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Standard evaluation of LLM confidence relies on calibration metrics (ECE, Brier score) that conflate two distinct capacities: how much a model knows (Type-1 sensitivity) and how well it knows what it knows (Type-2 metacognitive…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Jon-Paul Cacioli

This study introduces the "Grade Score", a novel metric designed to evaluate the consistency and fairness of Large Language Models (LLMs) when used as multiple-choice judges with respect to order bias and choice consistency. The Grade Score…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Dmitri Iourovitski

When Large Language Models produce structured outputs such as travel plans, code solutions, or multi-step proofs, individual reasoning steps may appear correct while the output as a whole violates budgets, fails test cases, or contradicts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Abhey Kalia , Fernanda Gonçalves , Shebin Rawther

The robustness of Vision Language Models (VLMs) is commonly assessed through output-level invariance, implicitly assuming that stable predictions reflect stable multimodal processing. In this work, we argue that this assumption is…

Machine learning (ML) has shown promise in vulnerability detection, but ML detectors may rely on irrelevant code features, causing them to highlight non-vulnerable lines as suspicious. Such misleading predictions increase developers' manual…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Lam Nguyen Tung , Xiaoning Du , Neelofar Neelofar , Aldeida Aleti

Automated scoring of student work at scale requires balancing accuracy against cost and latency. In "cascade" systems, small language models (LMs) handle easier scoring tasks while escalating harder ones to larger LMs -- but the challenge…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Tyler Burleigh

Small instruct-tuned LLMs produce degenerate verbal confidence under minimal elicitation: ceiling rates above 95%, near-chance Type-2 AUROC, and Invalid validity profiles. We test whether confidence-conditioned supervised fine-tuning (CSFT)…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Jon-Paul Cacioli

We present a practical framework for detecting errors in LLM-generated SQL by estimating uncertainty at the level of individual nodes in the query's abstract syntax tree (AST). Our approach proceeds in two stages. First, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Hilaf Hasson , Ruocheng Guo

Reliable radar pulse classification is essential in Electromagnetic Warfare for situational awareness and decision support. Deep Neural Networks have shown strong performance in radar pulse and RF emitter recognition; however, on their own…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Mohamed Rabie , Chinthana Panagamuwa , Konstantinos G. Kyriakopoulos

Vision Language Models (VLMs) are increasingly used for tasks like medical report generation and visual question answering. However, fluent diagnostic text does not guarantee safe visual understanding. In clinical practice, interpretation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Ufaq Khan , Umair Nawaz , L D M S S Teja , Numaan Saeed , Muhammad Bilal , Yutong Xie , Mohammad Yaqub , Muhammad Haris Khan

In this article we study the asymptotic predictive optimality of a model selection criterion based on the cross-validatory predictive density, already available in the literature. For a dependent variable and associated explanatory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Arijit Chakrabarti , Tapas Samanta

Hallucinations in Large Language Models (LLMs) -- generations that are plausible but factually unfaithful -- remain a critical barrier to high-stakes deployment. Current detection methods typically rely on computationally expensive external…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Manish Bhatt

Although language model scores are often treated as probabilities, their reliability as probability estimators has mainly been studied through calibration, overlooking other aspects. In particular, it is unclear whether language models…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Eitan Wagner , Yuli Slavutsky , Omri Abend

Respiratory diseases kill million of people each year. Diagnosis of these pathologies is a manual, time-consuming process that has inter and intra-observer variability, delaying diagnosis and treatment. The recent COVID-19 pandemic has…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-01 Juan E. Arco , A. Ortiz , J. Ramirez , F. J. Martinez-Murcia , Yu-Dong Zhang , Juan M. Gorriz

The recent rapid adoption of large language models (LLMs) highlights the critical need for benchmarking their fairness. Conventional fairness metrics, which focus on discrete accuracy-based evaluations (i.e., prediction correctness), fail…

We investigate generically applicable and intuitively appealing prediction intervals based on $k$-fold cross validation. We focus on the conditional coverage probability of the proposed intervals, given the observations in the training…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Lukas Steinberger , Hannes Leeb

The prevalence of Large Language Models (LLMs) for generating multilingual text and source code has only increased the imperative for machine-generated content detectors to be accurate and efficient across domains. Current detectors,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Shriyansh Agrawal , Aidan Lau , Sanyam Shah , Ahan M R , Kevin Zhu , Sunishchal Dev , Vasu Sharma

Large language models have been widely applied to sequential recommendation tasks, yet during inference, they continue to rely on decoding strategies developed for natural language processing. This creates a mismatch between text-generation…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Chenke Yin , Li Fan , Jia Wang , Dongxiao Hu , Haichao Zhang , Chong Zhang , Yang Xiang

The adoption of Large Language Models (LLMs) as automated evaluators (LLM-as-a-judge) has revealed critical inconsistencies in current evaluation frameworks. We identify two fundamental types of inconsistencies: (1) Score-Comparison…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Yidong Wang , Yunze Song , Tingyuan Zhu , Xuanwang Zhang , Zhuohao Yu , Hao Chen , Chiyu Song , Qiufeng Wang , Cunxiang Wang , Zhen Wu , Xinyu Dai , Yue Zhang , Wei Ye , Shikun Zhang

Video prediction models based on convolutional networks, recurrent networks, and their combinations often result in blurry predictions. We identify an important contributing factor for imprecise predictions that has not been studied…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Wonmin Byeon , Qin Wang , Rupesh Kumar Srivastava , Petros Koumoutsakos