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Suppose we observe a trajectory of length $n$ from an exponentially $\alpha$-mixing stochastic process over a finite but potentially large state space. We consider the problem of estimating the probability mass placed by the stationary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-09 Milind Nakul , Vidya Muthukumar , Ashwin Pananjady

We study the probability distribution $F(u)$ of the maximum of smooth Gaussian fields defined on compact subsets of $\R^d$ having some geometric regularity. Our main result is a general formula for the density of $F$. Even though this is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jean-Marc Azaïs Mario Wschebor

Classical models for multivariate or spatial extremes are mainly based upon the asymptotically justified max-stable or generalized Pareto processes. These models are suitable when asymptotic dependence is present, i.e., the joint tail…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Zhongwei Zhang , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution is a flexible and useful model which has been used in several fields. In this paper, a new bimodal version of this distribution based on the alpha-skew-normal distribution is established. We discuss some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Roberto Vila , Jeremias Leão , Helton Saulo , Mirza Nabeed , Manoel Santos-Neto

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a {\em stochastic maximal inequality} derived by using the formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Yoichi Nishiyama

Maximum entropy distributions with discrete support in $m$ dimensions arise in machine learning, statistics, information theory, and theoretical computer science. While structural and computational properties of max-entropy distributions…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Damian Straszak , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

In a number of applications, particularly in financial and actuarial mathematics, it is of interest to characterize the tail distribution of a random variable $V$ satisfying the distributional equation $V\stackrel{\mathcal{D}}{=}f(V)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-04 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Guoqing Diao , Anand N. Vidyashankar

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

We consider point process convergence for sequences of iid random walks. The objective is to derive asymptotic theory for the largest extremes of these random walks. We show convergence of the maximum random walk to the Gumbel or the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Thomas Mikosch , Jorge Yslas

We study the maximum likehood estimator and least squares estimator for drift parameters of nonlinear reflected stochastic differential equations based on continuous observations. Under some regular conditions, we obtain the consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

This paper proposes a simple yet highly accurate prediction-correction algorithm, SHARP, for unconstrained time-varying optimization problems. Its prediction is based on an extrapolation derived from the Lagrange interpolation of past…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Tomoya Kamijima , Naoki Marumo , Akiko Takeda

Motivated by a class of orbit problems in astrophysics, this paper considers solutions to Hill's equation with forcing strength parameters that vary from cycle to cycle. The results are generalized to include period variations from cycle to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-10-08 Fred Adams , Anthony Bloch

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

This work studies applications and generalizations of a simple estimation technique that provides exponential concentration under heavy-tailed distributions, assuming only bounded low-order moments. We show that the technique can be used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Daniel Hsu , Sivan Sabato

Likelihood-based procedures are a common way to estimate tail dependence parameters. They are not applicable, however, in non-differentiable models such as those arising from recent max-linear structural equation models. Moreover, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-20 John H. J. Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

In this paper we investigate a new class of implicit-explicit (IMEX) two-step methods of Peer type for systems of ordinary differential equations with both non-stiff and stiff parts included in the source term. An extrapolation approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-03-29 Jens Lang , Willem Hundsdorfer

In the present work, we provide the general expression of the normalized centered moments of the Fr\'echet extreme-value distribution. In order to try to represent a set of data corresponding to rare events by a Fr\'echet distribution, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Jean-Christophe Pain

There is growing interest in developing statistical estimators that achieve exponential concentration around a population target even when the data distribution has heavier than exponential tails. More recent activity has focused on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Jakwang Kim , Jiyoung Park , Anirban Bhattacharya

We apply the Nyquist method to the Hamiltonian Mean Field (HMF) model in order to settle the linear dynamical stability of a spatially homogeneous distribution function with respect to the Vlasov equation. We consider the case of Maxwell…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 P. H. Chavanis , L. Delfini

Empirical likelihood approach is one of non-parametric statistical methods, which is applied to the hypothesis testing or construction of confidence regions for pivotal unknown quantities. This method has been applied to the case of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Fumiya Akashi , Yan Liu , Masanobu Taniguchi