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To make informed decisions in natural environments that change over time, humans must update their beliefs as new observations are gathered. Studies exploring human inference as a dynamical process that unfolds in time have focused on…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-03 Arthur Prat-Carrabin , Robert C. Wilson , Jonathan D. Cohen , Rava Azeredo da Silveira

We tested whether and how biases in visual perception might influence motor actions. To do so, we designed an interception task in which subjects had to indicate the time when a moving object, whose trajectory was occluded, would reach a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-11 Alexander Tank , Alan A. Stocker

Human visual perception is a complex, dynamic and fluctuating process. In addition to the incoming visual stimulus, it is affected by many other factors including temporal context, both external and internal to the observer. In this study…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Urit Gordon , Shimon Marom , Naama Brenner

Mathematical models of cognition are often memoryless and ignore potential fluctuations of their parameters. However, human cognition is inherently dynamic. Thus, we propose to augment mechanistic cognitive models with a temporal dimension…

A common practice to account for psychophysical biases in vision is to frame them as consequences of a dynamic process relying on optimal inference with respect to a generative model. The present study details the complete formulation of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-24 Jonathan Vacher , Andrew Isaac Meso , Laurent U. Perrinet , Gabriel Peyré

Experiments that study neural encoding of stimuli at the level of individual neurons typically choose a small set of features present in the world --- contrast and luminance for vision, pitch and intensity for sound --- and assemble a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 Xin , Chen , Jeffrey M Beck , John M Pearson

Perceptual estimates exhibit a reversal in bias depending on uncertainty: they shift toward prior expectations under high stimulus noise, but away from them when sensory noise dominates. The normative framework of a Bayesian observer model…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-16 Hyun-Jun Jeon , Hansol Choi , Oh-Sang Kwon

Various animals, including humans, have been suggested to perform Bayesian inferences to handle noisy, time-varying external information. In performing Bayesian inference, the prior distribution must be shaped by sampling noisy external…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-25 Kohei Ichikawa , Kunihiko Kaneko

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Statistical modeling of fMRI data is challenging as the data are both spatially and temporally correlated. Spatially, measurements are taken at thousands of contiguous regions, called voxels, and temporally measurements are taken at…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-05 Ming Teng , Farouk S. Nathoo , Timothy D. Johnson

According to the dominant view, time in perceptual decision making is used for integrating new sensory evidence. Based on a probabilistic framework, we investigated the alternative hypothesis that time is used for gradually refining an…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-12 Máté Lengyel , Ádám Koblinger , Marjena Popović , József Fiser

What happens to the optimal interpretation of noisy data when there exists more than one equally plausible interpretation of the data? In a Bayesian model-learning framework the answer depends on the prior expectations of the dynamics of…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Gurinder Singh Atwal , William Bialek

Mathematical models of real life phenomena are highly nonlinear involving multiple parameters and often exhibiting complex dynamics. Experimental data sets are typically small and noisy, rendering estimation of parameters from such data…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-05-11 Abhirup Ghosh , Samit Bhattacharyya , Somdatta Sinha , Amit Apte

Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

Text-based sentiment indicators are widely used to monitor public and market mood, but weekly sentiment series are noisy by construction. A main reason is that the amount of relevant news changes over time and across categories. As a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Ian Carbó Casals

Comparing representations of complex stimuli in neural network layers to human brain representations or behavioral judgments can guide model development. However, even qualitatively distinct neural network models often predict similar…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-29 Tal Golan , Wenxuan Guo , Heiko H. Schütt , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

Cognitive processes undergo various fluctuations and transient states across different temporal scales. Superstatistics are emerging as a flexible framework for incorporating such non-stationary dynamics into existing cognitive model…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-02 Lukas Schumacher , Martin Schnuerch , Andreas Voss , Stefan T. Radev

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

To investigate the structure of individual differences in performance on behavioral tasks, Haaf and Rouder (2017) developed a class of hierarchical Bayesian mixed models with varying levels of constraint on the individual effects. The…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-24 Thomas J. Faulkenberry

Modeling perception is critical for many applications and developments in computer graphics to optimize and evaluate content generation techniques. Most of the work to date has focused on central (foveal) vision. However, this is…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Cara Tursun , Piotr Didyk
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