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We present two Monte Carlo sampling algorithms for probabilistic inference that guarantee polynomial-time convergence for a larger class of network than current sampling algorithms provide. These new methods are variants of the known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Malcolm Pradhan , Paul Dagum

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo has emerged as a standard tool for posterior computation. In this article, we present an extension that can efficiently explore target distributions with discontinuous densities. Our extension in particular enables…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-09 Akihiko Nishimura , David Dunson , Jianfeng Lu

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods rely on a hierarchy of possibly less accurate but statistically correlated simplified or reduced models, in order to accelerate the estimation of statistics of high-fidelity models without compromising the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-29 Alessio Quaglino , Simone Pezzuto , Rolf Krause

This paper addresses the issue of estimating the expectation of a real-valued random variable of the form $X = g(\mathbf{U})$ where $g$ is a deterministic function and $\mathbf{U}$ can be a random finite- or infinite-dimensional vector.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-09-10 Clément Walter

We design and implement a novel algorithm for computing a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator of the cumulative distribution function of a quantity of interest in problems with random input parameters or initial conditions. Our approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Søren Taverniers , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) are a type of continuous-time Markov process that combine deterministic flows with jumps. Recently, PDMPs have garnered attention within the Monte Carlo community as a potential alternative…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-23 Joris Bierkens , Kengo Kamatani , Gareth O. Roberts

We study a Monte Carlo algorithm that is based on a specific (randomly shifted and dilated) lattice point set. The main result of this paper is that the mean squared error for a given compactly supported, square-integrable function is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Mario Ullrich

The preferential sampling of locations chosen to observe a spatio-temporal process has been identified as a major problem across multiple fields. Predictions of the process can be severely biased when standard statistical methodologies are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-05 Joe Watson

Conventional Monte Carlo simulations are stochastic in the sense that the acceptance of a trial move is decided by comparing a computed acceptance probability with a random number, uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Here we consider the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-24 Daan Frenkel , K. Julian Schrenk , Stefano Martiniani

Estimating the density of a continuous random variable X has been studied extensively in statistics, in the setting where n independent observations of X are given a priori and one wishes to estimate the density from that. Popular methods…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-09 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) have garnered attention as an elegant probabilistic model of set diversity. They are useful for a number of subset selection tasks, including product recommendation. DPPs are parametrized by a positive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-18 Mike Gartrell , Ulrich Paquet , Noam Koenigstein

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are popular when considering sampling from a high-dimensional random variable $\mathbf{x}$ with possibly unnormalised probability density $p$ and observed data $\mathbf{d}$. However, MCMC requires…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-11 Haoyun Ying , Keheng Mao , Klaus Mosegaard

We develop diffusion-based samplers for target distributions known up to a normalising constant. To this end, we rely on the well-known diffusion path that smoothly interpolates between a simple base distribution and the target, popularised…

Monte Carlo algorithms, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), are routinely used for Bayesian inference in generalized linear models; however, these algorithms are prohibitively slow in massive data…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-31 Nariankadu D. Shyamalkumar , Sanvesh Srivastava

A determinantal point process (DPP) is an ensemble of random nonnegative-integer-valued Radon measures $\Xi$ on a space $S$ with measure $\lambda$, whose correlation functions are all given by determinants specified by an integral kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Makoto Katori , Tomoyuki Shirai

We study the problem of reducing the variance of Monte Carlo estimators through performing suitable changes of the sampling measure which are induced by feedforward neural networks. To this end, building on the concept of vector stochastic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-05 Aleksandar Arandjelović , Thorsten Rheinländer , Pavel V. Shevchenko

Irreversible and rejection-free Monte Carlo methods, recently developed in Physics under the name Event-Chain and known in Statistics as Piecewise Deterministic Monte Carlo (PDMC), have proven to produce clear acceleration over standard…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-28 Manon Michel , Alain Durmus , Stéphane Sénécal

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling probability density functions (combined with abundant computational resources) have transformed the sciences, especially in performing probabilistic inferences, or fitting models to data.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-23 David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

Assume interest is in sampling from a probability distribution $\mu$ defined on $(\mathsf{Z},\mathscr{Z})$. We develop a framework for sampling algorithms which takes full advantage of ODE numerical integrators, say…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-17 Christophe Andrieu , Mauro Camara Escudero , Chang Zhang

Computational color constancy is a preprocessing step used in many camera systems. The main aim is to discount the effect of the illumination on the colors in the scene and restore the original colors of the objects. Recently, several deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Firas Laakom , Jenni Raitoharju , Alexandros Iosifidis , Jarno Nikkanen , Moncef Gabbouj