Lianzi Jiang , Gechun Liang

We study online covariance matrix estimation for Polyak--Ruppert averaged stochastic gradient descent (SGD). The online batch-means estimator of Zhu, Chen and Wu (2023) achieves an operator-norm convergence rate of $O(n^{-(1-\alpha)/4})$,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Yijin Ni , Xiaoming Huo

We quantify the asymptotic behaviour of multidimensional drifltess diffusions in domains unbounded in a single direction, with asymptotically normal reflections from the boundary. We identify the critical growth/contraction rates of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović , Andrew Wade
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