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Composing autoregressive models remains a core challenge in understanding how large language models can combine behaviors or skills learned across tasks. We introduce a new and principled composition strategy for autoregressive systems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Aakash Kumar , Maria Sofia Bucarelli , Emanuele Natale

While seasonality inherent to raw macroeconomic data is commonly removed by seasonal adjustment techniques before it is used for structural inference, this may distort valuable information in the data. As an alternative method to commonly…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-12 Daniel Dzikowski , Carsten Jentsch

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence in nonparametric regression models where the unknown regression function is modeled by some appropriate stochastic process. In this regard, we consider two setups. The first setup is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Employing the framework of regular variation, we propose two decompositions which help to summarize and describel high-dimensional tail dependence. Via transformation, we define a vector space on the positive orthant, yielding the notion of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-27 Daniel Cooley , Emeric Thibaud

We give a decomposition of the posterior predictive variance using the law of total variance and conditioning on a finite dimensional discrete random variable. This random variable summarizes various features of modeling that are used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Dean Dustin , Bertrand Clarke

In Regression Discontinuity (RD) design, self-selection leads to different distributions of covariates on two sides of the policy intervention, which essentially violates the continuity of potential outcome assumption. The standard RD…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-22 Sida Peng , Yang Ning

This is an expository paper on rationally connected varieties. The aim is to provide an introduction to the subject, as well as to discuss a recent result by T. Graber, J. Harris and J. Starr. The paper is based on the talk I gave at the…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Carolina Araujo

In this article, we proposed a partition:wise robust loss function based on the previous robust loss function. The characteristics of this loss function are that it achieves high robustness and a wide range of applicability through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Chenyu Hui , Anran Zhang , Xintong Li

This paper studies a tensor-structured linear regression model with a scalar response variable and tensor-structured predictors, such that the regression parameters form a tensor of order $d$ (i.e., a $d$-fold multiway array) in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Talal Ahmed , Haroon Raja , Waheed U. Bajwa

The paper studies constructions of irreducible polynomials over finite fields using polynomial composition method.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-12 Melsik K. Kyuregyan , Gohar M. Kyureghyan

Permutation polynomials and their compositional inverses have wide applications in cryptography, coding theory, and combinatorial designs. Motivated by several previous results on finding compositional inverses of permutation polynomials of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Tailin Niu , Kangquan Li , Longjiang Qu , Qiang Wang

This is a remark on a recent post by P. Denton, S. Parke, T. Tao, X. Zhang, Eigenvectors from eigenvalues, arXiv:1908.03795v1

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Carlos Tomei

This paper addresses the prediction of stationary functional time series. Existing contributions to this problem have largely focused on the special case of first-order functional autoregressive processes because of their technical…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-01 Alexander Aue , Diogo Dubart Norinho , Siegfried Hörmann

This paper puts forward a new generalized polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD), referred to as GPDD, comprising hierarchically ordered measure-consistent multivariate orthogonal polynomials in dependent random variables. Unlike the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Sharif Rahman

Sums of independent, bounded random variables concentrate around their expectation approximately as well a Gaussian of the same variance. Well known results of this form include the Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Chernoff inequalities and many…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman

There are some problems with this paper, and it is being withdrawn.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Sameer M. Jalnapurkar

We revisit panel regressions with unobserved heterogeneity through the lens of variance-weighted average treatment effects. Building on established results for cross-sectional OLS and one-way fixed effects panels, we show that two-way panel…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Artūras Juodis , Martin Weidner

Empirical studies using Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often explore heterogeneous treatment effects based on pretreatment covariates, even though no formal statistical methods exist for such analyses. This has led to the widespread…

Principal component regression uses principal components as regressors. It is particularly useful in prediction settings with high-dimensional covariates. The existing literature treating of Bayesian approaches is relatively sparse. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Philippe Gagnon , Mylène Bédard , Alain Desgagné

Expectile regression is a useful tool for exploring the relation between the response and the explanatory variables beyond the conditional mean. This article develops a continuous threshold expectile regression for modeling data in which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-09 Feipeng Zhang , Qunhua Li