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Related papers: Information Aggregation with AI Agents

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The present paper shows that it can be advantageous for traders to publish their information on the true value of an asset even if they (i) cannot build a position in the asset prior to the publication of their information and (ii) cannot…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-05 Wolfgang Kuhle

When human agents come together to make decisions, it is often the case that one human agent has more information than the other. This phenomenon is called information asymmetry and this distorts the market. Often if one human agent intends…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-10-15 Tshilidzi Marwala , Evan Hurwitz

We study how AI agents form expectations and trade in experimental asset markets. Using a simulated open-call auction populated by autonomous Large Language Model (LLM) agents, we document three main findings. First, AI agents exhibit…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-21 Shumiao Ouyang , Pengfei Sui

Artificial intelligence (AI) changes social learning when aggregated outputs become training data for future predictions. To study this, we extend the DeGroot model by introducing an AI aggregator that trains on population beliefs and feeds…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-07 Daron Acemoglu , Tianyi Lin , Asuman Ozdaglar , James Siderius

There's a long tradition of research using computational intelligence (methods from artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML)), to automatically discover, implement, and fine-tune strategies for autonomous adaptive automated…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Dave Cliff , Michael Rollins

We study a setting where Bayesian agents with a common prior have private information related to an event's outcome and sequentially make public announcements relating to their information. Our main result shows that when agents' private…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Yuqing Kong , Grant Schoenebeck

We present an experimental and simulated model of a multi-agent stock market driven by a double auction order matching mechanism. Studying the effect of cumulative information on the performance of traders, we find a non monotonic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas , Juergen Huber , Michael Kirchler

Understanding decision-making in multi-AI-agent frameworks is crucial for analyzing strategic interactions in network-effect-driven contexts. This study investigates how AI agents navigate network-effect games, where individual payoffs…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Yu Liu , Wenwen Li , Yifan Dou , Guangnan Ye

This position paper argues that there is an urgent need to restructure markets for the information that goes into AI systems. Specifically, producers of information goods (such as journalists, researchers, and creative professionals) need…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Nicholas Vincent , Matthew Prewitt , Hanlin Li

Prediction markets allow users to trade on outcomes of real-world events, but are prone to fragmentation through overlapping questions, implicit equivalences, and hidden contradictions across markets. We present an agentic AI pipeline that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Agostino Capponi , Alfio Gliozzo , Brian Zhu

Prediction markets are powerful tools to elicit and aggregate beliefs from strategic agents. However, in current prediction markets, agents may exhaust the social welfare by competing to be the first to update the market. We initiate the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Grant Schoenebeck , Chenkai Yu , Fang-Yi Yu

As AI agents increasingly act on behalf of human stakeholders in economic settings, understanding their behavior in complex market environments becomes critical. This article examines how Large Language Models coordinate on markets that are…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-11 Alexander Erlei , Lukas Meub

We compare how well agents aggregate information in two repeated social learning environments. In the first setting agents have access to a public data set. In the second they have access to the same data, and also to the past actions of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-20 Marina Agranov , Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

We explore the potential of Large Language Models (LLMs) to replicate human behavior in economic market experiments. Compared to previous studies, we focus on dynamic feedback between LLM agents: the decisions of each LLM impact the market…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-13 R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Marco Pangallo , Cars Hommes

Disaggregated evaluations of AI systems, in which system performance is assessed and reported separately for different groups of people, are conceptually simple. However, their design involves a variety of choices. Some of these choices…

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in collaborative tasks involving multiple agents, forming an "AI agent society: where agents interact and influence one another. Whether such groups can spontaneously coordinate on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-16 Giordano De Marzo , Claudio Castellano , David Garcia

As AI agents increasingly operate in multi-agent environments, understanding their collective behavior becomes critical for predicting the dynamics of artificial societies. This study examines conformity, the tendency to align with group…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Alessandro Bellina , Giordano De Marzo , David Garcia

We present our approach to the problem of how an agent, within an economic Multi-Agent System, can determine when it should behave strategically (i.e. learn and use models of other agents), and when it should act as a simple price-taker. We…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jose M. Vidal , Edmund H. Durfee

We present results on simulations of a stock market with heterogeneous, cumulative information setup. We find a non-monotonic behaviour of traders' returns as a function of their information level. Particularly, the average informed agents…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas

We conduct experiments with algorithmic pricing agents based on Large Language Models (LLMs). In oligopoly settings, LLM-based pricing agents quickly and autonomously reach supracompetitive prices and profits. Variation in seemingly…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-09 Sara Fish , Yannai A. Gonczarowski , Ran I. Shorrer
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