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One-point probability distribution functions (PDFs) of the cosmic matter density are powerful cosmological probes that extract non-Gaussian properties of the matter distribution and complement two-point statistics. Computing the covariance…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-09 Cora Uhlemann , Oliver Friedrich , Aoife Boyle , Alex Gough , Alexandre Barthelemy , Francis Bernardeau , Sandrine Codis

Change-plane regression identifies subpopulations through an interpretable linear threshold rule, but likelihood-based inference for the hard-threshold boundary is nonregular: objectives are non-smooth, the boundary is weakly identified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Yuki Ohnishi , Fan Li

We study the lensing convergence power spectrum and its covariance for a standard LCDM cosmology. We run 400 cosmological N-body simulations and use the outputs to perform a total of 1000 independent ray-tracing simulations. We compare the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-03-12 Masanori Sato , Takashi Hamana , Ryuichi Takahashi , Masahiro Takada , Naoki Yoshida , Takahiko Matsubara , Naoshi Sugiyama

Gaussian variational approximation is a popular methodology to approximate posterior distributions in Bayesian inference especially in high dimensional and large data settings. To control the computational cost while being able to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Bingxin Zhou , Junbin Gao , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Richard Gerlach

Many traditional algorithms applied in gravitational-wave astronomy rely on the assumption of Gaussian noise, a condition not always met. To meet this need, this study extends a robust statistical framework, advancing previous work on…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-02-26 Argyro Sasli , Minas Karamanis , Nikolaos Karnesis , Michael W. Coughlin , Vuk Mandic , Uroš Seljak , Nikolaos Stergioulas

Given i.i.d. observations of a random vector $X \in \mathbb{R}^p$, we study the problem of estimating both its covariance matrix $\Sigma^*$, and its inverse covariance or concentration matrix {$\Theta^* = (\Sigma^*)^{-1}$.} We estimate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2008-11-24 Pradeep Ravikumar , Martin J. Wainwright , Garvesh Raskutti , Bin Yu

Modern analysis on parton distribution functions (PDFs) requires calculations of the log-likelihood functions from thousands of experimental data points, and scans of multi-dimensional parameter space with tens of degrees of freedom. In…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-08-24 DianYu Liu , ChuanLe Sun , Jun Gao

We consider a linear Hamiltonian system consisting of a classical particle and a scalar field describing by the wave or Klein-Gordon equations with variable coefficients. The initial data of the system are supposed to be a random function…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-10-03 T. V. Dudnikova

Parameter inference for linear and non-Gaussian state space models is challenging because the likelihood function contains an intractable integral over the latent state variables. While Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide exact…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-22 Bao Anh Vu , David Gunawan , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Least-squares data analysis is based on the assumption that the normal (Gaussian) distribution appropriately characterizes the likelihood, that is, the conditional probability of each measurement d, given a measured quantity y, p(d | y). On…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2009-11-13 Kenneth M. Hanson

We use available measurements to estimate the unknown parameters (variance, smoothness parameter, and covariance length) of a covariance function by maximizing the joint Gaussian log-likelihood function. To overcome cubic complexity in the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-13 Alexander Litvinenko , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton , David Keyes

In the Bayesian approach to inverse problems, data are often informative, relative to the prior, only on a low-dimensional subspace of the parameter space. Significant computational savings can be achieved by using this subspace to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Alessio Spantini , Antti Solonen , Tiangang Cui , James Martin , Luis Tenorio , Youssef Marzouk

Under a multinormal distribution with an arbitrary unknown covariance matrix, the main purpose of this paper is to propose a framework to achieve the goal of reconciliation of Bayesian, frequentist, and Fisher's reporting $p$-values,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Ming-Tien Tsai

We consider a new method for estimating the parameters of univariate Gaussian mixture models. The method relies on a nonparametric density estimator $\hat{f}_n$ (typically a kernel estimator). For every set of Gaussian mixture components,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Jüri Lember , Raul Kangro , Kristi Kuljus

In classical statistics and distribution testing, it is often assumed that elements can be sampled from some distribution $P$, and that when an element $x$ is sampled, the probability $P$ of sampling $x$ is also known. Recent work in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Talya Eden , Jakob Bæk Tejs Houen , Shyam Narayanan , Will Rosenbaum , Jakub Tětek

Covariance estimation and selection for multivariate datasets in a high-dimensional regime is a fundamental problem in modern statistics. Gaussian graphical models are a popular class of models used for this purpose. Current Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Xuan Cao , Shaojun Zhang

In this paper, we develop a quantile functional regression modeling framework that models the distribution of a set of common repeated observations from a subject through the quantile function, which is regressed on a set of covariates to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-02 Hojin Yang , Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani , Jeffrey S. Morris

The discrete Gaussian $D_{L- t, s}$ is the distribution that assigns to each vector $x$ in a shifted lattice $L - t$ probability proportional to $e^{-\pi \|x\|^2/s^2}$. It has long been an important tool in the study of lattices. More…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Noah Stephens-Davidowitz

The integrated shear 3-point correlation function $\zeta_{\pm}$ measures the correlation between the local shear 2-point function $\xi_{\pm}$ and the 1-point shear aperture mass in patches of the sky. Unlike other higher-order statistics,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-17 Zhengyangguang Gong , Anik Halder , Alexandre Barreira , Stella Seitz , Oliver Friedrich

Our article considers a Gaussian variational approximation of the posterior density in a high-dimensional state space model. The variational parameters to be optimized are the mean vector and the covariance matrix of the approximation. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-20 Matias Quiroz , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn
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