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The present paper is an update of the "Oxford Olympics Study 2016" (Flyvbjerg et al. 2016). We document that the Games remain costly and continue to have large cost overruns, to a degree that threatens their viability. The IOC is aware of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-31 Alexander Budzier , Bent Flyvbjerg

Given that Olympic Games held over the past decade each have cost USD 8.9 billion on average, the size and financial risks of the Games warrant study. The objectives of the Oxford Olympics study are to (1) establish the actual outturn costs…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-18 Bent Flyvbjerg , Allison Stewart , Alexander Budzier

Cyber-physical systems, such as mobile robots, must respond adaptively to dynamic operating conditions. Effective operation of these systems requires that sensing and actuation tasks are performed in a timely manner. Additionally, execution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Robert Glaubius , Terry Tidwell , Christopher Gill , William D. Smart

The world is changing fast, and so is the space sector. Planning for large scientific experiments two decades ahead may no longer be the most sensible approach. I develop the argument that large science experiments are becoming comparable…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Guillem Anglada-Escudé

This paper applies existing and new approaches to study trends in the performance of elite athletes over time. We study both track and field scores of men and women athletes on a yearly basis from 2001 to 2019, revealing several trends and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-20 Nick James , Max Menzies , Howard Bondell

Temporal information has long been considered to be essential for perception. While there is extensive research on the role of image information for perceptual tasks, the role of the temporal dimension remains less well understood: What can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Willem Davison , Xinyue Hao , Laura Sevilla-Lara

Humans can learn individual episodes and generalizable rules and also successfully retain both kinds of acquired knowledge over time. In the cognitive science literature, (1) learning individual episodes and rules and (2) learning and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Joshua T. S. Hewson , Sabina J. Sloman , Marina Dubova

The mixing time of the Markov chain induced by a policy limits performance in real-world continual learning scenarios. Yet, the effect of mixing times on learning in continual reinforcement learning (RL) remains underexplored. In this…

Hierarchy in reinforcement learning agents allows for control at multiple time scales yielding improved sample efficiency, the ability to deal with long time horizons and transferability of sub-policies to tasks outside the training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-27 Zach Dwiel , Madhavun Candadai , Mariano Phielipp , Arjun K. Bansal

We study learning by privately informed forward-looking agents in a simple repeated-action setting of social learning. Under a symmetric signal structure, forward-looking agents behave myopically for any degrees of patience. Myopic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-01-09 Dimitri Migrow

We present a large-scale study on unsupervised spatiotemporal representation learning from videos. With a unified perspective on four recent image-based frameworks, we study a simple objective that can easily generalize all these methods to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Christoph Feichtenhofer , Haoqi Fan , Bo Xiong , Ross Girshick , Kaiming He

We humans seem to have an innate understanding of the asymmetric progression of time, which we use to efficiently and safely perceive and manipulate our environment. Drawing inspiration from that, we address the problem of learning an arrow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Nasim Rahaman , Steffen Wolf , Anirudh Goyal , Roman Remme , Yoshua Bengio

Continual learning, or lifelong learning, is a formidable current challenge to machine learning. It requires the learner to solve a sequence of $k$ different learning tasks, one after the other, while retaining its aptitude for earlier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Xi Chen , Christos Papadimitriou , Binghui Peng

For many types of learning, spaced training that involves repeated long inter-trial intervals (ITIs) leads to more robust memory formation than does massed training that involves short or no intervals. Several cognitive theories have been…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-28 Paul Smolen , Yili Zhang , John H. Byrne

In many real-world sequential decision making problems, the number of available actions (decisions) can vary over time. While problems like catastrophic forgetting, changing transition dynamics, changing rewards functions, etc. have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Yash Chandak , Georgios Theocharous , Chris Nota , Philip S. Thomas

In this paper, we describe our winning approach to solving the Lane Following Challenge at the AI Driving Olympics Competition through imitation learning on a mixed set of simulation and real-world data. AI Driving Olympics is a two-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Mikita Sazanovich , Konstantin Chaika , Kirill Krinkin , Aleksei Shpilman

The ability to accurately predict the surrounding environment is a foundational principle of intelligence in biological and artificial agents. In recent years, a variety of approaches have been proposed for learning to predict the physical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-01 Alberto Cenzato , Alberto Testolin , Marco Zorzi

Replay methods are known to be successful at mitigating catastrophic forgetting in continual learning scenarios despite having limited access to historical data. However, storing historical data is cheap in many real-world settings, yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Marcus Klasson , Hedvig Kjellström , Cheng Zhang

Spaced repetition is a technique for efficient memorization which uses repeated, spaced review of content to improve long-term retention. Can we find the optimal reviewing schedule to maximize the benefits of spaced repetition? In this…

The lack of diversity in physics and astronomy PhD programmes is well known but has not improved despite decades of efforts. PhD bridge programmes provide an asset-based model to help overcome the societal and disciplinary obstacles to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-12 Alexander L. Rudolph , Kelly Holley-Bockelmann , Julie Posselt
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