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This paper explores different methods to estimate prices paid per efficiency unit of labor in panel data. We study the sensitivity of skill price estimates to different assumptions regarding workers' choice problem, identification…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-25 Michael J. Böhm , Hans-Martin von Gaudecker

Economists disagree about the factors driving the substantial increase in residual wage inequality in the US over the past few decades. To identify changes in the returns to unobserved skills, we make a novel assumption about the dynamics…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-20 Lance Lochner , Youngmin Park , Youngki Shin

Although wage inequality has evolved in advanced countries over recent decades, it remains unknown the extent to which changes in wage inequality and their differences across countries are attributable to specific capital and labor…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-13 Hiroya Taniguchi , Ken Yamada

This paper examines labor market polarization through a comparative analysis of skill-based employment and wage distributions in India and the United States during 2018-2023, with particular attention to differential automation risks and AI…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-14 Venkat Ram Reddy Ganuthula , Krishna Kumar Balaraman

The global workforce is urged to constantly reskill, as technological change favours particular new skills while making others redundant. But which skills are a good investment for workers and firms? As skills are seldomly applied in…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-20 Fabian Stephany , Ole Teutloff

This paper resolves the empirical puzzle in the public-private wage literature: why studies using similar data reach contradictory conclusions about wage premiums and penalties. Utilizing rich French administrative panel data (2012-2019),…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-21 Riddhi Kalsi

A good prediction is very important for scientific, economic, and administrative purposes. It is therefore necessary to know whether a predictor is skillful enough to predict the future. Given the increased reliance on predictions in…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-13 Thitithep Sitthiyot , Kanyarat Holasut

We use algorithmic and network-based tools to build and analyze the bipartite network connecting jobs with the skills they require. We quantify and represent the relatedness between jobs and skills by using statistically validated networks.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-12 Sabrina Aufiero , Giordano De Marzo , Angelica Sbardella , Andrea Zaccaria

An increasingly large number of experiments study the labor productivity effects of automation technologies such as generative algorithms. A popular question in these experiments relates to inequality: does the technology increase output…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-30 Seth Benzell , Kyle Myers

Skill shortages are a drain on society. They hamper economic opportunities for individuals, slow growth for firms, and impede labor productivity in aggregate. Therefore, the ability to understand and predict skill shortages in advance is…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-05 Nik Dawson , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Benjamin Johnston , Mary-Anne Williams

In this article, I present a new approach and a novel model to the study of the life cycle of wages. The key idea is that wage can be thought as remuneration paid for the competency. It is assumed with the approach that there are three…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Maximov

A central socioeconomic concern about Artificial Intelligence is that it will lower wages by depressing the labor share - the fraction of economic output paid to labor. We show that declining labor share is more likely to raise wages. In a…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-13 David Autor , B. N. Kausik

We have modeled the employment/population ratio in the largest developed countries. Our results show that the evolution of the employment rate since 1970 can be predicted with a high accuracy by a linear dependence on the logarithm of real…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-21 Ivan Kitov , Oleg Kitov

In its daily use, the Indonesian language is riddled with informality, that is, deviations from the standard in terms of vocabulary, spelling, and word order. On the other hand, current available Indonesian NLP models are typically…

Emerging professions in fields like Artificial Intelligence (AI) and sustainability (green jobs) are experiencing labour shortages as industry demand outpaces labour supply. In this context, our study aims to understand whether employers…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-07 Matthew Bone , Eugenia Ehlinger , Fabian Stephany

An employer contracts with a worker to incentivize efforts whose productivity depends on ability; the worker then enters a market that pays him contingent on ability evaluation. With non-additive monitoring technology, the interdependence…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-31 Tan Gan , Hongcheng Li

Forecasts for key macroeconomic variables are almost always made simultaneously by the same organizations, presented together, and used together in policy analyses and decision-makings. It is therefore important to know whether the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-05 Thitithep Sitthiyot , Kanyarat Holasut

Rapid technological innovation threatens to leave much of the global workforce behind. Today's economy juxtaposes white-hot demand for skilled labor against stagnant employment prospects for workers unprepared to participate in a digital…

Economic complexity measures aim to quantify the capability content or endowment of industries and territories; however, capabilities are not observable, and therefore cannot be directly used in the computations. We estimate such endowments…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-09 Antonio Russo , Pasquale Scaramozzino , Andrea Zaccaria

Estimating success rates for programmes aiming to reintegrate theunemployed into the workforce is essential for good stewardship of publicfinances. At the current moment, the methods used for this task arebased on the historical performance…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-22 Evan Hurwitz , George Cevora
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