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In recent years, machine learning methods represented by deep neural networks (DNN) have been a new paradigm of turbulence modeling. However, in the scenario of high Reynolds numbers, there are still some bottlenecks, including the lack of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-02 Z. Y. Wang , W. W. Zhang

With the ever-increasing use of Reynolds-Averaged Navier--Stokes (RANS) simulations in mission-critical applications, the quantification of model-form uncertainty in RANS models has attracted attention in the turbulence modeling community.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-03-28 Heng Xiao , Jian-Xun Wang , Roger G. Ghanem

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Neural networks are increasingly being used in a variety of settings to predict wind direction and speed, two of the most important factors for estimating the potential power output of a wind farm. However, these predictions are arguably of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-22 Mariana C A Clare , Matthew D Piggott

In this work we explore a straightforward variational Bayes scheme for Recurrent Neural Networks. Firstly, we show that a simple adaptation of truncated backpropagation through time can yield good quality uncertainty estimates and superior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Meire Fortunato , Charles Blundell , Oriol Vinyals

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

This work presents a review and perspectives on recent developments in the use of machine learning (ML) to augment Reynolds-averaged Navier--Stokes (RANS) and Large Eddy Simulation (LES) models of turbulent flows. Different approaches of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-19 Karthik Duraisamy

Recent works have explored the potential of machine learning as data-driven turbulence closures for RANS and LES techniques. Beyond these advances, the high expressivity and agility of physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) make them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Didier Lucor , Atul Agrawal , Anne Sergent

A machine-learned (ML) model is developed to enhance the accuracy of turbulence transport equations of Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) solver and applied for periodic hill test case, which involves complex flow regimes, such as…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-24 Shanti Bhushan , Greg W. Burgreen , Wesley Brewer , Ian D. Dettwiller

In geotechnical engineering, constitutive models are central to capturing soil behavior across diverse drainage conditions, stress paths,and loading histories. While data driven deep learning (DL) approaches have shown promise as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Toiba Noor , Soban Nasir Lone , G. V. Ramana , Rajdip Nayek

Deep neural network (DNN) models have achieved state-of-the-art predictive accuracy in a wide range of supervised learning applications. However, accurately quantifying the uncertainty in DNN predictions remains a challenging task. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Daiwei Zhang , Tianci Liu , Jian Kang

Mathematical solvers use parametrized Optimization Problems (OPs) as inputs to yield optimal decisions. In many real-world settings, some of these parameters are unknown or uncertain. Recent research focuses on predicting the value of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Alan A. Lahoud , Erik Schaffernicht , Johannes A. Stork

In recent times, neural networks have become a powerful tool for the analysis of complex and abstract data models. However, their introduction intrinsically increases our uncertainty about which features of the analysis are model-related…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Tom Charnock , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur , François Lanusse

This study constitutes the second phase of a research endeavor aimed at evaluating the feasibility of employing Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks as a replacement for Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) turbulence models. In…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-19 Hugo D. Pasinato

Obtaining heteroscedastic predictive uncertainties from a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) is vital to many applications. Often, heteroscedastic aleatoric uncertainties are learned as outputs of the BNN in addition to the predictive means,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 David J. Schodt , Ryan Brown , Michael Merritt , Samuel Park , Delsin Menolascino , Mark A. Peot

l flows and flat-plate boundary layers. However, it predicts too low a turbulent kinetic energy. This is a feature it shares with most other two-equation turbulence models. When comparing the terms in the k equations with DNS data it is…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-19 Lars Davidson

A fully-convolutional neural-network model is used to predict the streamwise velocity fields at several wall-normal locations by taking as input the streamwise and spanwise wall-shear-stress planes in a turbulent open channel flow. The…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-08-26 L. Guastoni , M. P. Encinar , P. Schlatter , H. Azizpour , R. Vinuesa

This paper presents a novel CFD-driven machine learning framework to develop Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models. The CFD-driven training is an extension of the gene expression programming method (Weatheritt and Sandberg, 2016),…

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) often result uncalibrated after training, usually tending towards overconfidence. Devising effective calibration methods with low impact in terms of computational complexity is thus of central interest. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Hector J. Hortua , Luigi Malago , Riccardo Volpi

A stochastic Machine-Learning approach is developed for data-driven Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) predictions of turbulent flows, with quantified model uncertainty. This is done by combining a Bayesian symbolic identification…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-05 Soufiane Cherroud , Xavier Merle , Paola Cinnella , Xavier Gloerfelt