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Solar irradiance is the primary input for all solar energy generation systems. The amount of available solar radiation over time under the local weather conditions helps to decide the optimal location, technology and size of a solar energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-12-17 T. A. Fathima , Vasudevan Nedumpozhimana , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler , Soumyabrata Dev

Due to the increasing integration of solar power into the electrical grid, forecasting short-term solar irradiance has become key for many applications, e.g.~operational planning, power purchases, reserve activation, etc. In this context,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-13 Jesus Lago , Karel De Brabandere , Fjo De Ridder , Bart De Schutter

Solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment is expanding rapidly, yet detailed, up-to-date information on the spatial distribution and capacity of rooftop PV remains limited. This paper presents an open, scalable framework for detecting solar panels…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Shiliang Zhang , Sabita Maharjan , Damla Turgut

Surface solar irradiance varies on scales as small as seconds or meters due to scattering and absorption by the atmosphere. Clouds are the main driver of this variability, but moisture structures in the atmospheric boundary layer and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-08 Wouter Mol , Bert Heusinkveld , Mary Rose Mangan , Oscar Hartogensis , Menno Veerman , Chiel van Heerwaarden

Solar irradiance is fundamental data crucial for analyses related to weather and climate. High-precision estimation models are necessary to create areal data for solar irradiance. In this study, we developed a novel estimation model by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Jun Sasaki , Maki Okada , Kenji Utsunomiya , Koji Yamaguchi

The quantity of small scale solar photovoltaic (PV) arrays in the United States has grown rapidly in recent years. As a result, there is substantial interest in high quality information about the quantity, power capacity, and energy…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-10-03 Jordan M. Malof , Kyle Bradbury , Leslie M. Collins , Richard G. Newell

Estimating the amount of electricity that can be produced by rooftop photovoltaic systems is a time-consuming process that requires on-site measurements, a difficult task to achieve on a large scale. In this paper, we present an approach to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Daniel de Barros Soares , François Andrieux , Bastien Hell , Julien Lenhardt , Jordi Badosa , Sylvain Gavoille , Stéphane Gaiffas , Emmanuel Bacry

In this paper, we demonstrate the importance of embedding temporal information for an accurate prediction of solar irradiance. We have used two sets of models for forecasting solar irradiance. The first one uses only time series data of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-20 T. A. Fathima , Vasudevan Nedumpozhimana , Yee Hui Lee , Soumyabrata Dev

The intermittency of solar power, due to occlusion from cloud cover, is one of the key factors inhibiting its widespread use in both commercial and residential settings. Hence, real-time forecasting of solar irradiance for grid-connected…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Leron Julian , Aswin C. Sankaranarayanan

We report a data-parsimonious machine learning model for short-term forecasting of solar irradiance. The model inputs include sky camera images that are reduced to scalar features to meet data transmission constraints. The output irradiance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Joshua Edward Hammond , Ricardo A. Lara Orozco , Michael Baldea , Brian A. Korgel

Design and operation of a utility scale photovoltaic (PV) power plant depends on accurate modeling of the power generated, which is highly correlated with aggregate solar irradiance on the plant's PV modules. At present, aggregate solar…

Applications · Statistics 2015-02-17 Joshua Patrick , Jane Harvill , Clifford Hansen

The analysis of clouds in the earth's atmosphere is important for a variety of applications, viz. weather reporting, climate forecasting, and solar energy generation. In this paper, we focus our attention on the impact of cloud on the total…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-03-17 Soumyabrata Dev , Shilpa Manandhar , Feng Yuan , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

The total amount of solar irradiance falling on the earth's surface is an important area of study amongst the photo-voltaic (PV) engineers and remote sensing analysts. The received solar irradiance impacts the total amount of generated…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-23 Shilpa Manandhar , Soumyabrata Dev , Yee Hui Lee , Yu Song Meng

As the use of solar power increases, having accurate and timely forecasts will be essential for smooth grid operators. There are many proposed methods for forecasting solar irradiance / solar power production. However, many of these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Timothy Cargan , Dario Landa-Silva , Isaac Triguero

Solar power harbors immense potential in mitigating climate change by substantially reducing CO$_{2}$ emissions. Nonetheless, the inherent variability of solar irradiance poses a significant challenge for seamlessly integrating solar power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Oussama Boussif , Ghait Boukachab , Dan Assouline , Stefano Massaroli , Tianle Yuan , Loubna Benabbou , Yoshua Bengio

This communication is devoted to solar irradiance and irradiation short-term forecasts, which are useful for electricity production. Several different time series approaches are employed. Our results and the corresponding numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-29 Cédric Join , Cyril Voyant , Michel Fliess , Marc Muselli , Marie Laure Nivet , Christophe Paoli , Frédéric Chaxel

Knowing the behavior of solar radiation at a geographic location is essential for the use of energy from the sun using photovoltaic systems; however, the number of stations for measuring meteorological parameters and for determining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Luis Eduardo Ordoñez Palacios , Víctor Bucheli Guerrero , Hugo Ordoñez

Ground-based whole sky imagers (WSIs) can provide localized images of the sky of high temporal and spatial resolution, which permits fine-grained cloud observation. In this paper, we show how images taken by WSIs can be used to estimate…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-07 Soumyabrata Dev , Florian M. Savoy , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

This article addresses the formulation and validation of a simple PC based software application developed for simulating commercially available solar panels. The important feature of this application is its capability to produce speedy…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-01-22 Nalika Ulapane , Sunil Abeyratne , Prabath Binduhewa , Chamari Dhanapala , Shyama Wickramasinghe , Nimal Rathnayake

Clouds cast shadows on the surface and locally enhance solar irradiance by absorbing and scattering sunlight, resulting in fast and large solar irradiance fluctuations on the surface. Typical spatiotemporal scales and driving mechanisms of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-09 Wouter Mol , Bart van Stratum , Wouter Knap , Chiel van Heerwaarden