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We develop a new perturbation method for studying quasi-neutral competition in a broad class of stochastic competition models, and apply it to the analysis of fixation of competing strains in two epidemic models. The first model is a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-06 Oleg Kogan , Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , David Schneider , Christopher R. Myers

Deterministic evolutionary theory robustly predicts that populations displaying altruistic behaviours will be driven to extinction by mutant cheats that absorb common benefits but do not themselves contribute. Here we show that when…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-03 George W. A. Constable , Tim Rogers , Alan J. McKane , Corina E. Tarnita

Physiological stress fundamentally alters disease susceptibility in aquatic environments. In this paper, we develop a stress-structured epidemiological model where host vulnerability is dynamically driven by water quality. Analytically, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Clotilde Djuikem , Julien Arino

Competition between species and genotypes is a dominant factor in a variety of ecological and evolutionary processes. Biological dynamics are typically highly stochastic, and therefore, analyzing a competitive system requires accounting for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-09 Ori Turkia , Nadav M. Shnerb

The effects of demographic stochasticity in the long term behaviour of endemic infectious diseases have been considered for long as a necessary addition to an underlying deterministic theory. The latter would explain the regular behaviour…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-08-29 M. Simões , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes

Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

Conventional wisdom suggests that environmental noise drives populations toward extinction. In contrast, we report a paradoxical phenomenon in which stochasticity reverses a deterministic tipping point, thereby preventing collapse. Using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Vinesh Vijayan , B Priyadharshini , R Sathish Kumar , G Janaki

This paper deals with a new epidemiological model of SIRS with stochastic perturbations. The primary objective is to establish the existence of a unique non-negative nonlocal solution. Using the basic reproduction number $\mathscr{R}_0$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Achraf Zinihi , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi , Matthias Ehrhardt

Finite-size fluctuations arising in the dynamics of competing populations may have dramatic influence on their fate. As an example, in this article, we investigate a model of three species which dominate each other in a cyclic manner.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-20 Tobias Reichenbach , Mauro Mobilia , Erwin Frey

Environmental variations can significantly influence how populations compete for resources, and hence shape their evolution. Here, we study population dynamics subject to a fluctuating environment modeled by a varying carrying capacity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-14 Ami Taitelbaum , Robert West , Mauro Mobilia , Michael Assaf

The dynamics of two competing species in a finite size community is one of the most studied problems in population genetics and community ecology. Stochastic fluctuations lead, inevitably, to the extinction of one of the species, but the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-30 Matan Danino , David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

The dynamics of a two-species community of $N$ competing individuals is considered, with an emphasis on the role of environmental variations that affect coherently the fitness of entire populations. The chance of fixation of a mutant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-01 Immanuel Meyer , Nadav M. Shnerb

Environment plays a fundamental role in the competition for resources, and hence in the evolution of populations. Here, we study a well-mixed, finite population consisting of two strains competing for the limited resources provided by an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-16 Karl Wienand , Erwin Frey , Mauro Mobilia

Frequency-dependent selection reflects the interaction between different species as they battle for limited resources in their environment. In a stochastic evolutionary game the species relative fitnesses guides the evolutionary dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic , Liam Peuckert

The interplay of seasonality, the system's nonlinearities and intrinsic stochasticity is studied for a seasonally forced susceptible-exposed-infective-recovered stochastic model. The model is explored in the parameter region that…

Biological Physics · Physics 2010-10-19 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

In this study, a new and natural way of constructing a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is proposed. This approach is natural in the sense that the disease transmission rate, $\beta$, is substituted with a generic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Berk Tan Perçin

Environmental variation can play an important role in ecological competition by influencing the relative advantage between competing species. Here, we consider such effects by extending a classical, competitive Moran model to incorporate an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-18 Ryan Murray , Glenn Young

Spatially extended population dynamics models that incorporate intrinsic noise serve as case studies for the role of fluctuations and correlations in biological systems. Including spatial structure and stochastic noise in predator-prey…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-09 Ulrich Dobramysl , Mauro Mobilia , Michel Pleimling , Uwe C. Täuber

We present a generic epidemic model with stochastic parameters, in which the dynamics self-organize to a critical state with suppressed exponential growth. More precisely, the dynamics evolve into a quasi-steady-state, where the effective…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-16 Gil Ariel , Yoram Louzoun

Competition is the main driver of population dynamics, which shapes the genetic composition of populations and the assembly of ecological communities. Neutral models assume that all the individuals are equivalent and that the dynamics is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-11 Matan Danino , Nadav M. Shnerb
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