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Modern Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) are limited in their ability to consider the drivers intention, resulting in unnatural guidance and low customer acceptance. In this research, we focus on a novel data-driven approach to…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Robert van Wijk , Andrea Michelle Rios Lazcano , Xabier Carrera Akutain , Barys Shyrokau

High-impedance arc faults (HIAFs) in medium-voltage electrical distribution systems are difficult to detect due to their low fault current levels and nonlinear transient behavior. Traditional detection algorithms generally struggle with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-02 Mihir Sinha , Kriti Thakur , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Alivelu Manga Parimi , Mayukha Pal

In a clinical trial of a treatment for alcoholism, a common response variable of interest is the number of alcoholic drinks consumed by each subject each day, or an ordinal version of this response, with levels corresponding to abstinence,…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-08 Kenneth E. Shirley , Dylan S. Small , Kevin G. Lynch , Stephen A. Maisto , David W. Oslin

We study the frontier between learnable and unlearnable hidden Markov models (HMMs). HMMs are flexible tools for clustering dependent data coming from unknown populations. The model parameters are known to be fully identifiable (up to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Kweku Abraham , Zacharie Naulet , Elisabeth Gassiat

The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are powerful tools for modeling sequential data, where the underlying states evolve in a stochastic manner and are only indirectly observable. Traditional HMM approaches are well-established for linear sequences,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Farzan Vafa , Sahand Hormoz

We propose and investigate a hidden Markov model (HMM) for the analysis of dependent, aggregated, superimposed two-state signal recordings. A major motivation for this work is that often these signals cannot be observed individually but…

Data collected by wearable devices in sports provide valuable information about an athlete's behavior such as their activity, performance, and ability. These time series data can be studied with approaches such as hidden Markov and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-22 Shirley Rojas-Salazar , Erin M. Schliep , Christopher K. Wikle , Matthew Hawkey

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are a ubiquitous tool to model time series data, and have been widely used in two main tasks of Automatic Music Transcription (AMT): note segmentation, i.e. identifying the played notes after a multi-pitch…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-13 D. Cazau , G. Nuel

This work proposes a multi-agent filtering algorithm over graphs for finite-state hidden Markov models (HMMs), which can be used for sequential state estimation or for tracking opinion formation over dynamic social networks. We show that…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-10 Mert Kayaalp , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Ali H. Sayed

We consider two-state Non-Homogeneous Hidden Markov Models (NHHMMs) for forecasting univariate time series. Given a set of predictors, the time series are modeled via predictive regressions with state dependent coefficients and time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-31 Constandina Koki , Loukia Meligkotsidou , Ioannis Vrontos

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are powerful tools for analysing time series data that depend on discrete underlying but unobserved states. As such, they have gained prominence across numerous empirical disciplines, in particular ecology,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Jan-Ole Fischer

A key question in sequence modeling with neural networks is how to represent and learn highly nonlinear and probabilistic state dynamics. Operator theory views such dynamics as linear maps on Hilbert spaces containing mean embedding vectors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Jinwoo Kim , Max Beier , Petar Bevanda , Nayun Kim , Seunghoon Hong

Gravitational wave searches for continuous-wave signals from neutron stars are especially challenging when the star's spin frequency is unknown a priori from electromagnetic observations and wanders stochastically under the action of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-07-13 S. Suvorova , L. Sun , A. Melatos , W. Moran , R. J. Evans

We propose a hidden Markov model for univariate proportion time series taking values in (0,1), where regime switching captures latent structural changes and the emission distribution belongs to the Beta family. In each latent state, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Andrea Nigri , Han Lin Shang , Marco Bonetti

Hidden semi-Markov Models (HSMM's) - while broadly in use - are restricted to a discrete and uniform time grid. They are thus not well suited to explain often irregularly spaced discrete event data from continuous-time phenomena. We show…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Nicolai Engelmann , Heinz Koeppl

Actigraphy is widely used in sleep studies but lacks a universal unsupervised algorithm for sleep/wake identification. In this study, we proposed a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) based unsupervised algorithm that can automatically and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-10 Xinyue Li , Yunting Zhang , Fan Jiang , Hongyu Zhao

We propose the Gaussian-Linear Hidden Markov model (GLHMM), a generalisation of different types of HMMs commonly used in neuroscience. In short, the GLHMM is a general framework where linear regression is used to flexibly parameterise the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-02 Diego Vidaurre , Laura Masaracchia , Nick Y. Larsen , Lenno R. P. T Ruijters , Sonsoles Alonso , Christine Ahrends , Mark W. Woolrich

Hidden Markov models have successfully been applied as models of discrete time series in many fields. Often, when applied in practice, the parameters of these models have to be estimated. The currently predominating identification methods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-24 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg

(Abridged) We consider dynamics and turbulent interaction of whistler modes within the framework of inertialess electron MHD (EMHD). We argue there is no energy principle in EMHD: any stationary closed configuration is neutrally stable. We…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2013-11-27 Maxim Lyutikov