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Human mobility and activity patterns mediate contagion on many levels, including the spatial spread of infectious diseases, diffusion of rumors, and emergence of consensus. These patterns however are often dominated by specific locations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-05 Duygu Balcan , Alessandro Vespignani

This paper studies a stochastic model that describes the evolution of vehicle densities in a road network. It is consistent with the class of (deterministic) kinematic wave models, which describe traffic flows on the basis of conservation…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Michel Mandjes , Jaap Storm

Many important transport phenomena are described by simple mathematical models rooted in the diffusion equation. Geometrical constraints present in such phenomena often have influence of a universal sort and manifest themselves in scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Slutsky

A deterministic temporal process can be determined by its trajectory, an element in the product space of (a) initial condition $z_0 \in \mathcal{Z}$ and (b) transition function $f: (\mathcal{Z}, \mathcal{T}) \to \mathcal{Z}$ often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Jurijs Nazarovs , Zhichun Huang , Xingjian Zhen , Sourav Pal , Rudrasis Chakraborty , Vikas Singh

The dynamics of diffusion in complex networks are widely studied to understand how entities, such as information, diseases, or behaviors, spread in an interconnected environment. Complex networks often present community structure, and tools…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-09 Alina Dubovskaya , Caroline B. Pena , David J. P. O'Sullivan

Accurate pedestrian trajectory prediction is crucial for ensuring safety and efficiency in autonomous driving and human-robot interaction scenarios. Earlier studies primarily utilized sufficient observational data to predict future…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Yuhao Luo , Yuang Zhang , Kehua Chen , Xinyu Zheng , Shucheng Zhang , Sikai Chen , Yinhai Wang

Accurate prediction of human or vehicle trajectories with good diversity that captures their stochastic nature is an essential task for many applications. However, many trajectory prediction models produce unreasonable trajectory samples…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Qingze , Liu , Danrui Li , Samuel S. Sohn , Sejong Yoon , Mubbasir Kapadia , Vladimir Pavlovic

Understanding and modeling the dynamics of pedestrian crowds can help with designing and increasing the safety of civil facilities. A key feature of crowds is its intrinsic stochasticity, appearing even under very diluted conditions, due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-22 Alessandro Corbetta , Chung-min Lee , Roberto Benzi , Adrian Muntean , Federico Toschi

Quantifying animal interactions is crucial for understanding various ecological processes, including social community structures, predator-prey dynamics, spreading of pathogens and information. Despite the ubiquity of interaction processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-06 Debraj Das , V. M. Kenkre , Ran Nathan , Luca Giuggioli

We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

In recent years, crowd analysis is important for applications such as smart cities, intelligent transportation system, customer behavior prediction, and visual surveillance. Understanding the characteristics of the individual motion in a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Wenxi Liu , Yuanlong Yu , Chun-Yang Zhang , Genggeng Liu , Naixue Xiong

The inherent complexity of biological agents often leads to motility behavior that appears to have random components. Robust stochastic inference methods are therefore required to understand and predict the motion patterns from time…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-11-14 Jan Albrecht , Manfred Opper , Robert Großmann

We study kinetic transport through modular networks consisting of alternating domains using both analytical and numerical methods. We demonstrate that the mean velocity is insensitive to the local structure of the network, and it indicates…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-27 Matthew Gerry , Dvira Segal

Representations based on random walks can exploit discrete data distributions for clustering and classification. We extend such representations from discrete to continuous distributions. Transition probabilities are now calculated using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Chen-Hsiang Yeang , Martin Szummer

Day-to-day traffic dynamics are widely used to model flow evolution due to travelers' learning and adjustment behavior, yet empirical analysis of these models often relies on descriptive calibration with limited inferential content. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Minghui Wu , Yafeng Yin , Jerome P. Lynch , Zhichen Liu

User mobility modeling serves a crucial role in analysis and optimization of contemporary wireless networks. Typical stochastic mobility models, e.g., random waypoint model and Gauss Markov model, can hardly capture the distribution…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Zhenyu Tao , Wei Xu , Xiaohu You

Scaling mobility patterns have been widely observed for animals. In this paper, we propose a deterministic walk model to understand the scaling mobility patterns, where walkers take the least-action walks on a lattice landscape and prey.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 Xiao-Pu Han , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

Random walk is a fundamental concept with applications ranging from quantum physics to econometrics. Remarkably, one specific model of random walks appears to be ubiquitous across many fields as a tool to analyze transport phenomena in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 V. Zaburdaev , S. Denisov , J. Klafter

The problem of determining dynamical models and trajectories that describe observed time-series data allowing for the understanding, prediction and possibly control of complex systems in nature is of a great interest in a wide variety of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , M. Millons

Diffusions are a successful technique to sample from high-dimensional distributions. The target distribution can be either explicitly given or learnt from a collection of samples. They implement a diffusion process whose endpoint is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Andrea Montanari