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This paper proposes a nonparametric multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning. It not only offers the whole marginal distribution of each random variable in forecasting targets, but also reveals the future correlation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun

In frequentist inference, minimizing the Hellinger distance between a kernel density estimate and a parametric family produces estimators that are both robust to outliers and statistically efficienty when the parametric model is correct.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Yuefeng Wu , Giles Hooker

Stochastic volatility modelling of financial processes has become increasingly popular. The proposed models usually contain a stationary volatility process. We will motivate and review several nonparametric methods for estimation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

We consider a new method for estimating the parameters of univariate Gaussian mixture models. The method relies on a nonparametric density estimator $\hat{f}_n$ (typically a kernel estimator). For every set of Gaussian mixture components,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Jüri Lember , Raul Kangro , Kristi Kuljus

The best known methods for estimating hazard rate functions in survival analysis models are either purely parametric or purely nonparametric. The parametric ones are sometimes too biased while the nonparametric ones are sometimes too…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Nils Lid Hjort

Hjort and Glad (1995) present a method for semiparametric density estimation. Relative to the ordinary kernel density estimator, this technique performs much better when a parametric vehicle distribution fits the data, and otherwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 M. C. Jones , D. F. Signorini , Nils Lid Hjort

Kernel-based nonparametric hazard rate estimation is considered with a special class of infinite-order kernels that achieves favorable bias and mean square error properties. A fully automatic and adaptive implementation of a density and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Arthur Berg , Dimitris N Politis , Kagba Suaray , Hui Zeng

In this paper, we propose a variable selection method for general nonparametric kernel-based estimation. The proposed method consists of two-stage estimation: (1) construct a consistent estimator of the target function, (2) approximate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-05 Kota Matsui , Wataru Kumagai , Kenta Kanamori , Mitsuaki Nishikimi , Takafumi Kanamori

Nonparametric kernel density estimation is a very natural procedure which simply makes use of the smoothing power of the convolution operation. Yet, it performs poorly when the density of a positive variable is to be estimated (boundary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Gery Geenens

In this paper, we will discuss how to generalize nonparametric density estimators to MLE parametric estimators. Basing on the Parzen window theory and using the advantages of probability amplitude of quantum theory, we model a nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-13 Yeong-Shyeong Tsai

We consider a semiparametric convolution model. We observe random variables having a distribution given by the convolution of some unknown density $f$ and some partially known noise density $g$. In this work, $g$ is assumed exponentially…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-03 Cristina Butucea , Catherine Matias , Christophe Pouet

By a mixture density is meant a density of the form $\pi_{\mu}(\cdot)=\int\pi_{\theta}(\cdot)\times\mu(d\theta)$, where $(\pi_{\theta})_{\theta\in\Theta}$ is a family of probability densities and $\mu$ is a probability measure on $\Theta$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 François Roueff , Tobias Rydén

In recent years, log-concave density estimation via maximum likelihood estimation has emerged as a fascinating alternative to traditional nonparametric smoothing techniques, such as kernel density estimation, which require the choice of one…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-12 Richard J. Samworth

We propose a new approach to non-parametric density estimation that is based on regularizing a Sobolev norm of the density. This method is statistically consistent, and makes the inductive bias of the model clear and interpretable. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Mark Kozdoba , Binyamin Perets , Shie Mannor

We develop a weighted local likelihood estimate for the parameters that govern the local spatial dependency of a locally stationary random field. The advantage of this local likelihood estimate is that it smoothly downweights the influence…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-03 Ethan Anderes , Michael Stein

This paper proposes a new method of bandwidth selection in kernel estimation of density and distribution functions motivated by the connection between maximisation of the entropy of probability integral transforms and maximum likelihood in…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Vitaliy Oryshchenko

Estimation of the covariance structure of spatial processes is of fundamental importance in spatial statistics. In the literature, several non-parametric and semi-parametric methods have been developed to estimate the covariance structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-06 Shu Yang , Zhengyuan Zhu

Estimating the score, i.e., the gradient of log density function, from a set of samples generated by an unknown distribution is a fundamental task in inference and learning of probabilistic models that involve flexible yet intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Yuhao Zhou , Jiaxin Shi , Jun Zhu

We study nonparametric estimation of density functions for undirected dyadic random variables (i.e., random variables defined for all n\overset{def}{\equiv}\tbinom{N}{2} unordered pairs of agents/nodes in a weighted network of order N).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Bryan S. Graham , Fengshi Niu , James L. Powell

We extend balloon and sample-smoothing estimators, two types of variable-bandwidth kernel density estimators, by a shift parameter and derive their asymptotic properties. Our approach facilitates the unified study of a wide range of density…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-11 Till Hoffmann , Nick S. Jones