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A recursive state estimation procedure is derived for a linear time varying system with both parametric uncertainties and stochastic measurement droppings. This estimator has a similar form as that of the Kalman filter with intermittent…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Tong Zhou

This article presents an original methodology for the prediction of steady turbulent aerodynamic fields. Due to the important computational cost of high-fidelity aerodynamic simulations, a surrogate model is employed to cope with the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-05 Romain Dupuis , Jean-Christophe Jouhaud , Pierre Sagaut

State estimation is a fundamental problem in control and signal processing, for which the Kalman Filter provides an optimal solution under linear dynamics, Gaussian noise, and known noise covariances. However, these assumptions often fail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Vasileios Saketos , Ming Xiao

This study focuses on two important problems related to applying offline model-based optimization to real-world industrial control problems. The first problem is how to create a reliable probabilistic model that accurately captures the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Cheng Feng

Learning the Individual Treatment Effect (ITE) is essential for personalized decision-making, yet causal inference has traditionally focused on aggregated treatment effects. While integrating conformal prediction with causal inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Chenyin Gao , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

This paper presents a novel filter with low computational demand to address the problem of orientation estimation of a robotic platform. This is conventionally addressed by extended Kalman filtering of measurements from a sensor suit which…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-12-02 Oscar De Silva , George K. I. Mann , Raymond G. Gosine

The development of a reliable and robust surrogate model is often constrained by the dimensionality of the problem. For a system with high-dimensional inputs/outputs (I/O), conventional approaches usually use a low-dimensional manifold to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-01 Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

Reliable state estimation hinges on accurate specification of sensor noise covariances, which weigh heterogeneous measurements. In practice, these covariances are difficult to identify due to environmental variability, front-end…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Haoying Li , Yifan Peng , Xinghan Li , Junfeng Wu

The non-equilibrium dynamics of mesoscale phase transitions are fundamentally shaped by thermal fluctuations, which not only seed instabilities but actively control kinetic pathways, including rare barrier-crossing events such as nucleation…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Luning Sun , Van Hai Nguyen , Shusen Liu , John Klepeis , Fei Zhou

Surrogate markers offer the potential to reduce the burden of data collection by replacing costly or invasive primary outcomes with more accessible measurements, provided that they can faithfully indicate the effectiveness of a treatment.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Silvaneo V. dos Santos , Layla Parast

We propose a model order reduction approach for non-intrusive surrogate modeling of parametric dynamical systems. The reduced model over the whole parameter space is built by combining surrogates in frequency only, built at few selected…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-23 Fabio Nobile , Davide Pradovera

We consider the problem of communication allocation for remote state estimation in a cognitive radio sensor network~(CRSN). A sensor collects measurements of a physical plant, and transmits the data to a remote estimator as a secondary user…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-28 Lingying Huang , Jiazheng Wang , Enoch Kung , Yilin Mo , Junfeng Wu , Ling Shi

We present a stochastic predictive controller for discrete time linear time invariant systems under incomplete state information. Our approach is based on a suitable choice of control policies, stability constraints, and employment of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Prabhat Kumar Mishra , Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel E. Quevedo

In this article, we complement recent results on the convergence of the state estimate obtained by applying the discrete-time Kalman filter on a time-sampled continuous-time system. As the temporal discretization is refined, the estimate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Atte Aalto

We consider optimal experimental design for parameter estimation in dynamical systems governed by controlled ordinary differential equations. In such problems, Fisher-based criteria are attractive because they lead to time-additive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Luc de Montella , Sebastian Sager

We tackle the problem of quantifying failure probabilities for expensive deterministic computer experiments with stochastic inputs under a fixed budget. The computational cost of the computer simulation prohibits direct Monte Carlo (MC) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Annie S. Booth , S. Ashwin Renganathan

In this paper, a singular value decomposition (SVD) approach is developed for implementing the cubature Kalman filter. The discussed estimator is one of the most popular and widely used method for solving nonlinear Bayesian filtering…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Maria V. Kulikova , Gennady Yu. Kulikov

Square-root Kalman filters propagate state covariances in Cholesky-factor form for numerical stability, and are a natural target for gradient-based parameter learning in state-space models. Their core operation, triangularization of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Adrien Corenflos

Motivated by a computer model calibration problem from the oil and gas industry, involving the design of a honeycomb seal, we develop a new Bayesian methodology to cope with limitations in the canonical apparatus stemming from several…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-19 Jiangeng Huang , Robert B. Gramacy , Mickael Binois , Mirko Libraschi

The method of constrained randomisation is applied to three-dimensional simulated galaxy distributions. With this technique we generate for a given data set surrogate data sets which have the same linear properties as the original data…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 C. Raeth , W. Bunk , M. Huber , G. Morfill , J. Retzlaff , P. Schuecker