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A wildfire model is formulated based on balance equations for energy and fuel, where the fuel loss due to combustion corresponds to the fuel reaction rate. The resulting coupled partial differential equations have coefficients that can be…

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

The objective of the present study is twofold. First, the last developments and validation results of a hybrid model designed to simulate fire patterns in heterogeneous landscapes are presented. The model combines the features of a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-02-08 Mohamed Drissi

Wildfires are a major producer of fine particulate matter, impacting human health and the electrical grid. Accurately forecasting smoke impacts over long time scales incorporates fuel treatment strategies, natural fuel succession, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Zachary Morrow , Joseph Crockett , John D. Jakeman , Dan J. Krofcheck

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

A combination of a steady-state preserving operator splitting method and a semi-implicit integration scheme is proposed for efficient time stepping in simulations of unsteady reacting flows, such as turbulent flames, using detailed chemical…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-12-05 Hao Wu , Peter C. Ma , Matthias Ihme

Global wildfire models play a crucial role in anticipating and responding to changing wildfire regimes. JULES-INFERNO is a global vegetation and fire model simulating wildfire emissions and area burnt on a global scale. However, because of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Sibo Cheng , Hector Chassagnon , Matthew Kasoar , Yike Guo , Rossella Arcucci

Background. Wildfire research uses ensemble methods to analyze fire behaviors and assess uncertainties. Nonetheless, current research methods are either confined to simple models or complex simulations with limits. Modern computing tools…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-11-01 Qing Wang , Matthias Ihme , Cenk Gazen , Yi-Fan Chen , John Anderson

Wildfire events have caused severe losses in many places around the world and are expected to increase with climate change. Throughout the years many technologies have been developed to identify fire events early on and to simulate fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Eduardo Rodrigues , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson

Experimental data on the propagation of wildfires show that its short-time spread has a double semi-elliptical shape. Our main goal is to show that this shape can be accurately approximated in polar coordinates by choosing suitable…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2024-06-12 Miguel Ángel Javaloyes , Enrique Pendás-Recondo , Miguel Sánchez

This paper describes the methodology used by the team RedSea in the data competition organized for EVA 2021 conference. We develop a novel two-part model to jointly describe the wildfire count data and burnt area data provided by the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-15 Zhongwei Zhang , Elias Krainski , Peng Zhong , Håvard Rue , Raphaël Huser

Large wildfires pose a major environmental concern, and precise maps of fire risk can improve disaster relief planning. Fosberg Fire Weather Index (FFWI) is often used to measure wildfire risk; FFWI exhibits non-Gaussian marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Arnab Hazra , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby , Ana-Maria Staicu

There are many wildfire behaviors of increasing relevance that are outside the forecast capabilities of even the most sophisticated operational fire spread and fire behavior model. The limitations of the operational models are due primarily…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-03-26 Adam K. Kochanski , Mary Ann Jenkins , Steven K. Krueger , Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley

Electric power infrastructure faces increasing risk of damage and disruption due to wildfire. Operators of power grids in wildfire-prone regions must consider the potential impacts of unpredictable fires. However, traditional wildfire…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Matthew Brun , Xu Andy Sun , Jean-Paul Watson

In this study, we describe how WRF-Sfire is coupled with WRF-Chem to construct WRFSC, an integrated forecast system for wildfire and smoke prediction. The integrated forecast system has the advantage of not requiring a simple plume-rise…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-05-05 Adam K. Kochanski , Mary Ann Jenkins , Kara Yedinak , Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Brian Lamb

The finite element method is widely used in simulations of various fields. However, when considering domains whose extent differs strongly in different spatial directions a finite element simulation becomes computationally very expensive…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Jonas Bundschuh , Laura A. M. D'Angelo , Herbert De Gersem

Wildfires cause major losses worldwide, and the frequency of fire-weather conditions is likely to increase in many regions. We study the allocation of suppression resources over time on a graph-based representation of a landscape to slow…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Gustavo Delazeri , Marcus Ritt

As lean premixed combustion systems are more susceptible to combustion instabilities than non-premixed systems, there is an increasing demand for improved numerical design tools that can predict the occurrence of combustion instabilities…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-19 Nils Erland L. Haugen , Øyvind Langørgen , Sigurd Sannan

In this paper we proposed two new quasi-boundary value methods for regularizing the ill-posed backward heat conduction problems. With a standard finite difference discretization in space and time, the obtained all-at-once nonsymmetric…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Jun Liu

We apply the Physics Informed Neural Network (PINN) to the problem of wildfire fire-front modelling. We use the PINN to solve the level-set equation, which is a partial differential equation that models a fire-front through the…

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