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The world of empirical machine learning (ML) strongly relies on benchmarks in order to determine the relative effectiveness of different algorithms and methods. This paper proposes the notion of "a benchmark lottery" that describes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Mostafa Dehghani , Yi Tay , Alexey A. Gritsenko , Zhe Zhao , Neil Houlsby , Fernando Diaz , Donald Metzler , Oriol Vinyals

Learning to Rank (LETOR) algorithms are usually trained on annotated corpora where a single relevance label is assigned to each available document-topic pair. Within the Cranfield framework, relevance labels result from merging either…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Alberto Purpura , Gianmaria Silvello , Gian Antonio Susto

When predicting future events, it is common to issue forecasts that are probabilistic, in the form of probability distributions over the range of possible outcomes. Such forecasts can be evaluated using proper scoring rules. Proper scoring…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-15 Sam Allen

Learning to Rank (LTR) methods are vital in online economies, affecting users and item providers. Fairness in LTR models is crucial to allocate exposure proportionally to item relevance. Widely used deterministic LTR models can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Ruocheng Guo , Jean-François Ton , Yang Liu , Hang Li

This paper presents a novel ensemble learning approach called Residual Likelihood Forests (RLF). Our weak learners produce conditional likelihoods that are sequentially optimized using global loss in the context of previous learners within…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-05 Yan Zuo , Tom Drummond

We ask: Can focusing on likely classes of a single, in-domain sample improve model predictions? Prior work argued ``no''. We put forward a novel rationale in favor of ``yes'': Sharedness of features among classes indicates their reliability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Johannes Schneider

In this work, we address the problem of determining reliable policies in reinforcement learning (RL), with a focus on optimization under uncertainty and the need for performance guarantees. While classical RL algorithms aim at maximizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Nadir Farhi

This paper introduces a score-driven rating system, a generalization of the classical Elo rating system that employs the score, i.e. the gradient of the log-likelihood, as the updating mechanism for player and team ratings. The proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Vladimír Holý , Michal Černý

We consider training probabilistic classifiers in the case of a large number of classes. The number of classes is assumed too large to perform exact normalisation over all classes. To account for this we consider a simple approach that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-08 David Barber , Aleksandar Botev

In Natural Language Processing (NLP), the Elo rating system, originally designed for ranking players in dynamic games such as chess, is increasingly being used to evaluate Large Language Models (LLMs) through "A vs B" paired comparisons.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Meriem Boubdir , Edward Kim , Beyza Ermis , Sara Hooker , Marzieh Fadaee

In many daily tasks we make multiple decisions before reaching a goal. In order to learn such sequences of decisions, a mechanism to link earlier actions to later reward is necessary. Reinforcement learning theory suggests two classes of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-13 Marco Lehmann , He Xu , Vasiliki Liakoni , Michael Herzog , Wulfram Gerstner , Kerstin Preuschoff

IRT models are being increasingly used worldwide for test construction and scoring. The study examines the practical implications of estimating individual scores in a paper-and-pencil high-stakes test using 2PL and 3PL models, specifically…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-03 Nancy Lacourly , Jaime San Martin , Monica Silva , Paula Uribe

Reward models are a standard tool to score responses from LLMs. Reward models are built to rank responses to a fixed prompt sampled from a single model, for example to choose the best of n sampled responses. In this paper, we study whether…

Algorithmic decision systems are increasingly used in areas such as hiring, school admission, or loan approval. Typically, these systems rely on labeled data for training a classification model. However, in many scenarios, ground-truth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Jakob Schoeffer , Niklas Kuehl , Isabel Valera

Policy evaluation with linear function approximation is an important problem in reinforcement learning. When facing high-dimensional feature spaces, such a problem becomes extremely hard considering the computation efficiency and quality of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-28 Haifang Li , Yingce Xia , Wensheng Zhang

The universal-set naive Bayes classifier (UNB)~\cite{Komiya:13}, defined using likelihood ratios (LRs), was proposed to address imbalanced classification problems. However, the LR estimator used in the UNB overestimates LRs for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Masato Kikuchi , Tadachika Ozono

This paper investigates two feature-scoring criteria that make use of estimated class probabilities: one method proposed by \citet{shen} and a complementary approach proposed below. We develop a theoretical framework to analyze each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Andrea Danyluk , Nicholas Arnosti

State-of-the-art results in typical classification tasks are mostly achieved by unexplainable machine learning methods, like deep neural networks, for instance. Contrarily, in this paper, we investigate the application of rule learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Albert Nössig , Tobias Hell , Georg Moser

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated exceptional performance in the task of text ranking for information retrieval. While Pointwise ranking approaches offer computational efficiency by scoring documents independently, they often…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Jieran Li , Xiuyuan Hu , Yang Zhao , Shengyao Zhuang , Hao Zhang

Prior work has proposed a simple strategy for reinforcement learning (RL): label experience with the outcomes achieved in that experience, and then imitate the relabeled experience. These outcome-conditioned imitation learning methods are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Benjamin Eysenbach , Soumith Udatha , Sergey Levine , Ruslan Salakhutdinov