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Today's Cyber-Physical Systems (CPSs) are large, complex, and affixed with networked sensors and actuators that are targets for cyber-attacks. Conventional detection techniques are unable to deal with the increasingly dynamic and complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Dan Li , Dacheng Chen , Jonathan Goh , See-kiong Ng

Anomaly detection in complex domains poses significant challenges due to the need for extensive labeled data and the inherently imbalanced nature of anomalous versus benign samples. Graph-based machine learning models have emerged as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Yifan Wei , Anwar Said , Waseem Abbas , Xenofon Koutsoukos

Graph anomaly detection (GAD) is a vital task in graph-based machine learning and has been widely applied in many real-world applications. The primary goal of GAD is to capture anomalous nodes from graph datasets, which evidently deviate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Jingcan Duan , Siwei Wang , Pei Zhang , En Zhu , Jingtao Hu , Hu Jin , Yue Liu , Zhibin Dong

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang

Traffic flow prediction (TFP) is a fundamental problem of the Intelligent Transportation System (ITS), as it models the latent spatial-temporal dependency of traffic flow for potential congestion prediction. Recent graph-based models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Ying Yang , Kai Du , Xingyuan Dai , Jianwu Fang

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

The widespread availability of complex time series data in various domains such as environmental science, epidemiology, and economics demands robust causal discovery methods that can identify intricate contemporaneous and lagged…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Omar Faruque , Sahara Ali , Xue Zheng , Jianwu Wang

Efficient anomaly detection and diagnosis in multivariate time-series data is of great importance for modern industrial applications. However, building a system that is able to quickly and accurately pinpoint anomalous observations is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Shreshth Tuli , Giuliano Casale , Nicholas R. Jennings

Spatio-Temporal Graph (STG) forecasting is a fundamental task in many real-world applications. Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks have emerged as the most popular method for STG forecasting, but they often struggle with temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Yutong Xia , Yuxuan Liang , Haomin Wen , Xu Liu , Kun Wang , Zhengyang Zhou , Roger Zimmermann

Multivariate time series data come as a collection of time series describing different aspects of a certain temporal phenomenon. Anomaly detection in this type of data constitutes a challenging problem yet with numerous applications in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Jinbo Li , Hesam Izakian , Witold Pedrycz , Iqbal Jamal

Graph Anomaly Detection (GAD) is critical in security-sensitive domains, yet faces reliability challenges: miscalibrated confidence estimation (underconfidence in normal nodes, overconfidence in anomalies), adversarial vulnerability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Songran Bai , Xiaolong Zheng , Daniel Dajun Zeng

We study causal discovery from observational data in linear Gaussian systems affected by \emph{mixed latent confounding}, where some unobserved factors act broadly across many variables while others influence only small subsets. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Amir Asiaee , Samhita Pal , James O'quinn , James P. Long

Increasing the semantic understanding and contextual awareness of machine learning models is important for improving robustness and reducing susceptibility to data shifts. In this work, we leverage contextual awareness for the anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Nathan Vaska , Kevin Leahy , Victoria Helus

Causal inference is a critical task across fields such as healthcare, economics, and the social sciences. While recent advances in machine learning, especially those based on the deep-learning architectures, have shown potential in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Manqing Liu , David R. Bellamy , Andrew L. Beam

Our work focuses on anomaly detection in cyber-physical systems. Prior literature has three limitations: (1) Failing to capture long-delayed patterns in system anomalies; (2) Ignoring dynamic changes in sensor connections; (3) The curse of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Ehtesamul Azim , Dongjie Wang , Yanjie Fu

Extracting anomaly causality facilitates diagnostics once monitoring systems detect system faults. Identifying anomaly causes in large systems involves investigating a broader set of monitoring variables across multiple subsystems. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Mulugeta Weldezgina Asres , Christian Walter Omlin , The CMS-HCAL Collaboration

Industrial Control Systems (ICS) underpin critical infrastructure and face growing cyber-physical threats due to the convergence of operational technology and networked environments. While machine learning-based anomaly detection approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Kosti Koistinen , Kirsi Hellsten , Joni Herttuainen , Kimmo K. Kaski

Causal discovery aims to infer causal relationships among variables from observational data, typically represented by a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Most existing methods assume independent and identically distributed observations, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Alex Chen , Qing Zhou

Deep learning (DL) has recently drawn much attention in image analysis, natural language process, and high-dimensional medical data analysis. Under the causal direct acyclic graph (DAG) interpretation, the input variables without incoming…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-22 Jong-Hyeon Jeong , Yichen Jia

Time series graphical models have recently received considerable attention for characterizing (conditional) dependence structures in multivariate time series. In many applications, the multivariate series exhibit variable-partitioned…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Qin Fang , Xinghao Qiao , Zihan Wang