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Data assimilation is a vital component in modern global medium-range weather forecasting systems to obtain the best estimation of the atmospheric state by combining the short-term forecast and observations. Recently, AI-based data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Kun Chen , Tao Chen , Peng Ye , Hao Chen , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

This paper considers the ill-posed data assimilation problem associated with hyperbolic/parabolic systems describing 2D coupled sound and heat flow. Given hypothetical data at time T > 0, that may not correspond to an actual solution of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Alfred S. Carasso

State estimation in multi-layer turbulent flow fields with only a single layer of partial observation remains a challenging yet practically important task. Applications include inferring the state of the deep ocean by exploiting surface…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-30 Zhongrui Wang , Nan Chen , Di Qi

We develop an algebraic framework for sequential data assimilation of partially observed dynamical systems. In this framework, Bayesian data assimilation is embedded in a non-abelian operator algebra, which provides a representation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 David Freeman , Dimitrios Giannakis , Brian Mintz , Abbas Ourmazd , Joanna Slawinska

Data assimilation (DA) provides a general framework for estimation in dynamical systems based on the concepts of Bayesian inference. This constitutes a common basis for the different linear and nonlinear filtering and smoothing techniques…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Tarek Diaa-Eldeen , Marcus Krogh Nielsen , Carl Fredrik Berg , Morten Hovd , John Bagterp Jørgensen

An intrinsic property of almost any physical measuring device is that it makes observations which are slightly blurred in time. We consider a nudging-based approach for data assimilation that constructs an approximate solution based on a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Michael S. Jolly , Vincent R. Martinez , Eric J. Olson , Edriss S. Titi

This report develops several modular, 2-step realizations (inspired by Kalman filter algorithms) of nudging-based data assimilation $$Step \ 1 \quad \frac{\widetilde {v}^{n+1}-v^{n}}{k}+v^{n}\cdot \nabla \widetilde {v}^{n+1}-\nu \triangle…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Aytekin Çıbık , Rui Fang , William Layton

Nudging is a data assimilation method amenable to both analysis and implementation. It also has the (reported) advantage of being insensitive to model errors compared to other assimilation methods. However, nudging behavior in the presence…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Aytekin Çibik , Rui Fang , William Layton , Farjana Siddiqua

Data assimilation algorithms estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations, where the successful performance of these algorithms hinges on costly parameter tuning and on employing an accurate model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Data assimilation (DA) aims at forecasting the state of a dynamical system by combining a mathematical representation of the system with noisy observations taking into account their uncertainties. State of the art methods are based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Pierre Boudier , Anthony Fillion , Serge Gratton , Selime Gürol , Sixin Zhang

The four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) has emerged as an important methodology, widely used in numerical weather prediction, oceanographic modeling, and climate forecasting. Classical unconstrained gradient-based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Bowen Li , Bin Shi

We propose an iterative method for joint state and parameter estimation using measurements on a time interval [0,T] for systems that are backward output stabilizable. Since this time interval is fixed, errors in initial state may have a big…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-23 Atte Aalto

Developing robust data assimilation methods for hyperbolic conservation laws is a challenging subject. Those PDEs indeed show no dissipation effects and the input of additional information in the model equations may introduce errors that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Anne-Céline Boulanger , Philippe Moireau , Benoit Perthame , Jacques Sainte-Marie

In this article, we prove that data assimilation by feedback nudging can be achieved for the three-dimensional quasi-geostrophic equation in a simplified scenario using only large spatial scale observables on the dynamical boundary. On this…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-12-12 Michael S. Jolly , Vincent R. Martinez , Edriss S. Titi

In this paper we propose a continuous data assimilation (downscaling) algorithm for a two-dimensional B\'enard convection problem. Specifically we consider the two-dimensional Boussinesq system of a layer of incompressible fluid between two…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Aseel Farhat , Evelyn Lunasin , Edriss S. Titi

Motivated by the challenge of moment recovery in hydrodynamic approximation in kinetic theory, we propose a data-driven approach for the hydrodynamic models. Inspired by continuous data assimilation, our method introduces a relaxation-based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-25 Jingcheng Lu , Kunlun Qi , Li Wang , Jeff Calder

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge

In this paper we introduce and analyze an algorithm for continuous data assimilation for a three-dimensional Brinkman-Forchheimer-extended Darcy (3D BFeD) model of porous media. This model is believed to be accurate when the flow velocity…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Peter A. Markowich , Edriss S. Titi , Saber Trabelsi

This paper contains the latest installment of the authors' project on developing ensemble based data assimilation methodology for high dimensional fluid dynamics models. The algorithm presented here is a particle filter that combines model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Colin Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

We provide a clear and concise introduction to the subjects of inverse problems and data assimilation, and their inter-relations. The first part of our notes covers inverse problems; this refers to the study of how to estimate unknown model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-15 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Andrew M. Stuart , Armeen Taeb