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We study how memory impacts passages at the origin for a so-called elephant random walk in the diffusive regime. We observe that the number of zeros always grows asymptotically like the square root of the time, despite the fact that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Jean Bertoin

The randomized play-the-winner rule (RPW) is a response-adaptive design proposed by Wei and Durham (1978) for sequentially randomizing patients to treatments in a two-treatment clinical trial so that more patients are assigned to the better…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Li-Xin Zhang

We consider a randomized urn model with objects of finitely many colors. The replacement matrices are random, and are conditionally independent of the color chosen given the past. Further, the conditional expectations of the replacement…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Krishanu Maulik

In the simple random walk the steps are independent, viz., the walker has no memory. In contrast, in the Elephant random walk(ERW), which was introduced by Schuetz and Trimper in 2004, the next step always depends on the whole path so far.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Allan Gut , Ulrich Stadtmüller

A random walk with counterbalanced steps is a process of partial sums $\check S(n)=\check X_1+ \cdots + \check X_n$ whose steps $\check X_n$ are given recursively as follows. For each $n\geq 2$, with a fixed probability $p$, $\check X_n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Jean Bertoin

A step-reinforced random walk is a discrete-time stochastic process with long-range dependence. At each step, with a fixed probability $\alpha$, the so-called positively step-reinforced random walk repeats one of its previous steps, chosen…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Rafik Aguech , Samir Ben Hariz , Mohamed El Machkouri , Youssef Faouzi

One class of random walks with infinite memory, so called elephant random walks, are simple models describing anomalous diffusion. We present a surprising connection between these models and bond percolation on random recursive trees. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Rüdiger Kürsten

Strongly non-Markovian random walks offer a promising modeling framework for understanding animal and human mobility, yet, few analytical results are available for these processes. Here we solve exactly a model with long range memory where…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Denis Boyer , Citlali Solis-Salas

We consider a feature-based personalized pricing problem in which the buyer is strategic: given the seller's pricing policy, the buyer can augment the features that they reveal to the seller to obtain a low price for the product. We model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Zhi Chen , Bradley Sturt , Weijun Xie

We consider an exactly solvable model of branching random walk with random selection, which describes the evolution of a population with $N$ individuals on the real line. At each time step, every individual reproduces independently, and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Aser Cortines , Bastien Mallein

We study analytically a simple random walk model on a one-dimensional lattice, where at each time step the walker resets to the maximum of the already visited positions (to the rightmost visited site) with a probability $r$, and with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-30 Satya N. Majumdar , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Gregory Schehr

We study the gambler's ruin problem for the Elephant Random Walk, focusing on escape time from a symmetric interval of the form $\{-N, \ldots, N\}$. As our main result, we derive tight exponential bounds for the tail of this escape time. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Morgan André , Leonel Zuaznábar

When the memory parameter of the elephant random walk is above a critical threshold, the process becomes superdiffusive and, once suitably normalised, converges to a non-Gaussian random variable. In a recent paper by the three first…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Hélène Guérin , Lucile Laulin , Kilian Raschel , Thomas Simon

This paper deals with the problem of identifying elephants in the Internet Traffic. The aim is to analyze a new adaptive algorithm based on a Bloom Filter. This algorithm uses a so-called min-rule which can be described as in the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2009-03-13 Yousra Chabchoub , Christine Fricker , Hanene Mohamed

Consider a one dimensional simple random walk $X=(X_n)_{n\geq0}$. We form a new simple symmetric random walk $Y=(Y_n)_{n\geq0}$ by taking sums of products of the increments of $X$ and study the two-dimensional walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Andrea Collevecchio , Kais Hamza , Meng Shi

We consider hundreds of thousands of individual economic transactions to ask: how predictable are consumers in their merchant visitation patterns? Our results suggest that, in the long-run, much of our seemingly elective activity is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-07 Coco Krumme , Alejandro Llorente , Manuel Cebrián , Alex , Pentland , Esteban Moro

We consider the problem of designing an expected-revenue maximizing mechanism for allocating multiple non-perishable goods of $k$ varieties to flexible consumers over $T$ time steps. In our model, a random number of goods of each variety…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Shiva Navabi , Ashutosh Nayyar

Elephant random walk, introduced to study the effect of memory on random walks, is a novel type of walk that incorporates the information of one randomly chosen past step to determine the future step. However, memory of a process can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-15 Krishanu Maulik , Parthanil Roy , Tamojit Sadhukhan

Much of economic theory is built on observations of aggregate, rather than individual, behavior. Here, we present novel findings on human shopping patterns at the resolution of a single purchase. Our results suggest that much of our…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2013-04-23 Coco Krumme , Manuel Cebrian , Alex Pentland

This paper investigates whether two independent Elephant Random Walks (ERWs) on $\mathbb{Z}$, each with a different memory parameter, can meet infinitely often, extending the work of Roy, Takei, and Tanemura. We also study the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Shuhei Shibata , Tomoyuki Shirai