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First passage time plays a fundamental role in dynamical characterization of stochastic processes. Crucially, our current understanding on the problem is almost entirely relies on the theoretical formulations, which assume the processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-01 Yuta Sakamoto , Takahiro Sakaue

Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

We consider a random walk in a truncated cone $K_N$, which is obtained by slicing cone $K$ by a hyperplane at a growing level of order $N$. We study the behaviour of the Green function in this truncated cone as $N$ increases. Using these…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-23 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

Stochastic models of surface growth are usually based on randomly choosing a substrate site to perform iterative steps, as in the etching model [1]. In this paper I modify the etching model to perform sequential, instead of random,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-19 Bernardo A. Mello

In the classical leader election procedure all players toss coins independently and those who get tails leave the game, while those who get heads move to the next round where the procedure is repeated. We investigate a generalizion of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Gerold Alsmeyer , Zakhar Kabluchko , Alexander Marynych

This paper is devoted to the asymptotic analysis of the reinforced elephant random walk (RERW) using a martingale approach. In the diffusive and critical regimes, we establish the almost sure convergence, the law of iterated logarithm and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Lucile Laulin

We study the competitive equilibrium of large random economies with linear activities using methods of statistical mechanics. We focus on economies with $C$ commodities, $N$ firms, each running a randomly drawn linear technology, and one…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 A. De Martino , M. Marsili , I. Pérez Castillo

A random walk on a $N$-dimensional hypercube is a discrete time stochastic process whose state space is the set $\{-1,+1\}^{N}$, which has uniform probability of reaching any neighbour state, and probability zero of reaching a non-neighbour…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Cláudia Peixoto , Diego Marcondes

In the simple random walk the steps are independent, viz., the walker has no memory. In contrast, in the Elephant Random walk (ERW), which was introduced by Sch\"utz and Trimper in 2004, the walker remembers the whole past, and the next…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Allan Gut , Ulrich Stadtmüller

Recently, the proliferation of omni-channel platforms has attracted interest in customer journeys, particularly regarding their role in developing marketing strategies. However, few efforts have been taken to quantitatively study or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Keita Kinjo

In many complex systems, for the activity f(i) of the constituents or nodes i, a power-law relationship was discovered between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average strength of the activity: sigma(i) ~ <f(i)>^alpha; universal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

Recently several authors have proposed stochastic models of the growth of the Web graph that give rise to power-law distributions. These models are based on the notion of preferential attachment leading to the ``rich get richer''…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark Levene , Trevor Fenner , George Loizou , Richard Wheeldon

The optimal (`equilibrium') macroscopic properties of an economy with $N$ industries endowed with different technologies, $P$ commodities and one consumer are derived in the limit $N\to\infty$ with $n=N/P$ fixed using the replica method.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 A. De Martino , M. Marsili , I. Perez Castillo

We consider a discrete-time random walk on the nodes of an unbounded hexagonal lattice. We determine the probability generating functions, the transition probabilities and the relevant moments. The convergence of the stochastic process to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci , Serena Spina

We present a model for a random walk with memory, phenomenologically inspired in a biological system. The walker has the capacity to remember the time of the last visit to each site and the step taken from there. This memory affects the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-01-15 Laila D. Kazimierski , Guillermo Abramson , Marcelo N. Kuperman

Let $h:[0,1]\to\mathbb{R}$ be $C^2$ and such that $\sup_{[0,1]} h''<0$. For a (large) positive integer $n$, set $h_n(k) = n h(k/n)$ for any $k\in\{0,\dots,n\}$. We consider a random walk $(S_k)_{k\geq 0}$ with i.i.d.\ centred increments…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

This paper studies ranking policies in a stylized trial-offer marketplace model, in which a single firm offers products and has consumers with heterogeneous preferences. Consumer trials are influenced by past purchases and the ranking of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Franco Berbeglia , Gerardo Berbeglia , Pascal Van Hentenryck

We develop SHOPPER, a sequential probabilistic model of shopping data. SHOPPER uses interpretable components to model the forces that drive how a customer chooses products; in particular, we designed SHOPPER to capture how items interact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-11 Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Susan Athey , David M. Blei

We study analytically the order statistics of a time series generated by the successive positions of a symmetric random walk of n steps with step lengths of finite variance \sigma^2. We show that the statistics of the gap d_{k,n}=M_{k,n}…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-01-27 Gregory Schehr , Satya N. Majumdar

Randomized mechanisms, which map a set of bids to a probability distribution over outcomes rather than a single outcome, are an important but ill-understood area of computational mechanism design. We investigate the role of randomized…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2009-04-17 Patrick Briest , Shuchi Chawla , Robert Kleinberg , S. Matthew Weinberg