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Multi-step-ahead forecasts are often updated as new observations become available, since shorter forecast horizons typically improve forecast quality. However, such improvements come at the cost of forecast instability, i.e., variability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jente Van Belle , Honglin Wen , Wouter Verbeke , Pierre Pinson

Finding a high-quality feasible solution to a combinatorial optimization (CO) problem in a limited time is challenging due to its discrete nature. Recently, there has been an increasing number of machine learning (ML) methods for addressing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-02 Taehyun Yoon , Jinwon Choi , Hyokun Yun , Sungbin Lim

Supply chain resilience and efficiency are vital in industries characterized by volatile demand and uncertain supply, such as textiles and personal protective equipment (PPE). Traditional forecasting and optimization approaches often…

Motivation: Recent advances in technology for brain imaging and high-throughput genotyping have motivated studies examining the influence of genetic variation on brain structure. Wang et al. (Bioinformatics, 2012) have developed an approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-18 Keelin Greenlaw , Elena Szefer , Jinko Graham , Mary Lesperance , Farouk S. Nathoo

Multi-step-ahead time series prediction is one of the most challenging research topics in the field of time series modeling and prediction, and is continually under research. Recently, the multiple-input several multiple-outputs (MISMO)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Yukun Bao , Tao Xiong , Zhongyi Hu

We present a new mixed integer formulation for the discrete informative path planning problem in random fields. The objective is to compute a budget constrained path while collecting measurements whose linear estimate results in minimum…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-21 Shamak Dutta , Nils Wilde , Stephen L. Smith

Improper pain management can lead to severe physical or mental consequences, including suffering, and an increased risk of opioid dependency. Assessing the presence and severity of pain is imperative to prevent such outcomes and determine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Burcu Ozek , Zhenyuan Lu , Srinivasan Radhakrishnan , Sagar Kamarthi

In this paper, a tunneling method is developed for nonlinear multiobjective optimization problems using some ideas of the single objective tunneling method. The proposed method does not require any a priori chosen parameters or ordering…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Bikram Adhikary , Md Abu Talhamainuddin Ansary

This paper introduces SmartBSP, an advanced self-supervised learning framework for real-time path planning and obstacle avoidance in autonomous robotics navigating through complex environments. The proposed system integrates Proximal Policy…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Shahab Shokouhi , Oguzhan Oruc , May-Win Thein

We propose an algorithm for generating explicit solutions of multiparametric mixed-integer convex programs to within a given suboptimality tolerance. The algorithm is applicable to a very general class of optimization problems, but is most…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Danylo Malyuta , Behcet Acikmese

We propose a bootstrap-based calibrated projection procedure to build confidence intervals for single components and for smooth functions of a partially identified parameter vector in moment (in)equality models. The method controls…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Hiroaki Kaido , Francesca Molinari , Jörg Stoye

Since its inception, the neural estimation of mutual information (MI) has demonstrated the empirical success of modeling expected dependency between high-dimensional random variables. However, MI is an aggregate statistic and cannot be used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Yao-Hung Hubert Tsai , Han Zhao , Makoto Yamada , Louis-Philippe Morency , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

High-dimensional time series forecasting suffers from severe overfitting when the number of predictors exceeds available observations, making standard local projection methods unstable and unreliable. We propose an enhanced Random Subspace…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Eman Khalid , Moimma Ali Khan , Zarmeena Ali , Abdullah Illyas , Muhammad Usman , Saoud Ahmed

In machine learning and statistical modeling, the mean square or absolute error is commonly used as an error metric, also called a "loss function." While effective in reducing the average error, this approach may fail to address localized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-10 John M. Hanna , Hugues Talbot , Irene E. Vignon-Clementel

Numerous applications require algorithms that can align partially overlapping point sets while maintaining invariance to geometric transformations (e.g., similarity, affine, rigid). This paper introduces a novel global optimization method…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Wei Lian , Zhesen Cui , Fei Ma , Hang Pan , Wangmeng Zuo , Jianmei Zhang

Multi-step forecasting is often described through a simple rule of thumb: recursive strategies are said to have high bias and low variance, while direct strategies are said to have low bias and high variance. We revisit this belief by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Riku Green , Huw Day , Zahraa S. Abdallah , Telmo M. Silva Filho

The neural process (NP) is a family of computationally efficient models for learning distributions over functions. However, it suffers from under-fitting and shows suboptimal performance in practice. Researchers have primarily focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Qi Wang , Marco Federici , Herke van Hoof

In this paper, we provide a novel Model-free approach based on Deep Neural Network (DNN) to accomplish point prediction and prediction interval under a general regression setting. Usually, people rely on parametric or non-parametric models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-13 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

Model calibration is essential for ensuring that the predictions of deep neural networks accurately reflect true probabilities in real-world classification tasks. However, deep networks often produce over-confident or under-confident…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Jinxu Lin , Linwei Tao , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

The problem of machine learning with missing values is common in many areas. A simple approach is to first construct a dataset without missing values simply by discarding instances with missing entries or by imputing a fixed value for each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-02 Hiroyuki Hanada , Toshiyuki Takada , Jun Sakuma , Ichiro Takeuchi
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