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National statistical agencies are regularly required to produce estimates about various subpopulations, formed by demographic and/or geographic classifications, based on a limited number of samples. Traditional direct estimates computed…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Shuchi Goyal , Gauri Sankar Datta , Abhyuday Mandal

Poverty maps are used to aid important political decisions such as allocation of development funds by governments and international organizations. Those decisions should be based on the most accurate poverty figures. However, often reliable…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-01 Isabel Molina , Balgobin Nandram , J. N. K. Rao

This paper devises a fully Bayesian sample size determination method for hierarchical model-based small area estimation with a decision risk approach. A new loss function specified around a desired maximum posterior variance target…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-27 Peter Dutey-Magni

Small area estimation (SAE) is a common endeavor and is used in a variety of disciplines. In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), in which household surveys provide the most reliable and timely source of data, SAE is vital for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Jon Wakefield , Jitong Jiang , Yunhan Wu

Childhood obesity remains a major public health challenge in the United States, strongly influenced by a combination of individual-level, household-level, and environmental-level risk factors. Traditional epidemiological studies typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Eswarasanthosh Kumar Mamillapalli , Nishtha Sharma

Accurate subnational estimation of health indicators is critical for public health planning, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where data and analytic tools are often limited. sae4health is an open-access Shiny…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-30 Yunhan Wu , Qianyu Dong , Jieyi Xu , Zehang Richard Li , Jon Wakefield

Small area estimation using survey data can be achieved by using either a design-based or a model-based inferential approach. Design-based direct estimators are generally preferable because of their consistency, asymptotic normality, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 Alana McGovern , Katherine Wilson , Jon Wakefield

National Health and Nutritional Status Survey (NHANSS) is conducted annually by the Ministry of Health in Negara Brunei Darussalam to assess the population health and nutritional patterns and characteristics. The main aim of this study was…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Usman Khalil , Owais Ahmed Malik , Daphne Teck Ching Lai , Ong Sok King

Economic inequalities referring to specific regions are crucial in deepening spatial heterogeneity. Income surveys are generally planned to produce reliable estimates at countries or macroregion levels, thus we implement a small area model…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-09 Silvia De Nicolò , Maria Rosaria Ferrante , Silvia Pacei

Accurate estimates of subnational populations are important for policy formulation and monitoring population health indicators. For example, estimates of the number of women of reproductive age are important to understand the population at…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-16 Monica Alexander , Leontine Alkema

Bounded discrete proportions -- counts out of known totals -- present modeling challenges when data exhibit structural zeros, overdispersion, and hierarchical clustering. We develop a Bayesian hierarchical hurdle beta-binomial model with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 JoonHo Lee

Diet plays a crucial role in health, and understanding the causal effects of dietary patterns is essential for informing public health policy and personalized nutrition strategies. However, causal inference in nutritional epidemiology faces…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Dafne Zorzetto , Zizhao Xie , Julian Stamp , Arman Oganisian , Roberta De Vito

Accounting for exposure measurement errors has been recognized as a crucial problem in environmental epidemiology for over two decades. Bayesian hierarchical models offer a coherent probabilistic framework for evaluating associations…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Changwoo J. Lee , Elaine Symanski , Amal Rammah , Dong Hun Kang , Philip K. Hopke , Eun Sug Park

Although child malnutrition is improving over the world in the last couple of decades, still now it is concerning issue among the developing countries including Bangladesh. In general, malnutrition is a dichotomous response variable fitted…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-07 Md Mehedi Hasan Bhuiyan

In small area estimation, it is sometimes necessary to use model-based methods to produce estimates in areas with little or no data. In official statistics, we often require that some aggregate of small area estimates agree with a national…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Taylor Okonek , Jon Wakefield

Producing reliable estimates of health and demographic indicators at fine areal scales is crucial for examining heterogeneity and supporting localized health policy. However, many surveys release outcomes only at coarser administrative…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Yunhan Wu , Finn Lindgren , Heidi A. Hanson

Small area estimation (SAE) plays a central role in survey statistics and epidemiology, providing reliable estimates for domains with limited sample sizes. The multivariate Fay-Herriot model has been extensively used for this purpose,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Shushi Nishina , Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

Malnutrition among pregnant women is a major public health challenge in Ethiopia, increasing the risk of adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes. Traditional statistical approaches often fail to capture the complex and multidimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Amsalu Tessema , Tizazu Bayih , Kassahun Azezew , Ayenew Kassie

Childhood malnutrition remains a major public health concern in Nepal and other low-resource settings, while conventional case-finding approaches are labor-intensive and frequently unavailable in remote areas. This study provides the first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Deepak Bastola , Yang Li

In this work, inspired by machine learning techniques, we propose a new Bayesian model for Small Area Estimation (SAE), the Fay-Herriot model with Spectral Clustering (FH-SC). Unlike traditional approaches, clustering in FH-SC is based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Jairo Fúquene-Patiño