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Related papers: Counterfactual Multi-task Learning for Delayed Con…

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Predicting counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data, where sequential treatment decisions heavily depend on evolving patient states, is critical yet notoriously challenging due to complex time-dependent confounding and inadequate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-15 Farbod Alinezhad , Jianfei Cao , Gary J. Young , Brady Post

Self-supervision is one of the hallmarks of representation learning in the increasingly popular suite of foundation models including large language models such as BERT and GPT-3, but it has not been pursued in the context of multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Xiao Shou , Dharmashankar Subramanian , Debarun Bhattacharjya , Tian Gao , Kristin P. Bennet

E-commerce app users exhibit behaviors that are inherently logically consistent. A series of multi-scenario user behaviors interconnect to form the scene-level all-domain user moveline, which ultimately reveals the user's true intention.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Chen Gao , Zixin Zhao , Lv Shao , Tong Liu

Delayed feedback poses a core challenge for online CVR prediction, forcing a trade-off between label accuracy and data freshness. Existing methods address this through delay modeling or sample reweighting, yet neglect how post-click…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Xinyue Zhang , Yuanhao Ding , Xiang Ao

In video recommendation, an ongoing effort is to satisfy users' personalized information needs by leveraging their logged watch time. However, watch time prediction suffers from duration bias, hindering its ability to reflect users'…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Haiyuan Zhao , Guohao Cai , Jieming Zhu , Zhenhua Dong , Jun Xu , Ji-Rong Wen

Conversion rate prediction is critical to many online applications such as digital display advertising. To capture dynamic data distribution, industrial systems often require retraining models on recent data daily or weekly. However, the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Yifan Wang , Peijie Sun , Min Zhang , Qinglin Jia , Jingjie Li , Shaoping Ma

Marketing optimization plays an important role to enhance user engagement in online Internet platforms. Existing studies usually formulate this problem as a budget allocation problem and solve it by utilizing two fully decoupled stages,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Hao Zhou , Rongxiao Huang , Shaoming Li , Guibin Jiang , Jiaqi Zheng , Bing Cheng , Wei Lin

Uplift models support decision-making in marketing campaign planning. Estimating the causal effect of a marketing treatment, an uplift model facilitates targeting communication to responsive customers and efficient allocation of marketing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Robin M. Gubela , Stefan Lessmann , Szymon Jaroszewicz

With expansion of the video advertising market, research to predict the effects of video advertising is getting more attention. Although effect prediction of image advertising has been explored a lot, prediction for video advertising is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Jun Ikeda , Hiroyuki Seshime , Xueting Wang , Toshihiko Yamasaki

Post-click conversion, as a strong signal indicating the user preference, is salutary for building recommender systems. However, accurately estimating the post-click conversion rate (CVR) is challenging due to the selection bias, i.e., the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Siyuan Guo , Lixin Zou , Yiding Liu , Wenwen Ye , Suqi Cheng , Shuaiqiang Wang , Hechang Chen , Dawei Yin , Yi Chang

Generating accurate and reliable sales forecasts is crucial in the E-commerce business. The current state-of-the-art techniques are typically univariate methods, which produce forecasts considering only the historical sales data of a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Kasun Bandara , Peibei Shi , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage , Quoc Tran , Brian Seaman

The goal of online display advertising is to entice users to "convert" (i.e., take a pre-defined action such as making a purchase) after clicking on the ad. An important measure of the value of an ad is the probability of conversion. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-25 Abdollah Safari , Rachel MacKay Altman , Thomas M. Loughin

Click through rate(CTR) prediction is a core task in advertising systems. The booming e-commerce business in our company, results in a growing number of scenes. Most of them are so-called long-tail scenes, which means that the traffic of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Junyou He , Guibao Mei , Feng Xing , Xiaorui Yang , Yongjun Bao , Weipeng Yan

Recent advancements have underscored the impact of deep learning techniques on multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). Generally, these techniques are bifurcated into two categories: Channel-independence and Channel-mixing approaches.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Shiyi Qi , Liangjian Wen , Yiduo Li , Yuanhang Yang , Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

Accurately forecasting the impact of macroeconomic events is critical for investors and policymakers. Salient events like monetary policy decisions and employment reports often trigger market movements by shaping expectations of economic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Yang Zhang , Wenbo Yang , Jun Wang , Qiang Ma , Jie Xiong

Recommendation is a prevalent and critical service in information systems. To provide personalized suggestions to users, industry players embrace machine learning, more specifically, building predictive models based on the click behavior…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Wenjie Wang , Fuli Feng , Xiangnan He , Hanwang Zhang , Tat-Seng Chua

Large pre-trained multimodal models have demonstrated significant success in a range of downstream tasks, including image captioning, image-text retrieval, visual question answering (VQA), etc. However, many of these methods rely on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Zikang Liu , Sihan Chen , Longteng Guo , Handong Li , Xingjian He , Jing Liu

Collaborative Metric Learning (CML) has recently emerged as a popular method in recommendation systems (RS), closing the gap between metric learning and collaborative filtering. Following the convention of RS, existing practices exploit…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Shilong Bao , Qianqian Xu , Zhiyong Yang , Yuan He , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a critical task in online advertising systems. Models like Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are simple but stateless. They consider each target ad independently and cannot directly extract useful…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Wentao Ouyang , Xiuwu Zhang , Shukui Ren , Li Li , Zhaojie Liu , Yanlong Du

The dichotomy between the challenging nature of obtaining annotations for activities, and the more straightforward nature of data collection from wearables, has resulted in significant interest in the development of techniques that utilize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Harish Haresamudram , Irfan Essa , Thomas Ploetz
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