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Data assimilation (DA) methods use priors arising from differential equations to robustly interpolate and extrapolate data. Popular techniques such as ensemble methods that handle high-dimensional, nonlinear PDE priors focus mostly on state…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Rafael Anderka , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao

The systematic collection of longitudinal data is very common in practice, making mixed models widely used. Most developments around these models focus on modeling the mean trajectory of repeated measurements, typically under the assumption…

Many phenomena are naturally characterized by measuring continuous transformations such as shape changes in medicine or articulated systems in robotics. Modeling the variability in such datasets requires performing statistics on Lie groups,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Johannes Schade , Christoph von Tycowicz , Martin Hanik

We introduce a flexible, scalable Bayesian inference framework for nonlinear dynamical systems characterised by distinct and hierarchical variability at the individual, group, and population levels. Our model class is a generalisation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-03 Geoffrey Roeder , Paul K. Grant , Andrew Phillips , Neil Dalchau , Edward Meeds

Effectively medication recommendation with complex multimorbidity conditions is a critical task in healthcare. Most existing works predicted medications based on longitudinal records, which assumed the information transmitted patterns of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Sicen Liu , Xiaolong Wang , JIngcheng Du , Yongshuai Hou , Xianbing Zhao , Hui Xu , Hui Wang , Yang Xiang , Buzhou Tang

Motivated by recent findings that within-subject (WS) visit-to-visit variabilities of longitudinal biomarkers can be strong risk factors for health outcomes, this paper introduces and examines a new joint model of a longitudinal biomarker…

Longitudinal and time-to-event data are often analyzed in biomarker research to study the association between the longitudinal biomarker measurements and the event-time outcome, in which the longitudinal information contributes to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Minzee Kim , Joel A. Dubin

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data have seen many developments in recent years. Though spatial joint models are still rare and the traditional proportional hazards formulation of the time-to-event part of the model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Anja Rappl , Thomas Kneib , Stefan Lang , Elisabeth Bergherr

Despite the amount of research on disease mapping in recent years, the use of multivariate models for areal spatial data remains limited due to difficulties in implementation and computational burden. These problems are exacerbated when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 G. Vicente , A. Adin , T. Goicoa , M. D. Ugarte

This paper addresses classification problems with matrix-valued data, which commonly arise in applications such as neuroimaging and signal processing. Building on the assumption that the data from each class follows a matrix normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Seungyeon Oh , Seongoh Park , Hoyoung Park

Background: We aimed to design a Bayesian adaption trial through extensive simulations to determine values for key design parameters, demonstrate error rates, and establish the expected sample size. The complexity of the proposed outcome…

Predicting cancer-associated clinical events is challenging in oncology. In Multiple Myeloma (MM), a cancer of plasma cells, disease progression is determined by changes in biomarkers, such as serum concentration of the paraprotein secreted…

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is widely used in healthcare decision-making, where estimates of the effect of multiple treatments on outcomes are required. For time-to-event outcomes such as survival or disease progression the most common…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 David M. Phillippo , Ayman Sadek , Hugo Pedder , Nicky J. Welton

Parameter estimation and associated uncertainty quantification is an important problem in dynamical systems characterized by ordinary differential equation (ODE) models that are often nonlinear. Typically, such models have analytically…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-26 Wai Meng Kwok , Sarat Chandra Dass , George Streftaris

Joint models (JM) for longitudinal and survival data have gained increasing interest and found applications in a wide range of clinical and biomedical settings. These models facilitate the understanding of the relationship between outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Sida Chen , Danilo Alvares , Christopher Jackson , Jessica Barrett

This work extends the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) method to latent models outside the scope of latent Gaussian models, where independent components of the latent field can have a near-Gaussian distribution. The proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-14 Thiago G. Martins , Håvard Rue

When analyzing real-world data it is common to work with event ensembles, which comprise sets of observations that collectively constrain the parameters of an underlying model of interest. Such models often have a hierarchical structure,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-22 Lukas Heinrich , Siddharth Mishra-Sharma , Chris Pollard , Philipp Windischhofer

The key operation in Bayesian inference, is to compute high-dimensional integrals. An old approximate technique is the Laplace method or approximation, which dates back to Pierre- Simon Laplace (1774). This simple idea approximates the…

This paper describes a technique for using magnetic motion capture data to determine the joint parameters of an articulated hierarchy. This technique makes it possible to determine limb lengths, joint locations, and sensor placement for a…

Graphics · Computer Science 2023-03-21 James F. O'Brien , Robert E. Bodenheimer , Gabriel J. Brostow , Jessica K. Hodgins

Using nonparametric methods has been increasingly explored in Bayesian hierarchical modeling as a way to increase model flexibility. Although the field shows a lot of promise, inference in many models, including Hierachical Dirichlet…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-19 Alexander Spangher
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