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In the paper, a statistical procedure for estimating the parameters of zero intelligence models by means of tick-by-tick quote (L1) data is proposed. A large class of existing zero intelligence models is reviewed. It is shown that all those…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-08 Martin Šmíd

This paper introduces a novel decision-focused framework for energy storage arbitrage bidding. Inspired by the bidding process for energy storage in electricity markets, we propose a predict-then-bid end-to-end method incorporating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-07 Ming Yi , Yiqian Wu , Saud Alghumayjan , James Anderson , Bolun Xu

Equilibrium modeling is common in a variety of fields such as game theory and transportation science. The inputs for these models, however, are often difficult to estimate, while their outputs, i.e., the equilibria they are meant to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vishal Gupta , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

With a novel search algorithm or assortment planning or assortment optimization algorithm that takes into account a Bayesian approach to information updating and two-stage assortment optimization techniques, the current research provides a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-07-19 Dipankar Das

We examine two types of binary betting markets, whose primary goal is for profit (such as sports gambling) or to gain information (such as prediction markets). We articulate the interplay between belief and price-setting to analyse both…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Haiqing Zhu , Alexander Soen , Yun Kuen Cheung , Lexing Xie

We develop a new market-making model, from the ground up, which is tailored towards high-frequency trading under a limit order book (LOB), based on the well-known classification of order types in market microstructure. Our flexible…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-31 Baron Law , Frederi Viens

Prediction markets are used in real life to predict outcomes of interest such as presidential elections. This paper presents a mathematical theory of artificial prediction markets for supervised learning of conditional probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-18 Adrian Barbu , Nathan Lay

We consider a market in which both suppliers and consumers compete for a product via scalar-parameterized supply offers and demand bids. Scalar-parameterized offers/bids are appealing due to their modeling simplicity and desirable…

General Economics · Economics 2020-03-04 Mariola Ndrio , Khaled Alshehri , Subhonmesh Bose

Computing market equilibria is a problem of both theoretical and applied interest. Much research to date focuses on the case of static Fisher markets with full information on buyers' utility functions and item supplies. Motivated by…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Yuan Gao , Christian Kroer , Alex Peysakhovich

Accurate probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices is critical for market participants to inform trading decisions. Existing studies rely on specific domain features, such as Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and the last…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Runyao Yu , Ruochen Wu , Yongsheng Han , Jochen L. Cremer

We study a general class of repeated auctions, such as the ones found in electricity markets, as multi-agent games between the bidders. In such a repeated setting, bidders can adapt their strategies online based on the data observed in the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Orcun Karaca , Pier Giuseppe Sessa , Anna Leidi , Maryam Kamgarpour

Market price systems constitute a well-understood class of mechanisms that under certain conditions provide effective decentralization of decision making with minimal communication overhead. In a market-oriented programming approach to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-02-03 M. P. Wellman

This paper deals with the market-bidding problem of a cluster of price-responsive consumers of electricity. We develop an inverse optimization scheme that, recast as a bilevel programming problem, uses price-consumption data to estimate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Javier Saez-Gallego , Juan M. Morales , Marco Zugno , Henrik Madsen

The computation of equilibrium prices at which the supply of goods matches their demand typically relies on complete information on agents' private attributes, e.g., suppliers' cost functions, which are often unavailable in practice.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Devansh Jalota , Haoyuan Sun , Navid Azizan

In this work, we aim to design a data marketplace; a robust real-time matching mechanism to efficiently buy and sell training data for Machine Learning tasks. While the monetization of data and pre-trained models is an essential focus of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Anish Agarwal , Munther Dahleh , Tuhin Sarkar

Procurement in maritime logistics faces challenges due to uncertainties in demand and fluctuating market conditions. To address these complexities, we introduce a flexible discrete-event simulation framework that models the request-to-order…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-06 Georgios Vassos , Richard Lusby , Pierre Pinson

We examine the dynamics of informational efficiency in a market with asymmetrically informed, boundedly rational traders who adaptively learn optimal strategies using simple multiarmed bandit (MAB) algorithms. The strategies available to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-11 Aleksei Pastushkov

Despite recent advancements in machine learning, in practice, relevant datasets are often distributed among market competitors who are reluctant to share. To incentivize data sharing, recent works propose analytics markets, where multiple…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Thomas Falconer , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

In this paper, we study online double auctions, where multiple sellers and multiple buyers arrive and depart dynamically to exchange one commodity. We show that there is no deterministic online double auction that is truthful and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-11-04 Dengji Zhao , Dongmo Zhang , Laurent Perrussel

We propose a decentralized market model in which agents can negotiate bilateral contracts. This builds on a similar, but centralized, model of trading networks introduced by Hatfield et al. in 2013. Prior work has established that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Edwin Lock , Benjamin Patrick Evans , Eleonora Kreacic , Sujay Bhatt , Alec Koppel , Sumitra Ganesh , Paul W. Goldberg