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We consider the problem of parameter estimation in a Bayesian setting and propose a general lower-bound that includes part of the family of $f$-Divergences. The results are then applied to specific settings of interest and compared to other…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Adrien Vandenbroucque , Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar

In this paper we investigate the existence of a separation principle between model identification and control design in the context of model predictive control. First, we clarify that such a separation principle holds asymptotically in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-24 Giacomo Baggio , Ruggero Carli , Riccardo Alessandro Grimaldi , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Over the last quarter-century, spacecraft conjunction assessment has focused on a quantity associated by its advocates with collision probability. This quantity has a well-known dilution feature, where it is small when uncertainty is large,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-01 J. Russell Carpenter , Anthony C. Davison , Soumaya Elkantassi , Matthew D. Hejduk

We propose a new unsupervised anomaly detection method based on the sliced-Wasserstein distance for training data selection in machine learning approaches. Our filtering technique is interesting for decision-making pipelines deploying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Julien Pallage , Antoine Lesage-Landry

Quantification of uncertainty is one of the most promising approaches to establish safe machine learning. Despite its importance, it is far from being generally solved, especially for neural networks. One of the most commonly used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Joachim Sicking , Maram Akila , Maximilian Pintz , Tim Wirtz , Asja Fischer , Stefan Wrobel

This paper presents a novel algorithm, based on model predictive control (MPC), for the optimal guidance of a launch vehicle upper stage. The proposed strategy not only maximizes the performance of the vehicle and its robustness to external…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Boris Benedikter , Alessandro Zavoli , Guido Colasurdo , Simone Pizzurro , Enrico Cavallini

In a multi-follower Bayesian Stackelberg game, a leader plays a mixed strategy over $L$ actions to which $n\ge 1$ followers, each having one of $K$ possible private types, best respond. The leader's optimal strategy depends on the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Gerson Personnat , Tao Lin , Safwan Hossain , David C. Parkes

We propose a new stochastic optimization framework for empirical risk minimization problems such as those that arise in machine learning. The traditional approaches, such as (mini-batch) stochastic gradient descent (SGD), utilize an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-04 Kenji Kawaguchi , Haihao Lu

Trajectory prediction of aerial vehicles is a key requirement in applications ranging from missile guidance to UAV collision avoidance. While most prediction methods assume deterministic target motion, real-world targets often exhibit…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Marc Schneider , Renato Loureiro , Torbjørn Cunis , Walter Fichter

Most Probable Explanation (MPE) inference in Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) is a fundamental yet computationally challenging problem arising in domains such as diagnosis, planning, and structured prediction. In many practical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Brij Malhotra , Shivvrat Arya , Tahrima Rahman , Vibhav Giridhar Gogate

Uncertain dynamic obstacles, such as pedestrians or vehicles, pose a major challenge for optimal robot navigation with safety guarantees. Previous work on motion planning has followed two main strategies to provide a safe bound on an…

An optimal guidance law for impact time control with field-of-view constraint is presented. The guidance law is derived by first converting the inequality-constrained nonlinear optimal control problem into an equality-constrained one…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Fangmin Lu , Zheng Chen , Kun Wang

This paper presents an input-constrained nonlinear guidance law to address the problem of intercepting a stationary target in contested environments with multiple defending agents. Contrary to prior approaches that rely on explicit…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-30 Praveen Kumar Ranjan , Abhinav Sinha , Yongcan Cao

Multiple-shooting is a parameter estimation approach for ordinary differential equations. In this approach, the trajectory is broken into small intervals, each of which can be integrated independently. Equality constraints are then applied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Siddharth Prabhu , Srinivas Rangarajan , Mayuresh Kothare

This work introduces a Strategic Pseudo-Goal Perturbation (SPGP) technique, a novel approach to resolve deadlock situations in multi-agent navigation scenarios. Leveraging the robust framework of Safety Barrier Certificates, our method…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Abhishek Jha , Tanishq Gupta , Sumit Singh Rawat , Girish Kumar

The gold standard for designing a search plan is to select a target distribution and then find the uniformly optimal search plan based on it. This approach has been successfully applied in several high-profile civil and military search…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Liang Hong

We consider the problem of finding a control policy for a Markov Decision Process (MDP) to maximize the probability of reaching some states while avoiding some other states. This problem is motivated by applications in robotics, where such…

Demand for high-performance, robust, and safe autonomous systems has grown substantially in recent years. These objectives motivate the desire for efficient safety-theoretic reasoning that can be embedded in core decision-making tasks such…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Kristoffer M. Frey , Ted J. Steiner , Jonathan P. How

Neural autoregressive sequence models are used to generate sequences in a variety of natural language processing (NLP) tasks, where they are evaluated according to sequence-level task losses. These models are typically trained with maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Sean Welleck , Kyunghyun Cho

Computational guidance is an emerging and accelerating trend in aerospace guidance and control. Combining machine learning and convex optimization, this paper presents a real-time computational guidance method for the 6-degrees-of-freedom…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-17 Zhipeng Shen , Shiyu Zhou , Jianglong Yu
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