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Surrogate endpoint (SE) for overall survival in cancer patients is essential to improving the efficiency of oncology drug development. In practice, we may discover a new patient level association with survival, based on one or more clinical…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-08 Wei Zou

Surrogate models - also called emulators - are widely used to facilitate Bayesian inference in settings where computational costs preclude the use of standard posterior inference algorithms. Their deployment is now standard practice across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Andrew Gerard Roberts , Michael C. Dietze , Jonathan H. Huggins

The surrogate data method is widely applied as a data dependent technique to test observed time series against a barrage of hypotheses. However, often the hypotheses one is able to address are not those of greatest interest, particularly…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Xiaodong Luo , Tomomichi Nakamura , Michael Small

How should researchers conduct causal inference when the outcome of interest is latent and measured imperfectly by multiple indicators? We develop a general nonparametric framework for identifying and estimating average treatment effects on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

Recently, neural surrogate models have emerged as a compelling alternative to traditional simulation workflows. This is accomplished by modeling the underlying function of scientific simulations, removing the need to run expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Xiaohan Wang , Zhimin Li , Joshua A. Levine , Matthew Berger

A surrogate function is often employed to reduce the number of objective function evaluations for optimization. However, the effect of using a surrogate model in evolutionary approaches has not been theoretically investigated. This paper…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Youhei Akimoto

Recent evidence highlights the usefulness of DNA methylation (DNAm) biomarkers as surrogates for exposure to risk factors for non-communicable diseases in epidemiological studies and randomized trials. DNAm variability has been demonstrated…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-28 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Ieva , Giovanni Fiorito

We present a new active learning framework for multiclass classification based on surrogate risk minimization that operates beyond the standard realizability assumption. Existing surrogate-based active learning algorithms crucially rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Atul Ganju , Shashaank Aiyer , Ved Sriraman , Karthik Sridharan

Recently, a surrogate model was proposed that employs a factorization machine to approximate the underlying input-output mapping of the original system, with quantum annealing used to optimize the resulting surrogate function. Inspired by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Anbang Wang , Dunbo Cai , Yu Zhang , Yangqing Huang , Xiangyang Feng , Zhihong Zhang

We study target-population distributional and quantile treatment effects when a source study observes treatment and post-treatment surrogates for all source units but observes a long-run primary outcome only for a validation subset, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Pengyun Wang

Random-effects meta-analyses are widely used for evidence synthesis in medical research. However, conventional methods based on large-sample approximations often exhibit poor performance in case of very few studies (e.g., 2 to 4), which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Ao Huang , Christian Röver , Tim Friede

We consider a class of stochastic programming problems where the implicitly decision-dependent random variable follows a nonparametric regression model with heteroscedastic error. The Clarke subdifferential and surrogate functions are not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Boyang Shen , Junyi Liu

Meta-analysis, by synthesizing effect estimates from multiple studies conducted in diverse settings, stands at the top of the evidence hierarchy in clinical research. Yet, conventional approaches based on fixed- or random-effects models…

Surrogate endpoints are very important in regulatory decision-making in healthcare, in particular if they can be measured early compared to the long-term final clinical outcome and act as good predictors of clinical benefit. Bivariate…

We study the identification and estimation of long-term treatment effects under unobserved confounding by combining an experimental sample, where the long-term outcome is missing, with an observational sample, where the treatment assignment…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-27 Ting-Chih Hung , Yu-Chang Chen

Online media platforms often need to measure how frequently users are exposed to specific content attributes in order to evaluate trade-offs in A/B experiments. A direct approach is to sample content, label it using a high-quality rubric…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-19 Zehao Xu , Tony Paek , Kevin O'Sullivan , Attila Dobi

The optimization of algorithm (hyper-)parameters is crucial for achieving peak performance across a wide range of domains, ranging from deep neural networks to solvers for hard combinatorial problems. The resulting algorithm configuration…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-31 Katharina Eggensperger , Marius Lindauer , Holger H. Hoos , Frank Hutter , Kevin Leyton-Brown

We introduce CODES, a benchmark for comprehensive evaluation of surrogate architectures for coupled ODE systems. Besides standard metrics like mean squared error (MSE) and inference time, CODES provides insights into surrogate behaviour…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Robin Janssen , Immanuel Sulzer , Tobias Buck

Active learning is a type of sequential design for supervised machine learning, in which the learning algorithm sequentially requests the labels of selected instances from a large pool of unlabeled data points. The objective is to produce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-14 Steve Hanneke , Liu Yang

Surrogate modeling and active subspaces have emerged as powerful paradigms in computational science and engineering. Porting such techniques to computational models in the social sciences brings into sharp relief their limitations in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-19 Nathan Wycoff
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