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We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

We derive new Gaussian approximation for finite martingale difference sequences in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with respect to the Kolmogorov distance. Under appropriate conditions, our bounds exhibit a dependence of order $n^{-1/4}$ on the length of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Weichen Wu , Dung Le , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Alessandro Rinaldo

We consider the problem of approximating sums of high-dimensional stationary time series by Gaussian vectors, using the framework of functional dependence measure. The validity of the Gaussian approximation depends on the sample size $n$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Danna Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

We consider estimation of covariance matrices and their inverses (a.k.a. precision matrices) for high-dimensional stationary and locally stationary time series. In the latter case the covariance matrices evolve smoothly in time, thus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-07 Xiaohui Chen , Mengyu Xu , Wei Biao Wu

Motivated by statistical inference problems in high-dimensional time series data analysis, we first derive non-asymptotic error bounds for Gaussian approximations of sums of high-dimensional dependent random vectors on hyper-rectangles,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Jinyuan Chang , Xiaohui Chen , Mingcong Wu

This article studies bootstrap inference for high dimensional weakly dependent time series in a general framework of approximately linear statistics. The following high dimensional applications are covered: (1) uniform confidence band for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

Non-asymptotic bounds for Gaussian and bootstrap approximation have recently attracted significant interest in high-dimensional statistics. This paper studies Berry-Esseen bounds for such approximations with respect to the multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Miles E. Lopes

We adapt Stein's method to obtain Berry--Esseen type error bounds in the multivariate central limit theorem for non-stationary processes generated by time-dependent compositions of uniformly expanding dynamical systems. In a particular case…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Juho Leppänen

Distributional approximations of (bi--) linear functions of sample variance-covariance matrices play a critical role to analyze vector time series, as they are needed for various purposes, especially to draw inference on the dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland , Rainer von Sachs

We establish novel and general high-dimensional concentration inequalities and Berry-Esseen bounds for vector-valued martingales induced by Markov chains. We apply these results to analyze the performance of the Temporal Difference (TD)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-22 Weichen Wu , Yuting Wei , Alessandro Rinaldo

This paper studies the problem of estimating a covariance matrix from correlated sub-Gaussian samples. We consider using the correlated sample covariance matrix estimator to approximate the true covariance matrix. We establish…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-17 Xu Zhang , Wei Cui , Yulong Liu

The use of sparse precision (inverse covariance) matrices has become popular because they allow for efficient algorithms for joint inference in high-dimensional models. Many applications require the computation of certain elements of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-06 Per Sidén , Finn Lindgren , David Bolin , Mattias Villani

In spatial statistics, it is often assumed that the spatial field of interest is stationary and its covariance has a simple parametric form, but these assumptions are not appropriate in many applications. Given replicate observations of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-14 Brian Kidd , Matthias Katzfuss

The computational cost for inference and prediction of statistical models based on Gaussian processes with Mat\'ern covariance functions scales cubicly with the number of observations, limiting their applicability to large data sets. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-04 David Bolin , Vaibhav Mehandiratta , Alexandre B. Simas

We study accuracy of bootstrap procedures for estimation of quantiles of a smooth function of a sum of independent sub-Gaussian random vectors. We establish higher-order approximation bounds with error terms depending on a sample size and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-21 Mayya Zhilova

Inferring the infinitesimal rates of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) is a central challenge in many scientific domains. This task is hindered by three factors: quadratic growth in the number of rates as the CTMC state space expands,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Filippo Monti , Xiang Ji , Marc A. Suchard

In this paper, we consider testing the martingale difference hypothesis for high-dimensional time series. Our test is built on the sum of squares of the element-wise max-norm of the proposed matrix-valued nonlinear dependence measure at…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-15 Jinyuan Chang , Qing Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

Multivariate time series present many challenges, especially when they are high dimensional. The paper's focus is twofold. First, we address the subject of consistently estimating the autocovariance sequence; this is a sequence of matrices…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Carsten Jentsch , Dimitris N. Politis

We consider the problem of learning a Gaussian variational approximation to the posterior distribution for a high-dimensional parameter, where we impose sparsity in the precision matrix to reflect appropriate conditional independence…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott
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