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We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

We develop an empirical Bayes (EB) G-modeling framework for short-panel linear models with nonparametric prior for the random intercepts, slopes, dynamics, and non-spherical error variances. We establish identification and consistency of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-13 Myunghyun Song , Sokbae Lee , Serena Ng

Approximate Bayesian inference based on Laplace approximation and quadrature methods have become increasingly popular for their efficiency at fitting latent Gaussian models (LGM), which encompass popular models such as Bayesian generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Dayi Li , Ziang Zhang

Quantification of the impact of uncertainty in material properties as well as the input ground motion on structural responses is an important step in implementing a performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework. Among various…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-12 Mohammad Amin Hariri-Ardebili , Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Siamak Sattar

Quantum phase estimation (QPE) is the key subroutine of several quantum computing algorithms as well as a central ingredient in quantum computational chemistry and quantum simulation. While QPE strategies have focused on the estimation of a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-07-26 Valentin Gebhart , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

The phase-field approach to brittle fracture provides a continuum framework for modeling crack initiation and propagation without explicit representation of discrete crack surfaces, provided the spatial discretization is fine enough to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Lucas Hermann , Ralf Jänicke , Knut Andreas Meyer , Ulrich Römer

The immersed finite element-finite difference (IFED) method is a computational approach to modeling interactions between a fluid and an immersed structure. This method uses a finite element (FE) method to approximate the stresses and forces…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-01 David Wells , Ben Vadala-Roth , Jae H. Lee , Boyce E. Griffith

Bayesian modelling of dynamic systems must achieve a compromise between providing a complete mechanistic specification of the process while retaining the flexibility to handle those situations in which data is sparse relative to model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-02 Daniel J. Tait , Bruce J. Worton

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell

Latent diffusion models have established a new state-of-the-art in high-resolution visual generation. Integrating Vision Foundation Model priors improves generative efficiency, yet existing latent designs remain largely heuristic. These…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Hangyu Liu , Jianyong Wang , Yutao Sun

This paper presents a hybrid model-AI framework for real-time dynamic security assessment of frequency stability in power systems. The proposed method rapidly estimates key frequency parameters under a dynamic set of disturbances, which are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-12 Francisco Zelaya-Arrazabal , Sebastian Martinez-Lizana , Hector Pulgar-Painemal , Jin Zhao

Accurate calibration of finite element (FE) models is essential across various biomechanical applications, including human intervertebral discs (IVDs), to ensure their reliability and use in diagnosing and planning treatments. However,…

Buildings rarely perform as designed/simulated and and there are numerous tangible benefits if this gap is reconciled. A new scientific yet pragmatic methodology - called Enhanced Parameter Estimation (EPE) - is proposed that allows…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-15 Kris Subbarao , Srijan Didwania , T. Agami Reddy , Marlin Addison

We propose consistent locally stabilized, conforming finite element schemes on completely unstructured simplicial space-time meshes for the numerical solution of non-autonomous parabolic evolution problems under the assumption of maximal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Ulrich Langer , Andreas Schafelner

We present an integrated approach for structure and parameter estimation in latent tree graphical models. Our overall approach follows a "divide-and-conquer" strategy that learns models over small groups of variables and iteratively merges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Furong Huang , Niranjan U. N. , Ioakeim Perros , Robert Chen , Jimeng Sun , Anima Anandkumar

The Finite Element Method (FEM) is generally unable to accurately predict natural frequencies and mode shapes of structures (eigenvalues and eigenvectors). Engineers develop numerical methods and a variety of techniques to compensate for…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-10-16 Daniel J Joubert , Tshilidzi Marwala

In this work the issue of Bayesian inference for stationary data is addressed. Therefor a parametrization of a statistically suitable subspace of the the shift-ergodic probability measures on a Cartesian product of some finite state space…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Fritz Moritz von Rohrscheidt

The paper introduces an adaptive version of the stabilized Trace Finite Element Method (TraceFEM) designed to solve low-regularity elliptic problems on level-set surfaces using a shape-regular bulk mesh in the embedding space. Two…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-21 Timo Heister , Maxim A. Olshanskii , Vladimir Yushutin

Eulerian nonlinear uncertainty propagation methods often suffer from finite domain limitations and computational inefficiencies. A recent approach to this class of algorithm, Grid-based Bayesian Estimation Exploiting Sparsity, addresses the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-20 Benjamin L. Hanson , Carlos Rubio , Adrián García-Gutiérrez , Thomas Bewley

The paper proposes a novel model assessment paradigm aiming to address shortcoming of posterior predictive $p-$values, which provide the default metric of fit for Bayesian structural equation modelling (BSEM). The model framework of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-30 Konstantinos Vamvourellis , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Irini Moustaki