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This paper is concerned with Bayesian inferential methods for data from controlled branching processes that account for model robustness through the use of disparities. Under regularity conditions, we establish that estimators built on…
When randomized ensembles such as bagging or random forests are used for binary classification, the prediction error of the ensemble tends to decrease and stabilize as the number of classifiers increases. However, the precise relationship…
In many randomized trials, outcomes such as essays or open-ended responses must be manually scored as a preliminary step to impact analysis, a process that is costly and limiting. Model-assisted estimation offers a way to combine surrogate…
Recent advances in deep learning have led to a paradigm shift in the field of reversible steganography. A fundamental pillar of reversible steganography is predictive modelling which can be realised via deep neural networks. However,…
In modern data analysis, sparse model selection becomes inevitable once the number of predictors variables is very high. It is well-known that model selection procedures like the Lasso or Boosting tend to overfit on real data. The…
Under-bagging (UB), which combines under-sampling and bagging, is a popular ensemble learning method for training classifiers on an imbalanced data. Using bagging to reduce the increased variance caused by the reduction in sample size due…
In M-open problems where no true model can be conceptualized, it is common to back off from modeling and merely seek good prediction. Even in M-complete problems, taking a predictive approach can be very useful. Stacking is a model…
We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…
In this paper, we propose an ensemble learning algorithm called \textit{under-bagging $k$-nearest neighbors} (\textit{under-bagging $k$-NN}) for imbalanced classification problems. On the theoretical side, by developing a new learning…
In this paper, we focus on quantifying model stability as a function of random seed by investigating the effects of the induced randomness on model performance and the robustness of the model in general. We specifically perform a controlled…
In machine learning, it is commonly assumed that training and test data share the same population distribution. However, this assumption is often violated in practice because the sample selection bias may induce the distribution shift from…
Learning ensembles by bagging can substantially improve the generalization performance of low-bias, high-variance estimators, including those evolved by Genetic Programming (GP). To be efficient, modern GP algorithms for evolving (bagging)…
Enhancing the stability of machine learning algorithms under distributional shifts is at the heart of the Out-of-Distribution (OOD) Generalization problem. Derived from causal learning, recent works of invariant learning pursue strict…
Although the methods of bagging and random forests are some of the most widely used prediction methods, relatively little is known about their algorithmic convergence. In particular, there are not many theoretical guarantees for deciding…
The availability of deep hedging has opened new horizons for solving hedging problems under a large variety of realistic market conditions. At the same time, any model - be it a traditional stochastic model or a market generator - is at…
We study the stability of posterior predictive inferences to the specification of the likelihood model and perturbations of the data generating process. In modern big data analyses, useful broad structural judgements may be elicited from…
This article introduces a subbagging (subsample aggregating) approach for variable selection in regression within the context of big data. The proposed subbagging approach not only ensures that variable selection is scalable given the…
Accurate uncertainty estimates can significantly improve the performance of iterative design of experiments, as in Sequential and Reinforcement learning. For many such problems in engineering and the physical sciences, the design task…
The (gradient-based) bilevel programming framework is widely used in hyperparameter optimization and has achieved excellent performance empirically. Previous theoretical work mainly focuses on its optimization properties, while leaving the…
Deep learning requires regularization mechanisms to reduce overfitting and improve generalization. We address this problem by a new regularization method based on distributional robust optimization. The key idea is to modify the…