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Contamination can severely distort an estimator unless the estimation procedure is suitably robust. This is a well-known issue and has been addressed in Robust Statistics, however, the relation of contamination and distorted variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-15 Tino Werner

We consider the task of counterfactual estimation from observational imaging data given a known causal structure. In particular, quantifying the causal effect of interventions for high-dimensional data with neural networks remains an open…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Pedro Sanchez , Sotirios A. Tsaftaris

In this article, we study the statistical and asymptotic properties of break-point estimators in nonstationary autoregressive and predictive regression models for testing the presence of a single structural break at an unknown location in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-29 Christis Katsouris

Introduction: Methods now exist to detect residual confounding. One requires an "indicator" with two key properties: conditional independence of the outcome (given exposure and measured covariates) absent confounding and other model…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-26 W. Dana Flanders , Matthew J. Strickland , Mitchel Klein

In the classical contamination models, such as the gross-error (Huber and Tukey contamination model or Case-wise Contamination), observations are considered as the units to be identified as outliers or not. This model is very useful when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-11 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli

Many real-world classification problems are significantly class-imbalanced to detriment of the class of interest. The standard set of proper evaluation metrics is well-known but the usual assumption is that the test dataset imbalance equals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Jan Brabec , Tomáš Komárek , Vojtěch Franc , Lukáš Machlica

When machine learning models are deployed on a test distribution different from the training distribution, they can perform poorly, but overestimate their performance. In this work, we aim to better estimate a model's performance under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Ching-Yao Chuang , Antonio Torralba , Stefanie Jegelka

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

Progress on modern scientific questions regularly depends on using large-scale datasets to understand complex dynamical systems. An especially challenging case that has grown to prominence with advances in single-cell sequencing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-27 Aden Forrow

The aim of sequential change-point detection is to issue an alarm when it is thought that certain probabilistic properties of the monitored observations have changed. This work is concerned with nonparametric, closed-end testing procedures…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Ghislain Verdier

In this paper, we consider a secure distributed filtering problem for linear time-invariant systems with bounded noises and unstable dynamics under compromised observations. A malicious attacker is able to compromise a subset of the agents…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Xingkang He , Xiaoqiang Ren , Henrik Sandberg , Karl Henrik Johansson

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

We consider the problem of constructing distribution-free prediction sets with finite-sample conditional guarantees. Prior work has shown that it is impossible to provide exact conditional coverage universally in finite samples. Thus, most…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Isaac Gibbs , John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

We consider the problem of estimating the conditional distribution of a post-model-selection estimator where the conditioning is on the selected model. The notion of a post-model-selection estimator here refers to the combined procedure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Pötscher

Synthetic samples from diffusion models are promising for leveraging in training discriminative models as replications of real training datasets. However, we found that the synthetic datasets degrade classification performance over real…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Shin'ya Yamaguchi , Takuma Fukuda

While sequential recommender systems achieve significant improvements on capturing user dynamics, we argue that sequential recommenders are vulnerable against substitution-based profile pollution attacks. To demonstrate our hypothesis, we…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Zhenrui Yue , Huimin Zeng , Ziyi Kou , Lanyu Shang , Dong Wang

To tackle massive data, subsampling is a practical approach to select the more informative data points. However, when responses are expensive to measure, developing efficient subsampling schemes is challenging, and an optimal sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-11 Jing Wang , HaiYing Wang , Shifeng Xiong

This paper considers the problem of estimating linear dynamic system models when the observations are corrupted by random disturbances with nonstandard distributions. The paper is particularly motivated by applications where sensor…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-09 Johan Dahlin , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness

Diffusion models have emerged as the principal paradigm for generative modeling across various domains. During training, they learn the score function, which in turn is used to generate samples at inference. They raise a basic yet unsolved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Kiwhan Song , Jaeyeon Kim , Sitan Chen , Yilun Du , Sham Kakade , Vincent Sitzmann

Ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators are widely used in network experiments to estimate spillover effects. We study the causal interpretation of, and inference for the OLS estimator under both design-based uncertainty from random…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 Kensuke Sakamoto , Yuya Shimizu