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Dynamical systems are frequently used to model biological systems. When these models are fit to data it is necessary to ascertain the uncertainty in the model fit. Here we present prediction deviation, a new metric of uncertainty that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-08 Benjamin Letham , Portia A. Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Edward P. Browne

Condition based maintenance is a modern approach to maintenance which has been successfully used in several industrial sectors. In this paper we present a concrete statistical approach to condition based maintenance for wind turbine by…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-17 Thomas Kenbeek , Stella Kapodistria , Alessandro Di Bucchianico

Most practical data science problems encounter missing data. A wide variety of solutions exist, each with strengths and weaknesses that depend upon the missingness-generating process. Here we develop a theoretical framework for training and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Jahan C. Penny-Dimri , Christoph Bergmeir , Julian Smith

Mathematical models simulate various events under different conditions, enabling an early overview of the system to be implemented in practice, reducing the waste of resources and in less time. In project optimization, these models play a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Gustavo Barbosa Libotte , Fran Sérgio Lobato , Francisco Duarte Moura Neto , Gustavo Mendes Platt

Many real-world systems are characterized by stochastic dynamical rules where a complex network of interactions among individual elements probabilistically determines their state. Even with full knowledge of the network structure and of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-15 Filippo Radicchi , Claudio Castellano

When Perturbation Analysis (PA) yields unbiased sensitivity estimators for expected-value performance functions in discrete event dynamic systems, it can be used for performance optimization of those functions. However, when PA is known to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-06 Yorai Wardi , Christos G. Cassandras

In data-driven inverse optimization an observer aims to learn the preferences of an agent who solves a parametric optimization problem depending on an exogenous signal. Thus, the observer seeks the agent's objective function that best…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Grani Adiwena Hanasusanto , Daniel Kuhn

This paper proposes a data-driven control framework to regulate an unknown, stochastic linear dynamical system to the solution of a (stochastic) convex optimization problem. Despite the centrality of this problem, most of the available…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Gianluca Bianchin , Miguel Vaquero , Jorge Cortes , Emiliano Dall'Anese

This study presents the extension of the data-driven optimal prediction approach to the dynamical system with control. The optimal prediction is used to analyze dynamical systems in which the states consist of resolved and unresolved…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Aleksandr Katrutsa , Ivan Oseledets , Sergey Utyuzhnikov

In adaptive control, a controller is precisely designed for a certain model of the system, but that model's parameters are updated online by another mechanism called the adaptive update. This allows the controller to aim for the benefits of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Jason Nezvadovitz

We propose an algorithm based on online convex optimization for controlling discrete-time linear dynamical systems. The algorithm is data-driven, i.e., does not require a model of the system, and is able to handle a priori unknown and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Marko Nonhoff , Matthias A. Müller

While Robust Model Predictive Control considers the worst-case system uncertainty, Stochastic Model Predictive Control, using chance constraints, provides less conservative solutions by allowing a certain constraint violation probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-17 Tim Brüdigam , Victor Gaßmann , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Data-driven optimization uses contextual information and machine learning algorithms to find solutions to decision problems with uncertain parameters. While a vast body of work is dedicated to interpreting machine learning models in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Alexandre Forel , Axel Parmentier , Thibaut Vidal

In this paper, we propose a novel data-driven predictive control approach for systems subject to time-domain constraints. The approach combines the strengths of H-infinity control for rejecting disturbances and MPC for handling constraints.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Nan Li , Ilya Kolmanovsky , Hong Chen

Optimization models have been broadly used within side the energy industry as useful decision-making systems for scheduling and dispatching electric powered energy resources; this is applied in a system called unit commitment (UC). Unit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-01 Angel Zambrano

Robust optimization (RO) tackles data uncertainty by optimizing for the worst-case scenario of an uncertain parameter and, in its basic form, is sometimes criticized for producing overly-conservative solutions. To reduce the level of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Milad Dehghani Filabadi , Houra Mahmoudzadeh

Many real-world decision processes are modeled by optimization problems whose defining parameters are unknown and must be inferred from observable data. The Predict-Then-Optimize framework uses machine learning models to predict unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 James Kotary , Vincenzo Di Vito , Jacob Christopher , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Ferdinando Fioretto

The relative degree limitation for adaptive observer-based synchronization schemes is overcome. The scheme is extended to nonpassifiable systems. Two synchronization methods are described and justified based on augmented error adaptive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 V. O. Nikiforov , A. L. Fradkov , B. R. Andrievsky

This paper introduces an optimization problem (P) and a solution strategy to design variable-speed-limit controls for a highway that is subject to traffic congestion and uncertain vehicle arrival and departure. By employing a finite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

In this paper, we review some recent results about the use of dynamic observers for fault diagnosis of discrete event systems. Fault diagnosis consists in synthesizing a diagnoser that observes a given plant and identifies faults in the…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2010-04-19 Franck Cassez , Stavros Tripakis