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We study the persistence and extinction of species in a simple food chain that is modelled by a Lotka-Volterra system with environmental stochasticity. There exist sharp results for deterministic Lotka-Volterra systems in the literature but…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen

The large deviations at Level 2.5 are applied to Markov processes with absorbing states in order to obtain the explicit extinction rate of metastable quasi-stationary states in terms of their empirical time-averaged density and of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-13 Cecile Monthus

The subcritical Markov branching process X(t) starting with one particle as the initial condition has the ultimate extinction probability q = 1. The branching mechanism in consideration is defined by the mixture of logarithmic distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Penka Mayster , Assen Tchorbadjieff

Frequency-dependent selection reflects the interaction between different species as they battle for limited resources in their environment. In a stochastic evolutionary game the species relative fitnesses guides the evolutionary dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic , Liam Peuckert

In this paper, we study extinction in dynamical systems generated by reaction networks. We introduce two notions: weak extinction and strong extinction, and relate them to the structure of the underlying network through Lyapunov functions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Pranav Agarwal , Gheorghe Craciun , Abhishek Deshpande , Jiaxin Jin

We consider a nonlinear coupled discrete-time model of population dynamics. This model describes the movement of populations within a heterogeneous landscape, where the growth of subpopulations are modelled by (possibly different) bounded…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Blake McGrane-Corrigan , Oliver Mason , Rafael de Andrade Moral

Birth and death Markov processes can model stochastic physical systems from percolation to disease spread and, in particular, wildfires. We introduce and analyze a birth-death-suppression Markov process as a model of controlled culling of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-10-11 George Hulsey , David L. Alderson , Jean Carlson

Established populations often exhibit oscillations in their sizes. If a population is isolated, intrinsic stochasticity of elemental processes can ultimately bring it to extinction. Here we study extinction of oscillating populations in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Naftali R. Smith , Baruch Meerson

We consider excursions for a class of stochastic processes describing a population of discrete individuals experiencing density-limited growth, such that the population has a finite carrying capacity and behaves qualitatively like the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-10 Todd L. Parsons

We study the biodiversity problem for resource competition systems with extinctions and self-limitation effects. Our main result establishes estimates of biodiversity in terms of the fundamental parameters of the model. We also prove the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-12 Vladimir Kozlov , Sergey Vakulenko , Uno Wennergren , Vladimir G. Tkachev

This paper studies stochastic boundedness of trajectories of a nonvanishing stochastically perturbed stable LTI system. First, two definitions on stochastic boundedness of stochastic processes are presented, then the boundedness is analyzed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Peyman Azodi , Alireza Khayatian , Elham Jamalinia , Peyman Setoodeh

Consider the continuous-time Markov Branching Process. In critical case we consider a situation when the generating function of intensity of transformation of particles has the infinite second moment, but its tail regularly varies in sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Azam Imomov

In this paper we study a 2-type linear-fractional branching process in varying environment with asymptotically constant mean matrices. Let $\nu$ be the extinction time and for $k\ge1$ let $M_k$ be the mean matrix of offspring distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Hua-Ming Wang

We studied metastability and extinction time of a finite system with a large number of interacting components in discrete time by means of analytical and numerical investigation. The system is markovian with respect to the potential profile…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-12-27 L. Brochini , M. Abadi

Representations of branching Markov processes and their measure-valued limits in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed for models with spatially varying birth and death rates. Each particle has a location and a "level,"…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Thomas G. Kurtz , Eliane R. Rodrigues

In its simplest form, the competitive exclusion principle states that a number of species competing for a smaller number of resources cannot coexist. However, it has been observed empirically that in some settings it is possible to have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-18 Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen

In this paper, we generalize the classical Yosida approximation by utilizing a nonstandard duality mapping to establish the existence and uniqueness of both (probabilistically) weak and strong solutions and demonstrate the continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Wujing Fan , Wei Hong , Wei Liu

In this paper, a stochastic SEQIR epidemic model with Markovian regime-switching is proposed and investigated. The governmental policy and implement efficiency are concerned by a generalized incidence function of the susceptible class. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Hongjie Fan , Kai Wang , Yanling Zhu

Macroevolution is considered as a problem of stochastic dynamics in a system with many competing agents. Evolutionary events (speciations and extinctions) are triggered by fitness records found by random exploration of the agents' fitness…

adap-org · Physics 2017-01-11 Paolo Sibani , Michael Brandt , Preben Alstroem

We consider a stochastic model for an evolving population. We show that in the presence of genotype extinctions the population dies out for a low mutation probability but may survive for a high mutation probability. This turns upside down…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-24 Rinaldo B. Schinazi
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