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We address the problem of estimating the uncertainty in the solution of power grid inverse problems within the framework of Bayesian inference. We investigate two approaches, an adjoint-based method and a stochastic spectral method. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-15 Noemi Petra , Cosmin G. Petra , Zheng Zhang , Emil M. Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Phasor measurement units ({PMUs}) have become instrumental in modern power systems for enabling real-time, wide-area monitoring and control. Accordingly, many studies have investigated efficient and robust dynamic state estimation (DSE)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-02 Sebastian Nugroho , Ahmad Taha , Nikolaos Gatsis , Junbo Zhao

Fast and robust dynamic state estimation (DSE) is essential for accurately capturing the internal dynamic processes of power systems, and it serves as the foundation for reliably implementing real-time dynamic modeling, monitoring, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-07 Jianhua Pei , Ping Wang , Jingyu Wang , Dongyuan Shi

This paper re-examines the problem of parameter estimation in Bayesian networks with missing values and hidden variables from the perspective of recent work in on-line learning [Kivinen & Warmuth, 1994]. We provide a unified framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Eric Bauer , Daphne Koller , Yoram Singer

Bayesian networks are graphical models to represent the probabilistic relationships between variables in the Bayesian framework. The knowledge of all variables can be updated using new information about some of the variables. We show that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-22 Georg Schnabel , Roberto Capote , Arjan Koning , David Brown

Having actual models for power system components (such as generators and loads or auxiliary equipment) is vital to correctly assess the power system operating state and to establish stability margins. However, power system operators often…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Artem Mikhalev , Alexander Emchinov , Samuel Chevalier , Yury Maximov , Petr Vorobev

We study the modeling and simulation of gas pipeline networks, with a focus on fast numerical methods for the simulation of transient dynamics. The obtained mathematical model of the underlying network is represented by a nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Yue Qiu , Sara Grundel , Martin Stoll , Peter Benner

This paper investigates the joint problems of dynamic state estimation of algebraic variables (voltage and phase angle) and generator states (rotor angle and frequency) of nonlinear differential algebraic equation (NDAE) power network…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-16 Muhammad Nadeem , Sebastian A. Nugroho , Ahmad F. Taha

The increasing integration of intermittent renewable generation, especially at the distribution level,necessitates advanced planning and optimisation methodologies contingent on the knowledge of thegrid, specifically the admittance matrix…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-21 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Emanuele Fabbiani , Pulkit Nahata , Keith Moffat , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Power system state estimation (PSSE) is commonly formulated as weighted least-square (WLS) algorithm and solved using iterative methods such as Gauss-Newton methods. However, iterative methods have become more sensitive to system operating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-12 Narayan Bhusal , Raj Mani Shukla , Mukesh Gautam , Mohammed Benidris , Shamik Sengupta

Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

Differential Networks (DNs), tools that encapsulate interactions within intricate systems, are brought under the Bayesian lens in this research. A novel na{\i}ve Bayesian adaptive graphical elastic net (BAE) prior is introduced to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 J. Smith , A. Bekker , M. Arashi

Diagnosing the internal state of Li-ion batteries is critical for battery research, operation of real-world systems, and prognostic evaluation of remaining lifetime. By using physics-based models to perform probabilistic parameter…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-06 Malik Hassanaly , Corey R. Randall , Peter J. Weddle , Paul J. Gasper , Conlain Kelly , Tanvir R. Tanim , Kandler Smith

Dynamic power system models are instrumental in real-time stability, monitoring, and control. Such models are traditionally posed as systems of nonlinear differential algebraic equations (DAEs): the dynamical part models generator…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-02 Mohamad H. Kazma , Ahmad F. Taha

Conventional state estimation routines of electrical grids are mainly reliant on dynamic models of fossil fuel-based resources. These models commonly contain differential equations describing synchronous generator models and algebraic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-22 Muhammad Nadeem , Ahmad F. Taha

Bayesian Generative AI (BayesGen-AI) methods are developed and applied to Bayesian computation. BayesGen-AI reconstructs the posterior distribution by directly modeling the parameter of interest as a mapping (a.k.a. deep learner) from a…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-27 Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Nonlinear state estimation (SE), with the goal of estimating complex bus voltages based on all types of measurements available in the power system, is usually solved using the iterative Gauss-Newton method. The nonlinear SE presents some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Ognjen Kundacina , Mirsad Cosovic , Dragisa Miskovic , Dejan Vukobratovic

To account for measurement error (ME) in explanatory variables, Bayesian approaches provide a flexible framework, as expert knowledge about unobserved covariates can be incorporated in the prior distributions. However, given the analytic…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-19 Stefanie Muff , Andrea Riebler , Havard Rue , Philippe Saner , Leonhard Held

This paper introduces the Bayesian Inference Engine (BIE), a general parallel, optimised software package for parameter inference and model selection. This package is motivated by the analysis needs of modern astronomical surveys and the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 Martin D. Weinberg
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