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Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

In unsupervised causal representation learning for sequential data with time-delayed latent causal influences, strong identifiability results for the disentanglement of causally-related latent variables have been established in stationary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Xiangchen Song , Weiran Yao , Yewen Fan , Xinshuai Dong , Guangyi Chen , Juan Carlos Niebles , Eric Xing , Kun Zhang

Despite the excelling performance of machine learning models, understanding their decisions remains a long-standing goal. Although commonly used attribution methods from explainable AI attempt to address this issue, they typically rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Juan Miguel Lopez Alcaraz , Nils Strodthoff

While Reinforcement Learning ( RL) has made great strides towards solving increasingly complicated problems, many algorithms are still brittle to even slight environmental changes. Contextual Reinforcement Learning (cRL) provides a…

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become a dominant paradigm for training large language models (LLMs), particularly for reasoning tasks. Effective RL for LLMs requires massive parallelization and poses an urgent need for efficient training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wei Fu , Jiaxuan Gao , Xujie Shen , Chen Zhu , Zhiyu Mei , Chuyi He , Shusheng Xu , Guo Wei , Jun Mei , Jiashu Wang , Tongkai Yang , Binhang Yuan , Yi Wu

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed across diverse contexts to support decision-making. While existing evaluations effectively probe latent model capabilities, they often overlook the impact of context framing on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Isaac Robinson , John Burden

In-context imitation learning enables robots to adapt to new tasks from a small number of demonstrations without additional training. However, existing approaches typically condition only on state-action trajectories and lack explicit…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Toan Nguyen , Weiduo Yuan , Songlin Wei , Hui Li , Daniel Seita , Yue Wang

One critical challenge of time-series modeling is how to learn and quickly correct the model under unknown distribution shifts. In this work, we propose a principled framework, called LiLY, to first recover time-delayed latent causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-25 Weiran Yao , Guangyi Chen , Kun Zhang

This review synthesizes the nascent but critical field of developmental interpretability for Large Language Models. We chart the field's evolution from static, post-hoc analysis of trained models to a dynamic investigation of the training…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Ihor Kendiukhov

Recent research demonstrates that linear models achieve forecasting performance competitive with complex architectures, yet methodologies for enhancing linear models remain underexplored. Motivated by the hypothesis that distinct time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Zipo Jibao , Yingyi Fu , Xinyang Chen , Guoting Chen

Recently in the field of unsupervised representation learning, strong identifiability results for disentanglement of causally-related latent variables have been established by exploiting certain side information, such as class labels, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Weiran Yao , Guangyi Chen , Kun Zhang

The discovery of causal relationships from high-dimensional data is a major open problem in bioinformatics. Machine learning and feature attribution models have shown great promise in this context but lack causal interpretation. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Payam Dibaeinia , Saurabh Sinha

As Large Language Models (LLMs) become increasingly sophisticated and ubiquitous in natural language processing (NLP) applications, ensuring their robustness, trustworthiness, and alignment with human values has become a critical challenge.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Wrick Talukdar , Anjanava Biswas

Context, as referred to situational factors related to the object of interest, can help infer the object's states or properties in visual recognition. As such contextual features are too diverse (across instances) to be annotated, existing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Fandong Zhang , Yizhou Yu , Yizhou Wang

Forecasting is a critical task in decision-making across numerous domains. While historical numerical data provide a start, they fail to convey the complete context for reliable and accurate predictions. Human forecasters frequently rely on…

Time series forecasting can be viewed as a generative problem that requires both semantic understanding over contextual conditions and stochastic modeling of continuous temporal dynamics. Existing approaches typically rely on either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Yaguo Liu , Mingyue Cheng , Daoyu Wang , Xiaoyu Tao , Qi Liu

Linear causal analysis is central to a wide range of important application spanning finance, the physical sciences, and engineering. Much of the existing literature in linear causal analysis operates in the time domain. Unfortunately, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-11 Francois W. Belletti , Evan R. Sparks , Michael J. Franklin , Alexandre M. Bayen , Joseph E. Gonzalez

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly applied to analyzing wearable sensing data, which are long-term, multimodal, and highly personalized. A key challenge is context selection: providing insufficient context limits reasoning, while…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Zhenyu Lu , Mahyar Abbasian , Amir M. Rahmani

Large Language Models (LLMs) have been applied to time series forecasting tasks, leveraging pre-trained language models as the backbone and incorporating textual data to purportedly enhance the comprehensive capabilities of LLMs for time…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Zhengke Sun , Hangwei Qian , Ivor Tsang

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari
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