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High-fidelity simulation models are widely used to analyze complex stochastic systems, but their high computational cost motivates the development of cheaper surrogate models that approximate the simulation model's input-output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

Stochastic simulations such as large-scale, spatiotemporal, age-structured epidemic models are computationally expensive at fine-grained resolution. While deep surrogate models can speed up the simulations, doing so for stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Dongxia Wu , Ruijia Niu , Matteo Chinazzi , Alessandro Vespignani , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

High-Performance Computing (HPC) schedulers must balance user performance with facility-wide resource constraints. The task boils down to selecting the optimal number of nodes for a given job. We present a surrogate-assisted multi-objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Ashna Nawar Ahmed , Banooqa Banday , Terry Jones , Tanzima Z. Islam

Stochastic programming can be applied to consider uncertainties in energy system optimization models for capacity expansion planning. However, these models become increasingly large and time-consuming to solve, even without considering…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Shima Sasanpour , Manuel Wetzel , Karl-Kiên Cao , Hans Christian Gils , Andrés Ramos

Derivation of the probability density evolution provides invaluable insight into the behavior of many stochastic systems and their performance. However, for most real-time applica-tions, numerical determination of the probability density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Seid H. Pourtakdoust , Amir H. Khodabakhsh

Accurately solving partial differential equations (PDEs) is critical to understanding complex scientific and engineering phenomena, yet traditional numerical solvers are computationally expensive. Surrogate models offer a more efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Yegon Kim , Hyunsu Kim , Gyeonghoon Ko , Juho Lee

A surrogate model approximates the outputs of a solver of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) with a low computational cost. In this article, we propose a method to build learning-based surrogates in the context of parameterized PDEs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Alejandro Ribés , Nawfal Benchekroun , Théo Delagnes

Many control problems require repeated tuning and adaptation of controllers across distinct closed-loop tasks, where data efficiency and adaptability are critical. We propose a hierarchical Bayesian optimization (BO) framework that is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-27 Sebastian Hirt , Lukas Theiner , Maik Pfefferkorn , Rolf Findeisen

Modern computational methods, involving highly sophisticated mathematical formulations, enable several tasks like modeling complex physical phenomenon, predicting key properties and design optimization. The higher fidelity in these computer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Lele Luan , Nesar Ramachandra , Sandipp Krishnan Ravi , Anindya Bhaduri , Piyush Pandita , Prasanna Balaprakash , Mihai Anitescu , Changjie Sun , Liping Wang

We propose a general framework for machine learning based optimization under uncertainty. Our approach replaces the complex forward model by a surrogate, which is learned simultaneously in a one-shot sense when solving the optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Philipp A. Guth , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

Driven by ambitious renewable portfolio standards, large-scale inclusion of variable energy resources (such as wind and solar) are expected to introduce unprecedented levels of uncertainty into power system operations. The current practice…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-02 Semih Atakan , Harsha Gangammanavar , Suvrajeet Sen

Solving complex problems requires continuous effort in developing theory and practice to cope with larger, more difficult scenarios. Working with surrogates is normal for creating a proxy that realistically models the problem into the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Tomohiro Harada , Enrique Alba , Gabriel Luque

In the field of surrogate modeling, polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) allows practitioners to construct inexpensive yet accurate surrogates to be used in place of the expensive forward model simulations. For black-box simulations,…

This paper proposes a machine-learning-based solution approach for solving multi-horizon stochastic programs. The approach embeds a deep learning neural network into a multi-horizon stochastic program to approximate the recourse operational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Hongyu Zhang , Gabriele Sormani , Enza Messina , Alan King , Francesca Maggioni

For stochastic process models, parameter inference is often severely bottlenecked by computationally expensive likelihood functions. Simulation-based inference (SBI) bypasses this restriction by constructing amortized surrogate likelihoods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alexander Shen , Mikael Kuusela

In this paper, the phase shifting transformer (PST) is introduced in the Transmission Expansion Planning (TEP) problem considering significant wind power integration. The proposed planning model is formulated as a bilevel program which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Xiaohu Zhang , Di Shi , Zhiwei Wang , Zhe Yu , Xinan Wang , Desong Bian , Kevin Tomsovic

Power System Resource Planning is the recurrent process of studying and determining what facilities and procedures should be provided to satisfy and promote appropriate future demands for electricity. The electric power system as planned…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-24 Sohom Datta

Multi-stage stochastic programming is a well-established framework for sequential decision making under uncertainty by seeking policies that are fully adapted to the uncertainty. Often such flexible policies are not desirable, and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Beste Basciftci , Shabbir Ahmed , Nagi Gebraeel

Modeling the evolution of physical systems is critical to many applications in science and engineering. As the evolution of these systems is governed by partial differential equations (PDEs), there are a number of computational simulations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Bharat Srikishan , Daniel O'Malley , Mohamed Mehana , Nicholas Lubbers , Nikhil Muralidhar

In transmission expansion planning (TEP), network planners make long-term investment decisions while anticipating market clearing outcomes that are increasingly affected by renewable generation uncertainty. Additionally, market…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yuxin Xia , Yihong Zhou , Iacopo Savelli , Thomas Morstyn