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Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in agentic frameworks, in which prompts trigger complex tool-based analysis in pursuit of a goal. While these frameworks have shown promise across multiple domains including in finance,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-14 Dimitrios Emmanoulopoulos , Ollie Olby , Justin Lyon , Namid R. Stillman

In this paper, we propose a test-time adaptive agent that performs exploratory inference through posterior-guided belief refinement without relying on gradient-based updates or additional training for LLM agent operating under partial…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Seohui Bae , Jeonghye Kim , Youngchul Sung , Woohyung Lim

The emergence of agentic recommender systems powered by Large Language Models (LLMs) represents a paradigm shift in personalized recommendations, leveraging LLMs' advanced reasoning and role-playing capabilities to enable autonomous,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Yu Shang , Peijie Liu , Yuwei Yan , Zijing Wu , Leheng Sheng , Yuanqing Yu , Chumeng Jiang , An Zhang , Fengli Xu , Yu Wang , Min Zhang , Yong Li

Recent advances in the intrinsic reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have given rise to LLM-based agent systems that exhibit near-human performance on a variety of automated tasks. However, although these systems share…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Bingxi Zhao , Lin Geng Foo , Ping Hu , Christian Theobalt , Hossein Rahmani , Jun Liu

With the widespread adoption of Large Language Models (LLMs), the prevalence of iterative interactions among these models is anticipated to increase. Notably, recent advancements in multi-round self-improving methods allow LLMs to generate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Yi Ren , Shangmin Guo , Linlu Qiu , Bailin Wang , Danica J. Sutherland

Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate partial forecasting competence across social, political, and economic events. Yet, their predictive ability varies sharply with domain structure and prompt framing. We investigate how forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Chinmay Karkar , Paras Chopra

This study evaluates the forecasting performance of recent language models (LLMs) on binary forecasting questions. We first introduce a novel dataset of over 600 binary forecasting questions, augmented with related news articles and their…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Gerrit Mutschlechner , Adam Jatowt

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) enables data-driven understanding of factor associations with response variables, yet communicating XAI outputs to laypersons remains challenging, hindering trust in AI-based predictions. Large…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Tomoaki Yamaguchi , Yutong Zhou , Masahiro Ryo , Keisuke Katsura

The rise of Agentic applications and automation in the Voice AI industry has led to an increased reliance on Large Language Models (LLMs) to navigate graph-based logic workflows composed of nodes and edges. However, existing methods face…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Alex Casella , Wayne Wang

This paper introduces a novel approach to creating adaptive language agents by integrating active inference with large language models (LLMs). While LLMs demonstrate remarkable capabilities, their reliance on static prompts limits…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Rithvik Prakki

In the constantly changing field of data-driven decision making, accurately predicting future events is crucial for strategic planning in various sectors. The emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs) marks a significant advancement in this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Tommaso Soru , Jim Marshall

Time series forecasting has traditionally been formulated as a model-centric, static, and single-pass prediction problem that maps historical observations to future values. While this paradigm has driven substantial progress, it proves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Mingyue Cheng , Xiaoyu Tao , Qi Liu , Ze Guo , Enhong Chen

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across diverse tasks, but optimizing LLM-based agentic systems remains challenging due to the vast search space of agent configurations, prompting strategies, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Patara Trirat , Wonyong Jeong , Sung Ju Hwang

Predicting future events is an important activity with applications across multiple fields and domains. For example, the capacity to foresee stock market trends, natural disasters, business developments, or political events can facilitate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Petraq Nako , Adam Jatowt

With the widespread adoption of Large Language Models (LLMs), there is a growing need to establish best practices for leveraging their capabilities beyond traditional natural language tasks. In this paper, a novel cross-domain knowledge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , Alireza Moradi

This paper introduces distribution-based prediction, a novel approach to using Large Language Models (LLMs) as predictive tools by interpreting output token probabilities as distributions representing the models' learned representation of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Caleb Bradshaw , Caelen Miller , Sean Warnick

Memory-augmented LLM agents have advanced personalized recommendation, yet existing approaches universally adopt flat memory representations that conflate ephemeral signals with stable preferences, and none provides a complete lifecycle…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Xiang Shen , Yuhang Zhou , Yifan Wu , Zhuokai Zhao , Siyu Lin , Lei Huang , Qianqian Zhong , Lizhu Zhang , Benyu Zhang , Xiangjun Fan , Hong Yan

LLM based agents have recently demonstrated strong potential in automating complex tasks, yet accurately predicting startup success remains an open challenge with few benchmarks and tailored frameworks. To address these limitations, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Xisen Wang , Yigit Ihlamur , Fuat Alican

The creation of high-quality datasets to improve Large Language Model (LLM) reasoning remains a significant challenge, as current methods often suffer from generating low-quality/incorrect answers and limited information richness from…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Xianyang Liu , Yilin Liu , Shuai Wang , Hao Cheng , Andrew Estornell , Yuzhi Zhao , Jun Shu , Jiaheng Wei

Classical models of opinion dynamics assume human participants with bounded rationality and limited coordination. The rise of LLM-based agents introduces a qualitative shift: agents can now participate in online discussions at scale,…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Xin He , Junxi Shen , Yuchen Mou , David M. Bossens , Caishun Chen , Ivor W. Tsang , Yew Soon Ong