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EASA's learning-assurance guidance requires data-driven aviation systems to build and monitor their own situation representation, yet for neural networks the technical means to provide such evidence remain an open problem. We address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Romeo Valentin , Olivia Beyer Bruvik , Marc R. Schlichting , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Machine learning classifiers are probabilistic in nature, and thus inevitably involve uncertainty. Predicting the probability of a specific input to be correct is called uncertainty (or confidence) estimation and is crucial for risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

Can large language models introspect, that is, accurately detect perturbations to their own internal states? We systematically investigate this question using activation steering in Meta-Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct. First, we show that the binary…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Ely Hahami , Ishaan Sinha , Lavik Jain , Josh Kaplan , Jon Hahami

A well-calibrated model should express confidence that matches its actual accuracy -- when it claims 80\% confidence, it should be correct 80\% of the time. While large language models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable performance across…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Lukas Nel

Vision-Language Models like GPT-4, LLaVA, and CogVLM have surged in popularity recently due to their impressive performance in several vision-language tasks. Current evaluation methods, however, overlook an essential component: uncertainty,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Vasily Kostumov , Bulat Nutfullin , Oleg Pilipenko , Eugene Ilyushin

While deep learning has significantly advanced accident anticipation, the robustness of these safety-critical systems against real-world perturbations remains a major challenge. We reveal that state-of-the-art models like CRASH, despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Wenjing Wang , Wenxuan Wang , Songning Lai

This paper experimentally analyzes how the level of harness engineering affects the operational performance of small language models (SLMs, 2-3B parameters). Three harness conditions - model-only (raw prompt), minimal-shell (wrapper tags),…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Yong-eun Cho

Steering, or direct manipulation of internal activations to guide LLM responses toward specific semantic concepts, is emerging as a promising avenue for both understanding how semantic concepts are stored within LLMs and advancing LLM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Parmida Davarmanesh , Ashia Wilson , Adityanarayanan Radhakrishnan

%!TEX root = LCSS_main_max.tex The widespread adoption of nonlinear Receding Horizon Control (RHC) strategies by industry has led to more than 30 years of intense research efforts to provide stability guarantees for these methods. However,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Tyler Westenbroek , Max Simchowitz , Michael I. Jordan , S. Shankar Sastry

Multivariate time-series anomaly detection is essential for reliable industrial control, telemetry, and service monitoring. However, the evolving inter-variable dependencies and inevitable noise render it challenging. Existing methods often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Zhongpeng Qi , Jun Zhang , Wei Li , Zhuoxuan Liang

Emergent misalignment, where fine-tuning on narrow, non-harmful tasks induces harmful behaviors, poses a key challenge for AI safety in LLMs. Despite growing empirical evidence, its underlying mechanism remains unclear. To uncover the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Gouki Minegishi , Hiroki Furuta , Takeshi Kojima , Yusuke Iwasawa , Yutaka Matsuo

Uncertainty quantification is essential in safety-critical settings--from autonomous driving to aviation, finance, and health--where decisions must rely on conservative bounds rather than point estimates. Predictor-level intervals (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Ruirui Liu , Xuejie Hou , Yiping Jiang , Hui Ren

Probabilistic collision detection (PCD) is essential in motion planning for robots operating in unstructured environments, where considering sensing uncertainty helps prevent damage. Existing PCD methods mainly used simplified geometric…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Xiaoli Wang , Sipu Ruan , Xin Meng , Gregory Chirikjian

Computer vision systems that are deployed in safety-critical applications need to quantify their output uncertainty. We study regression from images to parameter values and here it is common to detect uncertainty by predicting probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Ziliang Xiong , Arvi Jonnarth , Abdelrahman Eldesokey , Joakim Johnander , Bastian Wandt , Per-Erik Forssen

Standard fine-tuning of transformer models on causal reasoning tasks leads to catastrophic model collapse, where models learn trivial solutions such as always predicting "Yes" or "No" regardless of input structure. We demonstrate that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Pratik Deshmukh , Atirek Gupta

Estimating the state of an environment from high-dimensional, multimodal, and noisy observations is a fundamental challenge in reinforcement learning (RL). Traditional approaches rely on probabilistic models to account for the uncertainty,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Alfredo Reichlin , Adriano Pacciarelli , Danica Kragic , Miguel Vasco

The maximum softmax probability (MSP) represents a default approach when evaluating uncertainty quantification for language model generation with structured output. Although cheap, it is often miscalibrated. Methods that probe the model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Aliai Eusebi , Alexander Herzog , Xiaoyu Liang , Marie Vasek , Enrico Mariconti , Lorenzo Cavallaro

Safety alignment is a key requirement for building reliable Artificial General Intelligence. Despite significant advances in safety alignment, we observe that minor latent shifts can still trigger unsafe responses in aligned models. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Tianle Gu , Kexin Huang , Zongqi Wang , Yixu Wang , Jie Li , Yuanqi Yao , Yang Yao , Yujiu Yang , Yan Teng , Yingchun Wang

Large Language Models (LLMs) are known to exhibit social, demographic, and gender biases, often as a consequence of the data on which they are trained. In this work, we adopt a mechanistic interpretability approach to analyze how such…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Bhavik Chandna , Zubair Bashir , Procheta Sen

Steering methods for language models (LMs) have gained traction as lightweight alternatives to fine-tuning, enabling targeted modifications to model activations. However, prior studies primarily report results on a few models, leaving…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Patrick Queiroz Da Silva , Hari Sethuraman , Dheeraj Rajagopal , Hannaneh Hajishirzi , Sachin Kumar