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We introduce Volume-Sorted Prediction Set (VSPS), a novel method for uncertainty quantification in multi-target regression that uses conditional normalizing flows with conformal calibration. This approach constructs flexible, non-convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Multivariate associated kernel estimators, which depend on both target point and bandwidth matrix, are appropriate for partially or totally bounded distributions and generalize the classical ones as Gaussian. Previous studies on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Célestin C. Kokonendji , Sobom M. Somé

We present a multivariate Gaussian process regression approach for parameter field reconstruction based on the field's measurements collected at two different scales, the coarse and fine scales. The proposed approach treats the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 David A. Barajas-Solano , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

While split conformal prediction guarantees marginal coverage, approaching the stronger property of conditional coverage is essential for reliable uncertainty quantification. Naive conformal scores, however, suffer from poor conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Sacha Braun , Eugène Berta , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

In this article we investigate the effects of conformal transformations on kernel functions used in Support Vector Machines. Our focus lies in the task of text document categorization, which involves assigning each document to a particular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Ioana Rădulescu , Alexandra Băicoianu , Adela Mihai

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert

In real supervised learning scenarios, it is not uncommon that the training and test sample follow different probability distributions, thus rendering the necessity to correct the sampling bias. Focusing on a particular covariate shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Yaoliang Yu , Csaba Szepesvari

In this PhD thesis, we propose a novel framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, which is based on proper scores. Uncertainty quantification is an important cornerstone for trustworthy and reliable machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Sebastian G. Gruber

Depth measures are powerful tools for defining level sets in emerging, non--standard, and complex random objects such as high-dimensional multivariate data, functional data, and random graphs. Despite their favorable theoretical properties,…

Multiple kernel clustering (MKC) is committed to achieving optimal information fusion from a set of base kernels. Constructing precise and local kernel matrices is proved to be of vital significance in applications since the unreliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Liang Li , Siwei Wang , Xinwang Liu , En Zhu , Li Shen , Kenli Li , Keqin Li

In the multivariate regression, also referred to as multi-task learning in machine learning, the goal is to recover a vector-valued function based on noisy observations. The vector-valued function is often assumed to be of low rank.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Wenjia Wang , Yi-Hui Zhou

The solution to a multivariate linear Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) with constant initial state is well known to be a Gaussian Markov process, but its covariance kernel involves the solution to an integral equation in the general…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Kerry Fendick

We propose kernel sequential Monte Carlo (KSMC), a framework for sampling from static target densities. KSMC is a family of sequential Monte Carlo algorithms that are based on building emulator models of the current particle system in a…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-26 Ingmar Schuster , Heiko Strathmann , Brooks Paige , Dino Sejdinovic

We develop a predictive inference procedure that combines conformal prediction (CP) with unconditional quantile regression (QR) -- a commonly used tool in econometrics that involves regressing the recentered influence function (RIF) of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Ahmed M. Alaa , Zeshan Hussain , David Sontag

In the univariate setting, using the kernel spectral representation is an appealing approach for generating stationary covariance functions. However, performing the same task for multiple-output Gaussian processes is substantially more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Fergus Simpson , Alexis Boukouvalas , Vaclav Cadek , Elvijs Sarkans , Nicolas Durrande

This article provides a practical introduction to kernel discrepancies, focusing on the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD), the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC), and the Kernel Stein Discrepancy (KSD). Various estimators for these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-03 Antonin Schrab

Selecting high-quality candidates from large-scale datasets is critically important in resource-constrained applications such as drug discovery, precision medicine, and the alignment of large language models. While conformal selection…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Qingyang Hao , Wenbo Liao , Bingyi Jing , Hongxin Wei

Multivariate kernel density estimations have received much spate of interest. In addition to conventional methods of (non-)classical associated-kernels for (un)bounded densities and bandwidth selections, the multiple extended-beta kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Sobom M. Somé , Célestin C. Kokonendji , Francial G. B. Libengué Dobélé-Kpoka

We present a geometric formulation of the Multiple Kernel Learning (MKL) problem. To do so, we reinterpret the problem of learning kernel weights as searching for a kernel that maximizes the minimum (kernel) distance between two convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-03-18 John Moeller , Parasaran Raman , Avishek Saha , Suresh Venkatasubramanian

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a powerful nonparametric Bayesian framework, but its performance depends critically on the choice of covariance kernel. Selecting an appropriate kernel is therefore central to model quality, yet remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Md Shafiqul Islam , Shakti Prasad Padhy , Douglas Allaire , Raymundo Arróyave