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Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

We develop a framework to holistically test for and monitor the impact of different types of events affecting a country's housing market, yet originating from housing-external sources. We classify events along three dimensions leading to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-06 Anja Hahn , Sanela Omerovic , Sofie Waltl

We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-04-23 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette , E. P. Yukalova

This paper focuses on price-based residential demand response implemented through dynamic adjustments of electricity prices during DR events. It extends existing DR models to a stochastic framework in which customer response is represented…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Guido Cavraro , Andrey Bernstein , Emiliano Dall'Anese

Housing markets play a crucial role in economies and the collapse of a real-estate bubble usually destabilizes the financial system and causes economic recessions. We investigate the systemic risk and spatiotemporal dynamics of the US…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-31 Hao Meng , Wen-Jie Xie , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Boris Podobnik , Wei-Xing Zhou , H. Eugene Stanley

Understanding how housing prices respond to spatial accessibility, structural attributes, and typological distinctions is central to contemporary urban research and policy. In cities marked by affordability stress and market segmentation,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-12 Alvaro Garcia Murga , Manuele Leonelli

We consider a model of nomadic agents exploring and competing for time-varying location-specific resources, arising in crowdsourced transportation services, online communities, and in traditional location based economic activity. This model…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-23 Pu Yang , Krishnamurthy Iyer , Peter Frazier

With everyone trying to enter the real estate market nowadays, knowing the proper valuations for residential and commercial properties has become crucial. Past researchers have been known to utilize static real estate data (e.g. number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Walter Coleman , Ben Johann , Nicholas Pasternak , Jaya Vellayan , Natasha Foutz , Heman Shakeri

This paper presents an optimal allocation problem in a financial market with one risk-free and one risky asset, when the market is driven by a stochastic market price of risk. We solve the problem in continuous time, for an investor with a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-19 Katia Colaneri , Stefano Herzel , Marco Nicolosi

We study hedging and pricing of unattainable contingent claims in a non-Markovian regime-switching financial model. Our financial market consists of a bank account and a risky asset whose dynamics are driven by a Brownian motion and a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-19 Łukasz Delong , Antoon Pelsser

We represent the functioning of the housing market and study the relation between income segregation, income inequality and house prices by introducing a spatial Agent-Based Model (ABM). Differently from traditional models in urban…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-23 Marco Pangallo , Jean Pierre Nadal , Annick Vignes

We propose a sequential monitoring scheme to find structural breaks in real estate markets. The changes in the real estate prices are modeled by a combination of linear and autoregressive terms. The monitoring scheme is based on a detector…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-12 Lajos Horváth , Zhenya Liu , Shanglin Lu

The stochastic knapsack has been used as a model in wide ranging applications from dynamic resource allocation to admission control in telecommunication. In recent years, a variation of the model has become a basic tool in studying problems…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Grace Lin , Yingdong Lu , David Yao

Most models for barrier pricing are designed to let a market maker tune the model-implied covariance between moves in the asset spot price and moves in the implied volatility skew. This is often implemented with a local…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-16 Mark Higgins

In the classical model of stock prices which is assumed to be Geometric Brownian motion, the drift and the volatility of the prices are held constant. However, in reality, the volatility does vary. In quantitative finance, the Heston model…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Arunangshu Biswas , Anindya Goswami , Ludger Overbeck

This work considers a stochastic model in which the uncertainty is driven by a multidimensional Brownian motion. The market price of risk process makes the transition between real world probability measure and risk neutral probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-04 Traian A. Pirvu , Ulrich G. Haussmann

We study robust notions of good-deal hedging and valuation under combined uncertainty about the drifts and volatilities of asset prices. Good-deal bounds are determined by a subset of risk-neutral pricing measures such that not only…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-11 Dirk Becherer , Klebert Kentia

For robot swarms operating on complex missions in an uncertain environment, it is important that the decision-making algorithm considers both heterogeneity and uncertainty. This paper presents a stochastic programming framework for the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Bo Fu , William Smith , Denise Rizzo , Matthew Castanier , Kira Barton

In this paper, we present a study of a mobility game with uncertainty in the decision-making of travelers and incorporate prospect theory to model travel behavior. We formulate a mobility game that models how travelers distribute their…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-20 Ioannis Vasileios Chremos , Heeseung Bang , Aditya Dave , Viet-Anh Le , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Patients whose transfer to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is unplanned are prone to higher mortality rates than those who were admitted directly to the ICU. Recent advances in machine learning to predict patient deterioration have introduced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Julien Grand-Clement , Carri W. Chan , Vineet Goyal , Gabriel Escobar