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Surrogate models provide compact relations between user-defined input parameters and output quantities of interest, enabling the efficient evaluation of complex parametric systems in many-query settings. Such capabilities are essential in a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Matteo Giacomini , Pedro Díez

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

This paper presents a physics and data co-driven surrogate modeling method for efficient rare event simulation of civil and mechanical systems with high-dimensional input uncertainties. The method fuses interpretable low-fidelity physical…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-10 Jianhua Xian , Ziqi Wang

In networked dynamical systems, inferring governing parameters is crucial for predicting nodal dynamics, such as gene expression levels, species abundance, or population density. While many parameter estimation techniques rely on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-03-25 Yanna Ding , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao

This paper develops a surrogate model refinement approach for the simulation of dynamical systems and the solution of optimization problems governed by dynamical systems in which surrogates replace expensive-to-compute state- and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Jonathan R. Cangelosi , Matthias Heinkenschloss

Data assimilation (DA) has increasingly emerged as a critical tool for state estimation across a wide range of applications. It is significantly challenging when the governing equations of the underlying dynamics are unknown. To this end,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Ziyi Wang , Lijian Jiang

High-speed flight vehicles, which travel much faster than the speed of sound, are crucial for national defense and space exploration. However, accurately predicting their behavior under numerous, varied flight conditions is a challenge and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Tyler E. Korenyi-Both , Nathan J. Falkiewicz , Matthew C. Jones

The central task in modeling complex dynamical systems is parameter estimation. This task involves numerous evaluations of a computationally expensive objective function. Surrogate-based optimization introduces a computationally efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Žiga Lukšič , Jovan Tanevski , Sašo Džeroski , Ljupčo Todorovski

We propose a statistical-stochastic surrogate modeling approach to predict the response of the mean and variance statistics under various initial conditions and external forcing perturbations. The proposed modeling framework extends the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-04-07 Di Qi , John Harlim

State-space estimation and tracking rely on accurate dynamical models to perform well. However, obtaining an vaccurate dynamical model for complex scenarios or adapting to changes in the system poses challenges to the estimation process.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Ondřej Straka , Jindřich Duník , Pau Closas , Tales Imbiriba

Simulation-based problems involving mixed-variable inputs frequently feature domains that are hierarchical, conditional, heterogeneous, or tree-structured. These characteristics pose challenges for data representation, modeling, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Paul Saves , Edward Hallé-Hannan , Jasper Bussemaker , Youssef Diouane , Nathalie Bartoli

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

We introduce the concept of decision-focused surrogate modeling for solving computationally challenging nonlinear optimization problems in real-time settings. The proposed data-driven framework seeks to learn a simpler, e.g. convex,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

We propose a novel learning-based surrogate data assimilation (DA) model for efficient state estimation in a limited area. Our model employs a feedforward neural network for online computation, eliminating the need for integrating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Wei Kang , Liang Xu , Hong Zhou

We propose a sparse regression method capable of discovering the governing partial differential equation(s) of a given system by time series measurements in the spatial domain. The regression framework relies on sparsity promoting…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2016-09-22 Samuel H. Rudy , Steven L. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor , J. Nathan Kutz

The increasing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) is transforming power systems into complex, decentralized networks, particularly at the distribution level, where active distribution networks (ADNs) introduce new challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-14 J. G. De la Varga , J. M. Morales , S. Pineda

Time series data are collected in temporal order and are widely used to train systems for prediction, modeling and classification to name a few. These systems require large amounts of data to improve generalization and prevent over-fitting.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-26 T. K. M. Lee , H. W. Chan , K. H. Leo , E. Chew , Ling Zhao , S. Sanei

In this contribution we present an accelerated optimization-based approach for combined state and parameter reduction of a parametrized linear control system which is then used as a surrogate model in a Bayesian inverse setting. Following…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-22 Christian Himpe , Mario Ohlberger

Performing reliability analysis on complex systems is often computationally expensive. In particular, when dealing with systems having high input dimensionality, reliability estimation becomes a daunting task. A popular approach to overcome…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-22 Navaneeth N. , Souvik Chakraborty

Flexible spacecraft structures present significant challenges for physical and control system design due to nonlinear dynamics, mission constraints, environmental variables, and changing operational conditions. This paper presents a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-13 Matthew Hilsenrath , Daniel R. Herber
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