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We propose Lite-STGNN, a lightweight spatial-temporal graph neural network for long-term multivariate forecasting that integrates decomposition-based temporal modeling with learnable sparse graph structure. The temporal module applies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Henok Tenaw Moges , Deshendran Moodley

Accurate spatial-temporal (ST) prediction for dynamic systems, such as urban mobility and weather patterns, is crucial but hindered by complex ST correlations and the challenge of concurrently modeling long-term trends with short-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Sina Ehsani , Fenglian Pan , Qingpei Hu , Jian Liu

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

The accumulated remote sensing data of altimeters and scatterometers have provided a new opportunity to forecast the ocean states and improve the knowledge in ocean/atmosphere exchanges. Few previous studies have focused on sea level…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-16 Guosong Wang , Xidong Wang , Xinrong Wu , Kexiu Liu , Yiquan Qi , Chunjian Sun , Hongli Fu

Hurricanes are cyclones circulating about a defined center whose closed wind speeds exceed 75 mph originating over tropical and subtropical waters. At landfall, hurricanes can result in severe disasters. The accuracy of predicting their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Sheila Alemany , Jonathan Beltran , Adrian Perez , Sam Ganzfried

Accurate short-term warnings for extreme precipitation are critical for global disaster mitigation but are hindered by a persistent predictability barrier at the 2-6 hour horizon -- the "nowcasting gray zone." In this window, traditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-29 Haofei Sun , Yunfan Yang , Wei Han , Wei Huang , Huaguan Chen , Zhiqiu Gao , Zeting Li , Zhaoyang Huo , Zeyi Niu

Computational complexity has been the bottleneck of applying physically-based simulations on large urban areas with high spatial resolution for efficient and systematic flooding analyses and risk assessments. To address this issue of long…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-14 Zifeng Guo , Joao P. Leitao , Nuno E. Simoes , Vahid Moosavi

Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Mohammad Reza Ehsani , Ariyan Zarei , Hoshin V. Gupta , Kobus Barnard , Ali Behrangi

Deep-learning-based surrogate models provide an efficient complement to numerical simulations for subsurface flow problems such as CO$_2$ geological storage. Accurately capturing the impact of faults on CO$_2$ plume migration remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Xin Ju , François P. Hamon , Gege Wen , Rayan Kanfar , Mauricio Araya-Polo , Hamdi A. Tchelepi

This study focuses on multi-step spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting for the Norwegian continental shelf. The study aims to leverage spatial dependencies through the relative physical location of different measurement stations to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

Estimating the shortest travel time and providing route recommendation between different locations in a city or region can quantitatively measure the conditions of the transportation network during or after extreme events. One common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Tong Liu , Hadi Meidani

The safe and stable operation of power systems is greatly challenged by the high variability and randomness of wind power in large-scale wind-power-integrated grids. Wind power forecasting is an effective solution to tackle this issue, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Hao Liu , Huimin Ma , Tianyu Hu

Devising and analyzing learning models for spatiotemporal network data is of importance for tasks including forecasting, anomaly detection, and multi-agent coordination, among others. Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNNs) are an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Mohammad Sabbaqi , Elvin Isufi

Graph neural networks (GNNs) model nonlinear representations in graph data with applications in distributed agent coordination, control, and planning among others. Current GNN architectures assume ideal scenarios and ignore link…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-01 Zhan Gao , Elvin Isufi , Alejandro Ribeiro

Time series forecasting is essential for our daily activities and precise modeling of the complex correlations and shared patterns among multiple time series is essential for improving forecasting performance. Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Yue Jiang , Xiucheng Li , Yile Chen , Shuai Liu , Weilong Kong , Antonis F. Lentzakis , Gao Cong

Accurate real-time traffic forecast is critical for intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and it serves as the cornerstone of various smart mobility applications. Though this research area is dominated by deep learning, recent studies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Yihong Tang , Ao Qu , Andy H. F. Chow , William H. K. Lam , S. C. Wong , Wei Ma

Traffic forecasting is the foundation for intelligent transportation systems. Spatiotemporal graph neural networks have demonstrated state-of-the-art performance in traffic forecasting. However, these methods do not explicitly model some of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Qipeng Qian , Tanwi Mallick

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is essential for efficient grid management and sustainable power planning. However, traditional supervised models often require access to labeled data from the target site, which may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Abderaouf Bahi , Amel Ourici , Ibtissem Gasmi , Aida Derrablia , Warda Deghmane , Mohamed Amine Ferrag

Traffic forecasting is a core element of intelligent traffic monitoring system. Approaches based on graph neural networks have been widely used in this task to effectively capture spatial and temporal dependencies of road networks. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Yaobin Xu , Weitang Liu , Zhongyi Jiang , Zixuan Xu , Tingyun Mao , Lili Chen , Mingwei Zhou

Recent advances in data-generating techniques led to an explosive growth of geo-spatiotemporal data. In domains such as hydrology, ecology, and transportation, interpreting the complex underlying patterns of spatiotemporal interactions with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Aishwarya Sarkar , Chaoqun Lu , Ali Jannesari